2016 NCAA Tournament Automatic Bids

So far there have been 13 automatic bids into the NCAA Tournament this year with many more to be finalized over the weekend. Below shows the odds for each school to have won their conference tournaments, as well as probabilities to make the Sweet 16 and Final 4 via our Bracket Simulator.

School Odds to Have Won Conference Tourney Odds to reach Sweet 16 Odds to reach Final 4
Gonzaga +120 27.2% 5.0%
Yale N/A 10.4% 0.8%
South Dakota State +200 6.4% 0.2%
UNC Wilmington +340 5.4% 0.1%
Northern Iowa +1200 4.2% 0.2%
Tenn Chatanooga +120 3.8% 0.0%
Iona +335 2.7% 0.1%
Wisconsin Green Bay +1800 1.3% 0.0%
UNC Asheville +250 0.7% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast +400 0.1% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson +500 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross +30000 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay +7500 0.0% 0.0%

Right now Gonzaga has by far the best chance of any of the automatic bids to make a run in the tourney. Our Bracket Simulator projects them as an 11-seed and the Zags are given a probability of 27.2% to reach the Sweet 16 which equates to +268 odds. Yale has the next best chance to make a run at 10.4% (+862 odds) and are a projected 12-seed.

This year there has been only one conference tournament won by the #1-seed (Tennessee Chattanooga), which is another reason why the probabilities to advance are so low.

To keep up with all the remaining conference tourney games, check out our Free Live Odds page.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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