NFL Week 14 Betting Recap

– -In Week 14 underdogs went 8-8 pushing their season record to 104-99 ATS. Home teams went just 5-11 ATS in Week 14 dropping them to 102-98 ATS on the season. It was also a so-so week for contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 30% of spread bets going 5-4 ATS.

– Most lopsided bet Week 13 games:

  1. Texans -6.5 | 77% of spread bets
  2. Giants -3 | 77% of spread bets
  3. Patriots -4 | 77% of spread bets
  4. Colts -3 | 76% of spread bets
  5. Packers -13.5 | 72% of spread bets
  6. Broncos -9 | 72% of spread bets

– Cleveland Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel is expected to make his first career start this Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals. Earlier this season Manziel was listed at -130 to start a game during the 2014 NFL regular season.

– NFL Week 15 current lines at Pinnacle versus preseason lines:

  1. Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis (-3.5 | -1)
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-5 | -6.5)
  3. Green Bay Packers (-5.5 | -4.5) at Buffalo Bills
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (-14 | -10.5)
  5. Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons (+3 | -3.5)
  6. Cincinnati Bengals (Pick ‘Em | -1.5) at Cleveland Browns
  7. Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-6.5 | -3.5)
  8. Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-7.5 | -7)
  9. Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-7 | -4.5)
  10. Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5 | -8.5)
  11. Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-7.5 | -6.5)
  12. Denver Broncos (-4.5 | -3.5) at San Diego Chargers
  13. New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (+1.5 | -1.5)
  14. San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5 | -3.5)
  15. Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5 | -3)
  16. New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (+3 | -3)

– Largest discrepancies between current Pinnacle lines and preseason lines from CG Technologies:

  1. Seahawks: 7 points
  2. Steelers: 6.5 points
  3. Saints: 6 points
  4. Ravens: 3.5 points

– Over the past few weeks we have been tracking NFL win totals, projected wins and playoff predictions. Read the latest update here.

– You can view the latest odds and public betting trends on our free NFL odds page, but here are some key Week 14 injuries to monitor:

  1. Cardinals RB Andre Ellington, Hernia, Out For Year
  2. Falcons WR Julio Jones, Hip, Questionable
  3. Bears WR Brandon Marshall, Ribs, Out For Year
  4. Cowboys QB Tony Romo, Ribs, Probable
  5. Broncos WR Demaryius Thomas, Ankle, Probable
  6. Packers RB Eddie Lacy, Hip, Probable
  7. Texans WR Andre Johnson, Concussion, Questionable
  8. Colts CB Vontae Davis, Concussion, Questionable
  9. Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, Knee, Probable
  10. Jets WR Percy Harvin, Ankle, Out
  11. Titans WR Kendall Wright, Hand, Probable
  12. Redskins WR DeSean Jackson, Leg, Questionable
  13. Redskins QB Colt McCoy, Neck, Questionable

– With Colt McCoy listed as questionable, it’s entirely possible that RGIII will be back behind center this weekend when the Redskins (+7) face the Giants.

– Speaking of QB controversy, Bovada recently posted a prop bet regarding the Jets starting quarterback for Week 1 of the 2015 regular season.

  1. Field -200
  2. Geno Smith +500
  3. Marcus Mariota +600
  4. Jameis Winston +900
  5. Brian Hoyer +1200
  6. Michael Vick +1200
  7. Tim Tebow +3300

– Bovada also posted a prop bet regarding a number of coaches who are currently on the hot seat. The first number represents the odds of each coach returning next season with the second number representing the odds that they are not retained.

  1. Ron Rivera: -600 | +350
  2. Jay Gruden -300 | +200
  3. Doug Marrone -160 | +120
  4. Ken Whisenhunt -140 | Even
  5. Gus Bradley -120 | -120
  6. Tom Coughlin +150 | -200
  7. Marc Trestman +150 | -200
  8. Joe Philbin +200 | -300

– In other coaching news, Sportsbook.com now lists Jim Harbaugh at -160 to be the next head coach of the Oakland Raiders. Other options include Michigan (+200), not coaching anywhere (+400), remaining in San Francisco (+1200), any non-Michigan NCAA team (+2000) or any other NFL team (+300).

– Updated MVP Odds from Sportsbook.com (Last Week’s Odds)

  1. Aaron Rodgers -1500 (-500)
  2. JJ Watt +1800 (+1000)
  3. Tom Brady +1800 (+1200)
  4. DeMarco Murray +2000 (+2500)
  5. Peyton Manning +2000 (+450)
  6. Andrew Luck +3000 (+1500)
  7. Rob Gronkowski +7500 (+5000)

– Most likely Super Bowl matchups (via 5Dimes)

  1. New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers +600
  2. Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers +642
  3. New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks +776
  4. Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks +829
  5. New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles +2325
  6. Denver Broncos vs Philadelphia Eagles +2470
  7. Indianapolis Colts vs Green Bay Packers +2825
  8. New England Patriots vs Arizona Cardinals +3525
  9. Indianapolis Colts vs Seattle Seahawks +3550
  10. Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers +3725

 Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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