NCAAB Game of the Week: Arizona vs. Wisconsin

Last season Arizona and Wisconsin faced off in the Elite 8 in what was arguably the best game of the tournament. Led by 28 points and 11 rebounds from Frank Kaminsky, the second seeded Badgers were able to defeat the top seeded Wildcats 64-63 in overtime. This year’s game shares many similarities, but the roles are reversed with Wisconsin boasting the number one seed in the West Region.

Despite their lower seeding, Arizona opened as a 1-point favorite at the market-setting CRIS sportsbook and, according to our public betting trends, are receiving 31% of early spread bets.

With this one-sided action you would imagine that the Wildcats would drop to a pick ’em, however, the line has increased to -1.5 across the sports betting marketplace. This reverse line movement is a strong indicator that early sharp money likes ‘Zona.

The table below displays the individual betting percentages at our contributing sportsbooks.

ARZ Wisc Trends

At the time of publication, no bet signals had been triggered on this game. That said there are a number of sharp money indicators that favor the Wildcats.

With a 16-7 ATS record (+8.18 units) in tournament games, Arizona’s Sean Miller is the most profitable head coach remaining in the tournament. Arizona also fits the criteria outlined in our betting system featured in ESPN’s tournament betting guide which highlights the value of fading trendy underdogs. Lastly, our research indicates that teams receiving less than 50% of spread bets have gone 26-13 ATS (+11.56 units) in the Elite 8.

Elite 8 Bet AgainstWe will continue to update this piece as tip-off approaches, but for the latest lines and betting trends make sure to visit our free College Basketball odds page.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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