Spartans’ Title Odds On the Rise As We Approach Start of College Hoops

Spartans’ Title Odds On the Rise As We Approach Start of College Hoops

Preseason rankings just came out so I guess it’s time to take a look at the latest college hoops title odds (though I had already planned this a couple days ago.)

#1 Duke had a massive odds improvement in August after they landed Marvin Bagley, perhaps the best incoming freshman in the nation. That is when we last updated our odds…what has happened in the interim?

TeamOctober 30
(Westgate)
August 15
(Westgate)
July 31
(Westgate)
April 2
(Westgate)
DUKE Blue Devils3/13/18/110/1
MICHIGAN ST Spartans4/110/18/120/1
KENTUCKY Wildcats7/18/18/110/1
ARIZONA Wildcats10/112/110/115/1
KANSAS Jayhawks12/112/110/112/1
USC Trojans20/130/120/160/1
VILLANOVA Wildcats20/130/125/112/1
FLORIDA Gators20/130/130/120/1
WICHITA ST Shockers25/130/120/120/1
NORTH CAROLINA Tar Heels25/130/125/112/1
LOUISVILLE Cardinals40/115/112/110/1
TEXAS Longhorns40/130/125/1300/1
MISSOURI Tigers40/140/140/1300/1
PURDUE Boilermakers40/1100/180/160/1
TEXAS A&M Aggies40/1100/1100/1100/1
OREGON Ducks50/150/150/160/1
ALABAMA Crimson Tide50/150/150/180/1
UCLA Bruins60/125/140/125/1
WEST VIRGINIA Mountaineers60/160/150/125/1
XAVIER Musketeers60/160/160/180/1
NOTRE DAME Fighting Irish60/160/160/180/1
ST MARY'S Gaels60/1100/180/140/1
MINNESOTA Golden Gophers60/1100/1100/1100/1
MICHIGAN Wolverines80/150/140/120/1
GONZAGA Bulldogs80/160/140/112/1
MIAMI FL Hurricanes80/160/160/150/1
SETON HALL Pirates80/1100/180/160/1
NORTHWESTERN Wildcats80/1100/1100/1100/1
TCU Horned Frogs80/1100/1100/1300/1
VIRGINIA Cavaliers100/160/160/130/1
BAYLOR Bears100/180/160/150/1
WISCONSIN Badgers100/180/180/180/1
CINCINNATI Bearcats100/1100/1100/180/1
MARYLAND Terrapins100/1100/1100/1100/1
PROVIDENCE Friars100/1200/1200/1200/1
BUTLER Bulldogs200/160/140/125/1
IOWA ST Cyclones200/180/180/180/1
CREIGHTON Bluejays200/1100/1100/180/1
VANDERBILT Commodores200/1100/1100/180/1
UCONN Huskies200/1100/1100/1100/1
SYRACUSE Orange200/1100/1100/1100/1
ARKANSAS Razorbacks200/1100/1100/1100/1
NEVADA Wolfpack200/1100/1100/1100/1
AUBURN Tigers200/1100/1300/1300/1
VIRGINIA TECH Hokies200/1200/1100/1100/1
RHODE ISLAND Rams200/1300/1300/1300/1
OKLAHOMA Sooners300/180/180/140/1
FLORIDA ST Seminoles300/1100/180/140/1
INDIANA Hoosiers300/1100/1100/120/1
SMU Mustangs300/1100/1100/180/1
ILLINOIS Fighting Illini300/1100/1100/1100/1
SOUTH CAROLINA Gamecocks300/1100/1100/1100/1
UTAH Utes300/1100/1100/1100/1
UNLV Runnin' Rebels300/1100/1100/11000/1
VCU Rams300/1200/1100/1100/1
MARQUETTE Golden Eagles300/1200/1100/1100/1
SAN DIEGO ST Aztecs300/1200/1200/1100/1
GEORGIA Bulldogs300/1300/1200/1200/1
WAKE FOREST Demon Deacons300/1300/1300/1300/1
IOWA Hawkeyes300/1300/1300/1300/1
PENN ST Nittany Lions300/1300/1300/1300/1
BYU Cougars300/1300/1300/1300/1
ARIZONA ST Sun Devils300/1300/1300/1300/1
STANFORD Cardinal300/1300/1300/1300/1
TEXAS TECH Red Raiders500/1300/1300/1300/1
DAYTON Flyers500/1300/1300/1300/1
CLEMSON Tigers500/1300/1300/1300/1
ST JOHN'S Red Storm500/1300/1300/1300/1
OHIO ST Buckeyes500/1300/1300/1300/1
NEBRASKA Cornhuskers500/1300/1300/1300/1
OLE MISS Rebels500/1300/1300/1300/1
TENNESSEE Volunteers500/1300/1300/1300/1
MISSISSIPPI ST Bulldogs500/1300/1300/1300/1
KANSAS ST Wildcats500/1300/1300/1300/1
