Marvin Bagley Makes Duke a Juggernaut

Marvin Bagley Makes Duke a Juggernaut

Every hoophead knows the name Marvin Bagley. He may not be a household name yet, but he took the first step in becoming one by reclassifying and committing to play for Duke.

The 6’11” power forward was originally set to play college ball in 2018-19 because he transferred high schools and was ineligible to play for a year. However, he was approved to switch back to what would have been his original class and play this season. And wouldn’t you know it, he chose Duke.

This decision obviously has two big implications. His addition to the 2018 NBA draft class makes an already stacked group even better. I won’t go into details about high school players that nobody even knows about yet, but it sounds like there are several prettay, prettay good players.

The second is that Duke is now expected to be good…really good. At Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas, Duke opened at 10/1 in April along with Kentucky and Louisville. On July 31st, Duke, Kentucky, and Michigan State were the co-favorites at 8/1. With Bagley set to be a Blue Devil, Duke is now 3/1! This translates into a 14% increase in implied probability.

TeamAugust 15July 31April 2
DUKE Blue Devils3/18/110/1
KENTUCKY Wildcats8/18/110/1
MICHIGAN ST Spartans10/18/120/1
KANSAS Jayhawks12/110/112/1
ARIZONA Wildcats12/110/115/1
LOUISVILLE Cardinals15/112/110/1
UCLA Bruins25/140/125/1
WICHITA ST Shockers30/120/120/1
USC Trojans30/120/160/1
NORTH CAROLINA Tar Heels30/125/112/1
VILLANOVA Wildcats30/125/112/1
TEXAS Longhorns30/125/1300/1
FLORIDA Gators30/130/120/1
MISSOURI Tigers40/140/1300/1
MICHIGAN Wolverines50/140/120/1
OREGON Ducks50/150/160/1
ALABAMA Crimson Tide50/150/180/1
GONZAGA Bulldogs60/140/112/1
BUTLER Bulldogs60/140/125/1
WEST VIRGINIA Mountaineers60/150/125/1
VIRGINIA Cavaliers60/160/130/1
MIAMI FL Hurricanes60/160/150/1
XAVIER Musketeers60/160/180/1
NOTRE DAME Fighting Irish60/160/180/1
BAYLOR Bears80/160/150/1
OKLAHOMA Sooners80/180/140/1
WISCONSIN Badgers80/180/180/1
IOWA ST Cyclones80/180/180/1
FLORIDA ST Seminoles100/180/140/1
ST MARY'S Gaels100/180/140/1
SETON HALL Pirates100/180/160/1
PURDUE Boilermakers100/180/160/1
INDIANA Hoosiers100/1100/120/1
SMU Mustangs100/1100/180/1
CINCINNATI Bearcats100/1100/180/1
CREIGHTON Bluejays100/1100/180/1
VANDERBILT Commodores100/1100/180/1
U CONN Huskies100/1100/1100/1
SYRACUSE Orange100/1100/1100/1
MARYLAND Terrapins100/1100/1100/1
MINNESOTA Golden Gophers100/1100/1100/1
NORTHWESTERN Wildcats100/1100/1100/1
ILLINOIS Fighting Illini100/1100/1100/1
ARKANSAS Razorbacks100/1100/1100/1
SOUTH CAROLINA Gamecocks100/1100/1100/1
TEXAS A&M Aggies100/1100/1100/1
NEVADA Wolfpack100/1100/1100/1
UTAH Utes100/1100/1100/1
UNLV Runnin' Rebels100/1100/11000/1
TCU Horned Frogs100/1100/1300/1
AUBURN Tigers100/1300/1300/1
VCU Rams200/1100/1100/1
VIRGINIA TECH Hokies200/1100/1100/1
MARQUETTE Golden Eagles200/1100/1100/1
SAN DIEGO ST Aztecs200/1200/1100/1
PROVIDENCE Friars200/1200/1200/1
GEORGETOWN Hoyas200/1200/1200/1
GEORGIA Bulldogs300/1200/1200/1
OKLAHOMA ST Cowboys300/1300/1300/1
KANSAS ST Wildcats300/1300/1300/1
TEXAS TECH Red Raiders300/1300/1300/1
DAYTON Flyers300/1300/1300/1
RHODE ISLAND Rams300/1300/1300/1
WAKE FOREST Demon Deacons300/1300/1300/1
CLEMSON Tigers300/1300/1300/1
ST JOHN'S Red Storm300/1300/1300/1
IOWA Hawkeyes300/1300/1300/1
OHIO ST Buckeyes300/1300/1300/1
PENN ST Nittany Lions300/1300/1300/1
NEBRASKA Cornhuskers300/1300/1300/1
OLE MISS Rebels300/1300/1300/1
TENNESSEE Volunteers300/1300/1300/1
