2017 NCAA Tournament: Round of 64 Betting Recap

The Round of 64 lacked the crazy finishes and big upsets we’re used to seeing in the NCAA Tournament. USC over SMU was the biggest upset as they reached +890 on the live moneyline, while 11-seeds overall were 3-1 ATS and SU. There were no surprises to any #1-#4 seeds, and #5-Minnesota lost as an UNDERDOG to #12-seed MTSU.

ATS Trends:
Favorites went 16-15 ATS and 26-4 straight up

Teams getting <50% of bets went 18-13 ATS (Favorites 6-3 ATS)

Teams getting <40% of bets went 11-6 ATS (Favorites 4-1 ATS)

Teams getting <30% of bets went 2-1 ATS

Seeds to go 3-1 ATS in opening round: 4,7,8,11,12

The ACC was the worst conference ATS at 2-6, while the Big-12 was the best at 4-2

4 of the 6 best ATS teams in the regular season failed to cover in the 1st round (SMU, Gonzaga, Nevada, Northern Kentucky)

Overs went 22-9-1 in the Round of 64 (also went 3-1 in the First Four games)

Most-bet games by ticket counts:
1) Michigan/Okla St 41,015
2) Princeton/ND 35,760
3) URI/Creighton 32,647

Biggest upsets (spread, moneyline):
USC (+6.5, +275) vs. SMU
Xavier (+2, +126) vs. Maryland
Northwestern (+1, +118) vs. Vanderbilt

Bad Beats/Late Covers:

Vanderbilt late foul- After going up 1 with 15 seconds left, Vandy mistakenly fouled Northwestern to give them free throws and the win.

Seton Hall “intentional” foul- This late call was controversial and unfortunate for Seton Hall backers (61% of tickets, 70% of money):

Oklahoma State late three- Michigan was up 4 after late free throws but Cowboys backers (34% of tickets, 32% of money) soon rejoiced:

Prop Bets that have cashed:

Most Points for both teams in game: O/U 178.5    Arizona won 100-82 to cashon the opening day

Most Points for single team in a game: O/U 97.5    Arizona scored 100 on Thursday, and UNC 103 and Kansas 100 on Friday

#1-seeds winning by less than 40 pts- It wasn’t a widely bet prop, but an exciting one nonetheless:

As a reminder, you can track the entire betting market including all odds, %’s, bet signals and more with a Pro trial.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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