Week 17 NFL Odds: Examining Early Line Movement

As we approach the final week of the NFL season many teams have already locked up their spot in the playoffs, however numerous teams are still fighting for their postseason lives while others are simply jockeying for position. The Washington Redskins (-3) will host the Dallas Cowboys with the NFC East crown on the line….

NFL Marketwatch – St. Louis Rams vs. Green Bay Packers

Welcome to the 2012-13 edition of NFL Marketwatch, where the team at Sports Insights gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. Every week we analyze the sports betting marketplace to pinpoint which games the public is chasing and which the sharps are pounding. Overall Record: 2-1 (66.6%) The goal of this weekly…

NFL Early Line Moves of Interest – Week 3

After two weeks of action, it is fair to say that it has been business as usual in the NFL — that is to say, highly unpredictable and filled with more surprises than the ending of The Usual Suspects. It’s no shock that the winner of the Cardinals/Patriots game would be 2-0, but who thought…

Early Line Movement: Week 1 Edition

After months and months of anticipation, the NFL season will kick off tomorrow evening with the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants hosting their longtime NFC East rival Dallas Cowboys. While the game itself should make for entertaining television, it’s difficult to find value in such an evenly bet game as the host Giants…

The St. Louis Rams and the Value of Late Season Home Dogs

Recently in our series of Bet Sharp articles, we re-examined a 2003 article by Richard Borghesi entitled Price Predictability: Insights from the NFL Point Spread. Borghesi’s paper revealed that home underdogs are extremely undervalued in weeks 15-17, and our data confirmed this trend. In fact, our records indicated that this trend had only strengthened since that…

MNF Betting Trends: Rams vs Giants

The New York Giants opened as a 3 point favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 66% of all spread bets. This lop-sided betting percentage is one of the main reasons that the Giants have moved to a 7 point favorite at a majority of books….