OKLAHOMA ST Cowboys500/1300/1300/1300/1
HOUSTON Cougars500/1500/1500/1500/1
CENTRAL FLORIDA Golden Knights500/1500/1500/1500/1
DAVIDSON Wildcats500/1500/1500/1500/1
GEORGIA TECH Yellow Jackets500/1500/1500/1500/1
NC STATE Wolfpack500/1500/1500/1500/1
MIDDLE TENN ST Blue Raiders500/1500/1500/1500/1
COLORADO ST Rams500/1500/1500/1500/1
BOISE ST Broncos500/1500/1500/1500/1
FRESNO ST Bulldogs500/1500/1500/1500/1
OREGON ST Beavers500/1500/1500/1500/1
ST BONAVENTURE Bonnies500/11000/11000/11000/1
CHARLESTON Cougars500/11000/11000/11000/1
OAKLAND Golden Grizzlies500/11000/11000/11000/1
BELMONT Bruins500/11000/11000/11000/1
BUFFALO Bulls500/11000/11000/11000/1
CALIFORNIA Golden Bears1000/1300/1300/1300/1
COLORADO Buffaloes1000/1300/1300/1300/1
ILLINOIS ST Redbirds1000/1500/1300/1300/1
MEMPHIS Tigers1000/1500/1500/1500/1
RICHMOND Spiders1000/1500/1500/1500/1
La Salle EXPLORERS1000/1500/1500/1500/1
LSU Tigers1000/1500/1500/1500/1
GEORGETOWN Hoyas1000/1200/1200/1200/1
WYOMING Cowboys1000/11000/1500/1500/1
VERMONT Catamounts1000/11000/11000/11000/1
ST LOUIS Billikens1000/11000/11000/11000/1
OLD DOMINION Monarchs1000/11000/11000/11000/1
PRINCETON Tigers1000/11000/11000/11000/1
HARVARD Crimson1000/11000/11000/11000/1
YALE Bulldogs1000/11000/11000/11000/1
TEXAS ARLINGTON Mavericks1000/11000/11000/11000/1
GEORGIA ST Panthers1000/11000/11000/11000/1
VALPARAISO Crusaders1000/11000/11000/11000/1
NORTHERN IOWA Panthers1000/11000/11000/11000/1
NEW MEXICO ST Aggies1000/11000/11000/11000/1
GRAND CANYON Antelopes1000/11000/11000/11000/1
FLORIDA GULF COAST Eagles1000/12000/12000/12000/1
LOUISIANA TECH Bulldogs1000/12000/12000/12000/1
GEORGE WASHINGTON Colonials2000/11000/11000/11000/1
GEORGE MASON Patriots2000/11000/11000/11000/1
NC WILMINGTON Seahawks2000/11000/11000/11000/1
PITTSBURGH Panthers2000/1500/1500/1500/1
ARKANSAS ST Red Wolves2000/11000/11000/11000/1
AKRON Zips2000/11000/11000/11000/1
OHIO Bobcats2000/11000/11000/11000/1
NEW MEXICO Lobos2000/11000/11000/11000/1
UTAH ST Aggies2000/11000/11000/11000/1
WASHINGTON ST Cougars2000/11000/11000/11000/1
EAST TENNESSEE ST Buccaneers2000/11000/11000/11000/1
CHATTANOOGA Mocs2000/11000/11000/11000/1
BOSTON COLLEGE Eagles2000/11000/11000/11000/1
NC CENTRAL Eagles2000/13000/13000/12000/1
LA LAFAYETTE Ragin' Cajuns2000/13000/13000/12000/1
WESTERN KENTUCKY Hilltoppers2000/13000/13000/11000/1
MONMOUTH Hawks3000/12000/12000/12000/1
TROY Trojans3000/12000/12000/12000/1
PENNSYLVANIA Quakers3000/13000/13000/12000/1
BUCKNELL Bison3000/13000/13000/12000/1
WASHINGTON Huskies3000/13000/13000/12000/1
UTEP Miners3000/15000/15000/15000/1
MT ST MARYS Mountaineers5000/15000/15000/15000/1
SAN FRANCISCO Dons5000/15000/15000/15000/1
WRIGHT ST Raiders5000/15000/15000/15000/1
JACKSONVILLE ST Gamecocks5000/15000/15000/15000/1
NC GREENSBORO Spartans5000/15000/15000/15000/1
SOUTH DAKOTA Coyotes5000/15000/15000/15000/1
NORTH DAKOTA ST Bison5000/15000/15000/15000/1
IPFW Mastodons5000/15000/15000/15000/1
SOUTH DAKOTA ST Jackrabbits5000/15000/15000/15000/1
IUPUI Jaguars5000/15000/15000/15000/1
CS BAKERSFIELD Roadrunners5000/15000/15000/15000/1
TEXAS ST Bobcats5000/15000/15000/15000/1
COASTAL CAROLINA Chanticleers5000/15000/15000/15000/1
ALBANY Great Danes5000/15000/15000/15000/1
FIELD ( All Others )300/1300/1300/1300/1

