2017 College Basketball AP Player of the Year Odds

The AP College Basketball Player of the Year award was established in 1961 to recognize the most outstanding college basketball player in the nation, as determined by the Associated Press. Duke has produced the most winners with Art Heyman, Christian Laettner, Elton Brand, Shane Battier, Jay Williams and J.J. Redick taking home this prestigious award.

The table below displays every winner since the award’s inception more than fifty years ago.

Year Player School FG% 3PT% FT% PPG RPG APG
2016 Denzel Valentine Michigan State 46.2% 44.4% 85.3% 19.2 7.5 7.8
2015 Frank Kaminsky Wisconsin 54.7% 41.6% 78.0% 18.8 8.2 2.6
2014 Doug McDermott Creighton 52.6% 44.9% 86.4% 26.7 7 1.6
2013 Trey Burke Michigan 46.3% 38.4% 80.1% 18.6 3.2 6.7
2012 Anthony Davis Kentucky 62.3% 15.0% 70.9% 14.2 10.4 1.3
2011 Jimmer Fredette Brigham Young 45.2% 39.6% 89.4% 28.9 3.4 4.3
2010 Evan Turner Ohio State 51.9% 36.4% 75.4% 20.4 9.2 6
2009 Blake Griffin Oklahoma 65.4% 37.5% 59.0% 22.7 14.4 2.3
2008 Tyler Hansbrough North Carolina 54.0% 0.0% 80.6% 22.6 10.2 0.9
2007 Kevin Durant Texas 47.3% 40.4% 81.6% 25.8 11.1 1.3
2006 J.J. Redick Duke 47.0% 42.1% 86.3% 26.8 2 2.6
2005 Andrew Bogut Utah 62.0% 36.0% 69.2% 20.4 12.2 2.3
2004 Jameer Nelson Saint Joseph's 47.5% 39.0% 79.2% 20.6 4.7 5.3
2003 David West Xavier 51.3% 34.6% 81.6% 20.1 11.8 3.2
2002 Jay Williams Duke 45.7% 38.3% 67.6% 21.3 3.5 5.3
2001 Shane Battier Duke 47.1% 41.9% 79.6% 19.9 7.3 1.8
2000 Kenyon Martin Cincinnati 56.8% 28.6% 68.4% 18.9 9.7 1.4
1999 Elton Brand Duke 62.0% N/A 70.7% 17.7 9.8 1.1
1998 Antawn Jamison North Carolina 57.9% 40.0% 66.7% 22.2 10.5 0.8
1997 Tim Duncan Wake Forest 60.8% 27.3% 63.6% 20.8 14.7 3.2
1996 Marcus Camby Massachusetts 47.7% 0.0% 70.0% 20.5 8.2 1.8
1995 Joe Smith Maryland 57.8% 42.9% 74.1% 20.8 10.6 1.2
1994 Glenn Robinson Purdue 48.3% 38.0% 79.6% 30.3 10.1 1.9
1993 Calbert Cheaney Indiana 54.9% 42.7% 79.5% 22.4 6.4 2.4
1992 Christian Laettner Duke 57.5% 55.7% 81.5% 21.5 7.9 2
1991 Shaquille O'Neal Louisiana State 62.8% N/A 63.8% 27.6 14.7 1.6
1990 Lionel Simmons La Salle 51.3% 47.7% 66.1% 26.5 11.1 3.6
1989 Sean Elliott Arizona 48.0% 50.4% 84.1% 22.3 7.2 4.1
1988 Hersey Hawkins Bradley 52.4% 39.4% 84.8% 36.3 7.8 3.6
1987 David Robinson Navy 59.1% 100.0% 63.7% 28.2 11.8 1
1986 Walter Berry St. John's (NY) 59.8% N/A 70.2% 23 11.1 N/A
1985 Patrick Ewing Georgetown 62.5% N/A 63.8% 14.6 9.2 1.3
1984 Michael Jordan North Carolina 55.1% N/A 77.9% 19.6 5.3 2.1
1983 Ralph Sampson Virginia 60.4% N/A 70.4% 19.1 11.7 1
1982 Ralph Sampson Virginia 56.1% N/A 61.5% 15.8 11.4 1.2
1981 Ralph Sampson Virginia 55.7% N/A 63.1% 17.7 11.5 1.5
1980 Mark Aguirre DePaul 54.0% N/A 76.6% 26.8 7.6 2.8
1979 Larry Bird Indiana State 53.2% N/A 83.1% 28.6 14.9 5.5
1978 Butch Lee Marquette 50.6% N/A 87.9% 17.7 3.1 N/A
1977 Marques Johnson UCLA 59.1% N/A 62.1% 21.4 11.1 N/A
1976 Scott May Indiana 52.7% N/A 78.2% 23.5 7.7 2.1
1975 David Thompson North Carolina State 54.6% N/A 73.1% 29.9 8.2 N/A
1974 David Thompson North Carolina State 54.7% N/A 74.5% 26 7.9 N/A
1973 Bill Walton UCLA 65.0% N/A 56.9% 20.4 16.9 N/A
1972 Bill Walton UCLA 64.0% N/A 70.4% 21.1 15.5 N/A
1971 Austin Carr Notre Dame 51.7% N/A 81.1% 38 7.4 N/A
1970 Pete Maravich Louisiana State 44.7% N/A 77.3% 44.5 5.6 N/A
1969 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar UCLA 63.5% N/A 61.2% 24 14.7 N/A
1968 Elvin Hayes Houston 54.9% N/A 61.8% 36.8 18.9 N/A
1967 Kareem Abdul-Jabbar UCLA 66.7% N/A 65.0% 29 15.5 N/A
1966 Cazzie Russell Michigan N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1965 Bill Bradley Princeton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1964 Gary Bradds Ohio State N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1963 Art Heyman Duke N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1962 Jerry Lucas Ohio State 61.1% N/A 79.9% 21.8 17.8 N/A
1961 Jerry Lucas Ohio State 62.3% N/A 76.4% 24.9 17.4 N/A

