Marvin Bagley Makes Duke a Juggernaut

Marvin Bagley Makes Duke a Juggernaut

Every hoophead knows the name Marvin Bagley. He may not be a household name yet, but he took the first step in becoming one by reclassifying and committing to play for Duke.

The 6’11” power forward was originally set to play college ball in 2018-19 because he transferred high schools and was ineligible to play for a year. However, he was approved to switch back to what would have been his original class and play this season. And wouldn’t you know it, he chose Duke.

This decision obviously has two big implications. His addition to the 2018 NBA draft class makes an already stacked group even better. I won’t go into details about high school players that nobody even knows about yet, but it sounds like there are several prettay, prettay good players.

The second is that Duke is now expected to be good…really good. At Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas, Duke opened at 10/1 in April along with Kentucky and Louisville. On July 31st, Duke, Kentucky, and Michigan State were the co-favorites at 8/1. With Bagley set to be a Blue Devil, Duke is now 3/1! This translates into a 14% increase in implied probability.

TeamOctober 30
August 15
July 31
April 2
DUKE Blue Devils3/13/18/110/1
MICHIGAN ST Spartans4/110/18/120/1
KENTUCKY Wildcats7/18/18/110/1
ARIZONA Wildcats10/112/110/115/1
KANSAS Jayhawks12/112/110/112/1
USC Trojans20/130/120/160/1
VILLANOVA Wildcats20/130/125/112/1
FLORIDA Gators20/130/130/120/1
WICHITA ST Shockers25/130/120/120/1
NORTH CAROLINA Tar Heels25/130/125/112/1
LOUISVILLE Cardinals40/115/112/110/1
TEXAS Longhorns40/130/125/1300/1
MISSOURI Tigers40/140/140/1300/1
PURDUE Boilermakers40/1100/180/160/1
TEXAS A&M Aggies40/1100/1100/1100/1
OREGON Ducks50/150/150/160/1
ALABAMA Crimson Tide50/150/150/180/1
UCLA Bruins60/125/140/125/1
WEST VIRGINIA Mountaineers60/160/150/125/1
XAVIER Musketeers60/160/160/180/1
NOTRE DAME Fighting Irish60/160/160/180/1
ST MARY'S Gaels60/1100/180/140/1
MINNESOTA Golden Gophers60/1100/1100/1100/1
MICHIGAN Wolverines80/150/140/120/1
GONZAGA Bulldogs80/160/140/112/1
MIAMI FL Hurricanes80/160/160/150/1
SETON HALL Pirates80/1100/180/160/1
NORTHWESTERN Wildcats80/1100/1100/1100/1
TCU Horned Frogs80/1100/1100/1300/1
VIRGINIA Cavaliers100/160/160/130/1
BAYLOR Bears100/180/160/150/1
WISCONSIN Badgers100/180/180/180/1
CINCINNATI Bearcats100/1100/1100/180/1
MARYLAND Terrapins100/1100/1100/1100/1
PROVIDENCE Friars100/1200/1200/1200/1
BUTLER Bulldogs200/160/140/125/1
IOWA ST Cyclones200/180/180/180/1
CREIGHTON Bluejays200/1100/1100/180/1
VANDERBILT Commodores200/1100/1100/180/1
UCONN Huskies200/1100/1100/1100/1
SYRACUSE Orange200/1100/1100/1100/1
ARKANSAS Razorbacks200/1100/1100/1100/1
NEVADA Wolfpack200/1100/1100/1100/1
AUBURN Tigers200/1100/1300/1300/1
VIRGINIA TECH Hokies200/1200/1100/1100/1
RHODE ISLAND Rams200/1300/1300/1300/1
OKLAHOMA Sooners300/180/180/140/1
FLORIDA ST Seminoles300/1100/180/140/1
INDIANA Hoosiers300/1100/1100/120/1
SMU Mustangs300/1100/1100/180/1
ILLINOIS Fighting Illini300/1100/1100/1100/1
SOUTH CAROLINA Gamecocks300/1100/1100/1100/1
UTAH Utes300/1100/1100/1100/1
UNLV Runnin' Rebels300/1100/1100/11000/1
VCU Rams300/1200/1100/1100/1
MARQUETTE Golden Eagles300/1200/1100/1100/1
SAN DIEGO ST Aztecs300/1200/1200/1100/1
GEORGIA Bulldogs300/1300/1200/1200/1
WAKE FOREST Demon Deacons300/1300/1300/1300/1
IOWA Hawkeyes300/1300/1300/1300/1
PENN ST Nittany Lions300/1300/1300/1300/1
BYU Cougars300/1300/1300/1300/1
ARIZONA ST Sun Devils300/1300/1300/1300/1
STANFORD Cardinal300/1300/1300/1300/1
TEXAS TECH Red Raiders500/1300/1300/1300/1
DAYTON Flyers500/1300/1300/1300/1
CLEMSON Tigers500/1300/1300/1300/1
ST JOHN'S Red Storm500/1300/1300/1300/1
OHIO ST Buckeyes500/1300/1300/1300/1
NEBRASKA Cornhuskers500/1300/1300/1300/1
OLE MISS Rebels500/1300/1300/1300/1
TENNESSEE Volunteers500/1300/1300/1300/1
MISSISSIPPI ST Bulldogs500/1300/1300/1300/1
KANSAS ST Wildcats500/1300/1300/1300/1
