Big 12 Tournament: Kansas State vs. Baylor Rubber Match

After splitting during the regular season, Kansas State takes on Baylor Thursday in the second round of the Big 12 tournament.

The tables below shows the College Basketball Betting Trends, closing lines and final scores from the first two matchups.

Game #1 – 1/10/12

Team Spread % Closing Line Score
Baylor 57% +3.5 75
Kansas State 43% -3.5 73

Game #2 – 2/18/12

Team Spread % Closing Line Score
Kansas State 35% +7.5 57
Baylor 65% -7.5 56

Interesting trends:

  • The road team covered the spread in both games.
  • The underdog not only covered, but won outright in both games.
  • Public betting is trending towards Baylor, who received 57% of spread bets in Game 1, 65% in Game 2 and 73% for Game 3 (see table below).

The table below shows the line movement and College Basketball Betting Trends for Thursday’s game:

Team Spread % Current Line Opening Line
Kansas State 27% +2 +1.5
Baylor 73% -2 -1.5

Baylor opened as a 1.5-point favorite and, at the time of publication, has moved to -2.

Sports Insights’ College Basketball Betting Systems have not triggered any plays on this game, indicating the line movement was caused by an influx of public money on Baylor.

If this pattern continues, keep an eye on Kansas State for a potential Contrarian Betting opportunity.

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