On Wednesday morning, Bovada posted odds for the 2017 AP Player of the Yeard award. Although most of the discussion this season has centered on the talented freshman class, it’s actually an upperclassmen that’s listed at the front-runner.

This season, senior guard Frank Mason III has efficiently averaged 20.3 PPG, 5.1 APG and 4.3 RPG while leading the Kansas Jayhawks to a 21-3 record and the #3 ranking in the latest AP Top 25 Poll. He’s opened as the favorite at +250, but has since moved to +150.

Not many sportsbooks offer AP Player of the Year odds and, for that reason, these odds are somewhat exploitative. This prop takes low limits and features a high hold percentage. It’s also worth noting that there’s no option for the field, and all wagers have action. That means if an unlisted player wins this award — e.g. Joel Berry, Josh Jackson or De’Aaron Fox — Bovada would clean up.

The table below displays the latest AP Player of the Year odds at Bovada. It will be updated as more information becomes available.

Player School Bovada (3/6) Bovada (2/9) Bovada (2/8)
Frank Mason Kansas -400 +150 +250
Josh Hart Villanova +250 +300 +400
Lonzo Ball UCLA +1400 +1000 +600
Caleb Swanigan Purdue +1400 +1000 +1600
Nigel Williams-Goss Gonzaga +1400 +1600 +1600
Justin Jackson North Carolina N/A +1200 +750
Malik Monk Kentucky N/A +1200 +700
Luke Kennard Duke N/A +1400 +1200
Ethan Happ Wisconsin N/A +1600 +1600
Lauri Markkanen Arizona N/A +2000 +2000
Dennis Smith NC State N/A +2000 +2000
Jonathan Motley Baylor N/A +2200 +2200
Bonzie Colson Notre Dame N/A +2500 +1600
Trevon Bluiett Xavier N/A +3300 +1800
Kelan Martin Butler N/A +3300 +3300

Based on the low limits and subjectivity of the vote, I won’t be placing a wager on the AP Player of the Year. That said, history says that one-dimensional scorers don’t win this award unless they’re an extreme outlier like Jimmer Fredette or J.J Redick. For that reason, I would recommend avoiding players like Malik Monk or Justin Jackson.

Two players who may be slipping under the radar are Purdue’s Caleb Swanigan and Gonzaga’s Nigel Williams-Goss; both of whom opened at 16/1. Swanigan (19.1 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 2.8 APG) has led the #16 Boilermakers to a 19-5 record including impressive wins over Notre Dame, Northwestern, and Maryland. When this article was first published I liked Swanigan at +1600, but he has lost some value at 10/1.

Williams-Goss, on the other hand, has thrived since transferring from Washington to Gonzaga. The 6’3″ guard has been the best player on the nation’s best team; leading the Bulldogs to an undefeated record (24-0). Although Gonzaga is frequently a trendy Cinderella pick, this Zags team is a legitimate title contender. Neither player is actionable at the current price, but Williams-Goss looks like the superior value.

Bettors can keep up with the latest college basketball odds, betting trends, injuries, futures and more by visiting our free NCAAB odds page.

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David Solar

David Solar is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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