2016 NFL Week 6 Opening Line Report

There’s only one undefeated team left in the NFL after Week 5: the Minnesota Vikings. In addition, the Vikings are the only team that have covered all five games, and they have done so despite injuries to Teddy Bridgewater, Adrian Peterson and, most recently, Stefon Diggs.

Although Minnesota’s starting quarterback, Sam Bradford, is 4-0 ATS (+3.73 units), he’s still not the most profitable starting QB this season — that honor goes to Broncos quarterback Trevor Siemian (4-0, +3.79 units). Siemian, who missed last week’s game due to a shoulder injury, is expected to start in Thursday night’s game against the San Diego Chargers.

Despite Siemian’s return, there are two key play-callers who remain questionable. Carson Palmer and Cam Newton, both of whom suffered concussions in Week 4, could return this week assuming they clear the league’s concussion protocol. You can track the status of these players by visiting our free NFL injury page.

Below are all of the opening and current lines for Week 6 from Bookmaker compared to the lookahead lines that CG Technology posted back in April

Matchup Current Line (10/11) Opening Line (10/9) Look Ahead (4/21)
DEN at SD* DEN -3 DEN -3 DEN -3
CIN at NE NE -9 NE -8 NE -4
BAL at NYG* NYG -3 NYG -3 NYG -3
PIT at MIA PIT -8 PIT -7.5 PIT -3.5
JAX at CHI CHI -3 CHI -1.5 CHI -3.5
SF at BUF BUF -8.5 BUF -7.5 BUF -7
LA at DET DET -3 DET -3 DET -1.5
CLE at TEN* TEN -7.5 TEN -6 TEN -3.5
PHI at WAS PHI -3 WAS -1.5 WAS -3
KC at OAK OAK -1.5 OAK -1.5 PK
ATL at SEA SEA -6 SEA -5.5 SEA -10
DAL at GB* GB -4 GB -4 GB -6
IND at HOU HOU -3 HOU -3.5 HOU -1.5
NYJ at ARI* ARI -7.5 ARI -7.5 ARI -4

*Game was initially off the board

Palmer has not been officially cleared to play, but Arizona head coach Bruce Arians believes he will be available to play in Monday’s game. As a result, the Cardinals opened as 7.5-point favorites despite the lack of an official announcement. Cam Newton’s status is less certain, which explains why that game remains off the board.

One of the biggest discrepancies from the lookahead point spreads and the current lines comes from the Patriots-Bengals game. After crushing the Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium, the Patriots return to Foxborough as 9-point favorites. At the time of publication, the Bengals are receiving a mere 16% of spread bets, which is their lowest level of public support since 10/19/03.

Another large discrepancy comes from the Falcons-Seahawks game, where the Falcons have moved from +10 to +6. This dramatic shift reveals the newfound respect that the Falcons and their league-leading passing game is getting from oddsmakers. Matt Ryan and the rest of Atlanta’s offense face a tough Seahawks defense, which has given up the fewest passing yards in the NFL. Atlanta is receiving 74% of early spread bets, yet they have moved from +5.5 to +6 at Bookmaker.

These numbers are subject to change before kickoff, so bettors should be sure to visit our free NFL odds page for the latest lines, injuries, public betting trends and more.

We would also suggest that customers sign up for a 4-day trial of Sportsbook Insider Pro for real-time odds, public betting trends, Best Bet picks, contrarian plays, steam moves, reverse line movement alerts and much more. Schedule a one-on-one demo with our customer service and we add four days onto your subscription for free!

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Andrew Fine

Andrew is a Sports Betting Specialist for Sports Insights. He can be reached at andrew@sportsinsights.com.

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