MISSISSIPPI ST Bulldogs300/1300/1300/1
BYU Cougars300/1300/1300/1
CALIFORNIA Golden Bears300/1300/1300/1
COLORADO Buffaloes300/1300/1300/1
ARIZONA ST Sun Devils300/1300/1300/1
STANFORD Cardinal300/1300/1300/1
ILLINOIS ST Redbirds500/1300/1300/1
HOUSTON Cougars500/1500/1500/1
CENTRAL FLORIDA Golden Knights500/1500/1500/1
MEMPHIS Tigers500/1500/1500/1
RICHMOND Spiders500/1500/1500/1
La Salle EXPLORERS500/1500/1500/1
DAVIDSON Wildcats500/1500/1500/1
GEORGIA TECH Yellow Jackets500/1500/1500/1
PITTSBURGH Panthers500/1500/1500/1
NC STATE Wolfpack500/1500/1500/1
MIDDLE TENN ST Blue Raiders500/1500/1500/1
LSU Tigers500/1500/1500/1
COLORADO ST Rams500/1500/1500/1
BOISE ST Broncos500/1500/1500/1
FRESNO ST Bulldogs500/1500/1500/1
OREGON ST Beavers500/1500/1500/1
WYOMING Cowboys1000/1500/1500/1
VERMONT Catamounts1000/11000/11000/1
ST BONAVENTURE Bonnies1000/11000/11000/1
GEORGE WASHINGTON Colonials1000/11000/11000/1
GEORGE MASON Patriots1000/11000/11000/1
ST LOUIS Billikens1000/11000/11000/1
NC WILMINGTON Seahawks1000/11000/11000/1
CHARLESTON Cougars1000/11000/11000/1
OLD DOMINION Monarchs1000/11000/11000/1
PRINCETON Tigers1000/11000/11000/1
HARVARD Crimson1000/11000/11000/1
YALE Bulldogs1000/11000/11000/1
TEXAS ARLINGTON Mavericks1000/11000/11000/1
GEORGIA ST Panthers1000/11000/11000/1
ARKANSAS ST Red Wolves1000/11000/11000/1
OAKLAND Golden Grizzlies1000/11000/11000/1
VALPARAISO Crusaders1000/11000/11000/1
NORTHERN IOWA Panthers1000/11000/11000/1
BELMONT Bruins1000/11000/11000/1
AKRON Zips1000/11000/11000/1
OHIO Bobcats1000/11000/11000/1
BUFFALO Bulls1000/11000/11000/1
NEW MEXICO Lobos1000/11000/11000/1
UTAH ST Aggies1000/11000/11000/1
WASHINGTON ST Cougars1000/11000/11000/1
EAST TENNESSEE ST Buccaneers1000/11000/11000/1
CHATTANOOGA Mocs1000/11000/11000/1
NEW MEXICO ST Aggies1000/11000/11000/1
GRAND CANYON Antelopes1000/11000/11000/1
BOSTON COLLEGE Eagles1000/11000/11000/1
FLORIDA GULF COAST Eagles2000/12000/12000/1
LOUISIANA TECH Bulldogs2000/12000/12000/1
MONMOUTH Hawks2000/12000/12000/1
TROY Trojans2000/12000/12000/1
PENNSYLVANIA Quakers3000/13000/12000/1
NC CENTRAL Eagles3000/13000/12000/1
BUCKNELL Bison3000/13000/12000/1
WASHINGTON Huskies3000/13000/12000/1
LA LAFAYETTE Ragin' Cajuns3000/13000/12000/1
WESTERN KENTUCKY Hilltoppers3000/13000/11000/1
UTEP Miners5000/15000/15000/1
MT ST MARYS Mountaineers5000/15000/15000/1
SAN FRANCISCO Dons5000/15000/15000/1
WRIGHT ST Raiders5000/15000/15000/1
JACKSONVILLE ST Gamecocks5000/15000/15000/1
NC GREENSBORO Spartans5000/15000/15000/1
SOUTH DAKOTA Coyotes5000/15000/15000/1
NORTH DAKOTA ST Bison5000/15000/15000/1
IPFW Mastodons5000/15000/15000/1
SOUTH DAKOTA ST Jackrabbits5000/15000/15000/1
IUPUI Jaguars5000/15000/15000/1
CS BAKERSFIELD Roadrunners5000/15000/15000/1
TEXAS ST Bobcats5000/15000/15000/1
COASTAL CAROLINA Chanticleers5000/15000/15000/1
ALBANY Great Danes5000/15000/15000/1
FIELD ( All Others )300/1300/1300/1

Before the season started last year, Duke was +350 and if you forgot, they had pretty high expectations. In fact, they were 20/1 to have an undefeated regular season and 40/1 to be an undefeated national champion — a feat that hasn’t occurred since the 1976 Hoosiers went 32-0. There aren’t any undefeated props yet for this season, but I would imagine there will be.

Follow us on Twitter @SportsInsights for more updates as well as props, new blog posts, breaking news, and more.

Cosmo Kramer

He is a loathesome, offensive brute, yet I can't look away.

1 Comment
  • Nathan
    August 30, 2017 at 1:26 am

    This is a test only

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