2017 NFL Touchdown Leader Odds
Last year, David Johnson was the favorite to score the most combined rushing and receiving touchdowns before the season started. He fulfilled the prophecy by scoring 20: 16 rushing and four receiving.
The Cardinals’ dual threat hasn’t done anything in the offseason that would cause oddsmakers to sour on him, but he isn’t the lone favorite at Ladbrokes.
Ezekiel Elliott joins Johnson at the top of the list at +450. Elliott finished third in the league last year with 16 scores, with all but one coming on the ground. With Johnson able to do more in the passing game, I would lean towards him if you were to take one of the two co-favorites.
The first wide receiver listed is Pittsburgh’s Antonio Brown at 11/1. Brown has finished with between 10 and 13 touchdowns in each of the past three seasons, which are great numbers for a wide receiver. However, the league leader in total touchdowns has finished with at least 17 in all but one season this decade. There’s no reason why Brown couldn’t reach double digits again this year, but he will need some help from the rest of the league if he wants a chance at the top spot.
New Patriots running back Mike Gillislee is tied with Rob Gronkowski at 33/1 as the highest Patriot listed. The Pats are expected to do great things this season, as is generally the case, but will be without their TD leader last year in LeGarrette Blount. Blount finished second in the NFL with 18 scores— many of which came in goal line situations. If Gillislee can slide into Belichick’s system and take over the role held by Blount last year, he will have plenty of chances to score.
The highest rookies on the list are Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey at 40/1. Fournette should have no problem landing the Jaguars’ starting running back job over T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory, but probably won’t factor into the passing game all that much. McCaffrey, on the other hand, will have to compete with Jonathan Stewart for reps, but has more versatility that could lead to a wider range of scoring chances.
Any value opportunities stick out in your mind or do you think one of the favorites can get the job done again?
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