OKLAHOMA ST Cowboys500/1300/1300/1300/1
HOUSTON Cougars500/1500/1500/1500/1
CENTRAL FLORIDA Golden Knights500/1500/1500/1500/1
DAVIDSON Wildcats500/1500/1500/1500/1
GEORGIA TECH Yellow Jackets500/1500/1500/1500/1
NC STATE Wolfpack500/1500/1500/1500/1
MIDDLE TENN ST Blue Raiders500/1500/1500/1500/1
COLORADO ST Rams500/1500/1500/1500/1
BOISE ST Broncos500/1500/1500/1500/1
FRESNO ST Bulldogs500/1500/1500/1500/1
OREGON ST Beavers500/1500/1500/1500/1
ST BONAVENTURE Bonnies500/11000/11000/11000/1
CHARLESTON Cougars500/11000/11000/11000/1
OAKLAND Golden Grizzlies500/11000/11000/11000/1
BELMONT Bruins500/11000/11000/11000/1
BUFFALO Bulls500/11000/11000/11000/1
CALIFORNIA Golden Bears1000/1300/1300/1300/1
COLORADO Buffaloes1000/1300/1300/1300/1
ILLINOIS ST Redbirds1000/1500/1300/1300/1
MEMPHIS Tigers1000/1500/1500/1500/1
RICHMOND Spiders1000/1500/1500/1500/1
La Salle EXPLORERS1000/1500/1500/1500/1
LSU Tigers1000/1500/1500/1500/1
GEORGETOWN Hoyas1000/1200/1200/1200/1
WYOMING Cowboys1000/11000/1500/1500/1
VERMONT Catamounts1000/11000/11000/11000/1
ST LOUIS Billikens1000/11000/11000/11000/1
OLD DOMINION Monarchs1000/11000/11000/11000/1
PRINCETON Tigers1000/11000/11000/11000/1
HARVARD Crimson1000/11000/11000/11000/1
YALE Bulldogs1000/11000/11000/11000/1
TEXAS ARLINGTON Mavericks1000/11000/11000/11000/1
GEORGIA ST Panthers1000/11000/11000/11000/1
VALPARAISO Crusaders1000/11000/11000/11000/1
NORTHERN IOWA Panthers1000/11000/11000/11000/1
NEW MEXICO ST Aggies1000/11000/11000/11000/1
GRAND CANYON Antelopes1000/11000/11000/11000/1
FLORIDA GULF COAST Eagles1000/12000/12000/12000/1
LOUISIANA TECH Bulldogs1000/12000/12000/12000/1
GEORGE WASHINGTON Colonials2000/11000/11000/11000/1
GEORGE MASON Patriots2000/11000/11000/11000/1
NC WILMINGTON Seahawks2000/11000/11000/11000/1
PITTSBURGH Panthers2000/1500/1500/1500/1
ARKANSAS ST Red Wolves2000/11000/11000/11000/1
AKRON Zips2000/11000/11000/11000/1
OHIO Bobcats2000/11000/11000/11000/1
NEW MEXICO Lobos2000/11000/11000/11000/1
UTAH ST Aggies2000/11000/11000/11000/1
WASHINGTON ST Cougars2000/11000/11000/11000/1
EAST TENNESSEE ST Buccaneers2000/11000/11000/11000/1
CHATTANOOGA Mocs2000/11000/11000/11000/1
BOSTON COLLEGE Eagles2000/11000/11000/11000/1
NC CENTRAL Eagles2000/13000/13000/12000/1
LA LAFAYETTE Ragin' Cajuns2000/13000/13000/12000/1
WESTERN KENTUCKY Hilltoppers2000/13000/13000/11000/1
MONMOUTH Hawks3000/12000/12000/12000/1
TROY Trojans3000/12000/12000/12000/1
PENNSYLVANIA Quakers3000/13000/13000/12000/1
BUCKNELL Bison3000/13000/13000/12000/1
WASHINGTON Huskies3000/13000/13000/12000/1
UTEP Miners3000/15000/15000/15000/1
MT ST MARYS Mountaineers5000/15000/15000/15000/1
SAN FRANCISCO Dons5000/15000/15000/15000/1
WRIGHT ST Raiders5000/15000/15000/15000/1
JACKSONVILLE ST Gamecocks5000/15000/15000/15000/1
NC GREENSBORO Spartans5000/15000/15000/15000/1
SOUTH DAKOTA Coyotes5000/15000/15000/15000/1
NORTH DAKOTA ST Bison5000/15000/15000/15000/1
IPFW Mastodons5000/15000/15000/15000/1
SOUTH DAKOTA ST Jackrabbits5000/15000/15000/15000/1
IUPUI Jaguars5000/15000/15000/15000/1
CS BAKERSFIELD Roadrunners5000/15000/15000/15000/1
TEXAS ST Bobcats5000/15000/15000/15000/1
COASTAL CAROLINA Chanticleers5000/15000/15000/15000/1
ALBANY Great Danes5000/15000/15000/15000/1
FIELD ( All Others )300/1300/1300/1300/1

Before the season started last year, Duke was +350 and if you forgot, they had pretty high expectations. In fact, they were 20/1 to have an undefeated regular season and 40/1 to be an undefeated national champion — a feat that hasn’t occurred since the 1976 Hoosiers went 32-0. There aren’t any undefeated props yet for this season, but I would imagine there will be.

Follow us on Twitter @SportsInsights for more updates as well as props, new blog posts, breaking news, and more.

Mark Gallant

I'm the guy who does his job. You must be the other guy.

1 Comment
  • Nathan
    08/30/2017 at 1:26 am

    This is a test only

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