NCAAF Betting Trends: Boise State vs. Fresno State

Tonight’s betting trends report focuses on a Mountain West showdown between the fifth-ranked Boise State Broncos (4-0) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (2-3). While the Bulldogs are coming off of a 38-28 loss to Mississippi, the Broncos jumped on Nevada early last week and cruised to a 30-10 victory.

These two teams both boast impressive offenses although they attack opposing defenses in entirely different ways. Fresno State is led by Robbie Rouse, their diminutive 5’7 junior running back, who has run for 575 yards and four touchdowns through five games.

On the flip side, Boise State is led by their senior quarterback and Heisman hopeful Kellen Moore. This season, Moore is completing an astonishing 74% of his passes while compiling 1137 yards and a 14:4 touchdown to interception ratio. Perhaps most impressive is the fact that Moore has been sacked just once this season.

According to Sports Insights’ College Football Betting TrendsBoise State opened at -20 (-110) at CRIS and is currently receiving 79% of all spread wagers. That lopsided betting percentage has pushed the line to -20.5 (-110) at CRIS, however, a survey of the marketplace shows multiple books (including WSEX, Phoenix and BetUS) have moved the line past the key number of 21.

In fact, both SIA and Bodog have moved their line to -21.5 (-110) which once again exemplifies the importance of
shopping for the best line.

The following table shows the breakdown of spread betting percentages from our six contributing sportsbooks:

Team # Bets Sportsbook BetUS Carib WagerWeb 5Dimes SIA
Boise State 26229 87% 73% 92% 83% 65% 81%
Fresno State 13% 27% 288 17% 35% 14%

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