MLB Trade Deadline: Impact on Future Odds

Today’s MLB trade deadline may have been the busiest in years, with a number of superstar players changing teams. Among the most prominent names are Jon Lester, David Price, John Lackey, Yoenis Cespedes, Allen Craig, Asdrubal Cabrera and Martin Prado.

Analysts will argue for weeks (and possibly longer) about which teams were winners and which were losers, but we’re more interested in how each of these trades will impact the futures market. In order to do so, we’re going to examine each of the major trades and analyze the futures from before and after the trade deadline.

Note: Odds reflects changes from 7/30 to 8/1 at

1. Tigers trade OF Austin Jackson, LHP Drew Smyly and SS prospect Willy Adames in 3-team trade for Rays LHP David Price | Mariners trade 2B/SS Nick Franklin for OF Austin Jackson

Detroit Tigers: +600 to +360

Seattle Mariners: Unchanged at +3,000

Tampa Bay Rays: Unchanged at +3,000

2. Athletics trade OF Yoenis Cespedes and draft pick for Red Sox LHP Jon Lester and OF Jonny Gomes

Oakland Athletics: +500 to +350

3. Cardinals trade 1B/OF Allen Craig and RHP Joe Kelly for Red Sox RHP John Lackey

St. Louis Cardinals: +1,200 to +1,800

Boston Red Sox: Unchanged at +10,000

4. Nationals trade IF Zach Walters for Indians SS Asdrubal Cabrera

Washington Nationals: Unchanged at +1,000

Cleveland Indians: Unchanged at +5,000

5. Yankees trade INF prospect Peter O’Brien for Diamondbacks 2B/3B/OF Martin Prado

New York Yankees: Unchanged at +2,000

Arizona Diamondbacks: Unchanged at +100,000

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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