2017-18 College Football: Week 5 Betting Recap

2017-18 College Football: Week 5 Betting Recap

Saturday night brought us another upset with Troy hanging on to win at LSU 24-21. The Trojans were 10/1 on the moneyline and +20.5 on the spread. A bettor at William Hill actually risked $18,000 on the LSU moneyline, which would have paid out just $1,000.

Road teams have been covering at an incredible rate this season, going 29-24 ATS in Week 5. Visitors are now 191-131 ATS on the season and this week it started Thursday night when Texas beat Iowa State 17-7 on the road as 5-point favorites. BYU wasn’t so lucky on Friday night though, falling 40-24 at Utah State to be the first 0-5 ATS team on the season.

Clemson handled Virginia Tech on the road, and #1 Alabama crushed Ole Miss at home. Penn State’s Saquon Barkley certainly held his ground as Heisman favorite in the Nittany Lions’ blowout win over Indiana.

Week 5 Betting Trends:
Favorites went 31-21 ATS
Visitors went 29-24 ATS
Unders went 28-25

Unders are now 186-147 this season.

Visitors are now 191-131 ATS this season.

The SEC went 0-3 ATS in non-conference games and is now just 10-27 ATS this season.

It was a good week to be a public bettor– teams closing with at least 70% of bets went 8-4 ATS, and teams closing with at least 60% of bets went 20-10 ATS.

Biggest Underdogs:
Murray State was +47 at Louisville and barely covered, losing 55-10. Teams closing +45 or higher have now gone 9-2 ATS this year and 72-46 ATS since 2007. Teams closing +40 or higher have gone 18-5 ATS this season.

Rutgers closed +28.5 and got demolished by Ohio State 56-0, but teams closing +21 or higher are still a solid 76-45 ATS this season.

Biggest Moneyline Upsets:
Troy +1000 at LSU
Maryland +426 at Minnesota

More Betting Nuggets:
Florida (-9.5) backers were thrilled when RB Malik Davis scored a late TD on 4th and 1 to put the Gators up 38-24 and get the cover at Vanderbilt. Florida closed with just 36% of bets.

Teams that are now 5-0 ATS: SMU, New Mexico State
Teams that are now 4-0 ATS: Marshall, Fresno, Northern Illinois, Utah, Texas Tech, Georgia Tech
Teams that are now 0-5 ATS: BYU, Bowling Green, Oregon St
Teams that are now 0-4 ATS: Arkansas, UConn, Ole Miss, Missouri, Western Kentucky

It’s getting worse for Butch Jones and Tennessee. The Vols fell 41-0 at home to Georgia, their most lopsided loss ever at Neyland Stadium.

Despite a flurry of action on the Over for Texas Tech/Oklahoma State, the game went Under with the Cowboys winning 41-34.

5 of the 6 favorites in the most-bet games of the day covered: Clemson, Georgia, Alabama, Florida, Oregon, Michigan State. The only team that did not was Oklahoma State (-10) who won by 7 over TTU.

Major Injuries:

Florida QB Luke Del Rio (shoulder) is out for the season
Houston DL Ed Oliver (knee) is questionable vs. SMU
Oregon QB Justin Herbert (collarbone) is out indefinitely

Check out our Free Live Odds page for the latest injuries, Week 6 openers, line moves, betting %’s and more.

Our Best Bets went 7-2-1 ATS this week and are now +8.07 units on the season. All Pro members get access to all picks.

We’ll also be updating Heisman Trophy odds and National Championship odds during the week.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

No Comments
Post a Comment