2016 MLB Win Totals
Atlantis Casino in Reno, Nevada became the first sportsbook to post win totals for the 2016 MLB season in early February. Although many oddsmakers have been hanging World Series futures since early October, this offered our first glimpse into the projected final standings for the upcoming season. The Golden Nugget in Las Vegas, Nevada then opened their win totals which for some teams has differed greatly.
The table below displays the win totals for all 30 teams and will be updated as new information becomes available.
| Team | Golden Nugget (Feb 19) | Atlantis ( Feb 11) |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 94 | 89 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 90 | 87 |
| New York Mets | 89 | 88 |
| Washington Nationals | 88 | 87 |
| Boston Red Sox | 87.5 | 85.5 |
| Houston Astros | 87.5 | 85.5 |
| San Francisco Giants | 86 | 90 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 86 | 87 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 86 | 87 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 85 | 87.5 |
| New York Yankees | 85 | 85 |
| Cleveland Indians | 85 | 84 |
| Kansas City Royals | 84 | 87 |
| Seattle Mariners | 83 | 83 |
| Arizona D-Backs | 82 | 84.5 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 81.5 | 78 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 81 | 82.5 |
| Detroit Tigers | 81 | 85 |
| Chicago White Sox | 81 | 80.5 |
| Texas Rangers | 80.5 | 86 |
| Miami Marlins | 79.5 | 80.5 |
| Minnesota Twins | 79 | 77.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 77 | 80.5 |
| Oakland Athletics | 75.5 | 75.5 |
| San Diego Padres | 75 | 74 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 72 | 71 |
| Colorado Rockies | 72 | 68.5 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 71 | 71.5 |
| Atlanta Braves | 67 | 65 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 65.5 | 66.5 |
It’s interesting to see that the San Francisco Giants are projected to win a league-high 90 games at Atlantis Reno even though their odds of winning the World Series (+800) are actually worse than the Chicago Cubs. That seems to indicate that oddsmakers believe that the NL Central is far better than the NL West. That seems to be validated by this prop bet at Sports Interaction (SIA).
World Series – Winning Division
AL East +350
NL Central +350
AL West +400
AL Central +450
NL West +500
NL East +550— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) February 11, 2016
Based on these win totals, we can extrapolate Atlantis Reno’s projected playoff picture.
National League:
- NL West: San Francisco Giants (90)
- NL Central: Chicago Cubs (89)
- NL East: New York Mets (88)
- Wild Card: St. Louis Cardinals (87.5) and Pittsburgh Pirates (87)
American League:
- AL East: Toronto Blue Jays (87)
- AL Central: Kansas City Royals (87)
- AL West: Texas Rangers (86)
- Wild Card: Boston Red Sox (85.5) and Detroit Tigers (85.5)
Based on win totals at Golden Nugget however, the projected playoff picture looks a bit different:
National League:
- NL West: Los Angeles Dodgers (90)
- NL Central: Chicago Cubs (94)
- NL East: New York Mets (89)
- Wild Card: Washington Nationals (88) and Pittsburgh Pirates (86)
American League:
- AL East: Boston Red Sox (87.5)
- AL Central: Cleveland Indians (85)
- AL West: Houston Astros (87.5)
- Wild Card: Toronto Blue Jays (86) and New York Yankees (85)
Which teams do you think are offering value? Will you be placing any bets on the 2016 MLB win totals? Please leave your comments in the section below.
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