Obviously the big move that you’ll first notice is Michigan State going from 10/1 to 4/1.

The Spartans will have last year’s freshman standout Miles Bridges returning, who is expected to be one of, if not the best player in the country. Along with Bridges, sophomore center Nick Ward, another top player in the country, will be returning. They’ve also added a top-10 recruit in PF Jaren Jackson.

The big question is whether or not they can keep up with the big boys at Duke. They’ll have the always-controversial Grayson Allen returning to ensure they’re hated by casual fans across the country. Along with some of the most active feet in the nation, Allen brings a ton of experience and skill to a roster loaded with youngsters.

Along with Bagley, Duke also managed to bring in three more top-10 recruits, including the best point guard in Trevon Duval. At their 3/1 price, it doesn’t appear that they have received much attention from Vegas bettors, though, as you’d almost certainly be better off waiting until later in the season.

Kentucky and Arizona have also seen minor increases in odds. Like Duke, Kentucky has brought in a slew of top prospects who have big potential. They don’t have a top 10 recruit according to ESPN, but they do have five of the top 25.

Arizona doesn’t have a glut of incoming studs, but they do have DeAndre Ayton. A traditional center, Ayton is expected to be the fourth best player in the country according to The Big Lead.

Perhaps the biggest loser of the bunch is Louisville, who has slipped from 15/1 to 40/1 (~4% drop in implied probability) following the Rick Pitino scandal and subsequent firing. They don’t have any elite players on their roster and will have to make do with rookie Head Coach David Padgett.

We’ll kick the season off with a bang in a couple weeks when Duke and Michigan State face off on Tuesday the 14th. This early season clash should serve as a title odds barometer and if one team seems overmatched, we’re likely to see some big movement the next day.

 

Mark Gallant

I'm the guy who does his job. You must be the other guy.

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