NFL Betting Trends – New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys

Since the firing of Wade Phillips, the Dallas Cowboys look like a new team, winning consecutive games against the New York Giants and Detroit Lions. However, the betting public is not buying “America’s Team” in Thursday’s Thanksgiving showdown, with 75% of spread bets taking the defending Super Bowl champions.

The Saints opened as a 3-point favorite at CRIS and the line has increased to -3.5 at most market-setting sportsbooks tracked by Sports Insights. There have already been six Betting System Plays triggered on this game, further influencing the line-movement.

Some books have even moved this game to -4.5, adding value to anyone considering a contrarian play on the Cowboys. With many people traveling Wednesday, don’t be surprised to see an influx of public money come down on this game from early tomorrow morning right up until kickoff.

As a result, be sure to plan ahead, postpone your turkey-induced nap and take a few minutes to shop for the best line before making a play on this game.

The following table shows the breakdown of spread betting percentages from our six contributing sportsbooks:

Team # Bets Sportsbook BetUS Carib WagerWeb 5Dimes
SIA
New Orleans 25223 90% 72% 61% 77% 67% 81%
Dallas 10% 28% 39% 23% 33% 19%
One comment on “NFL Betting Trends – New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys
  1. Nice blog post, PJ!

    Love the line “turkey-induced nap…”

    Let’s see if we get a bounce-back in the contrarian methods this week.

    Happy Thanksgiving to all…

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