2017-18 NBA Playoff Odds

2017-18 NBA Playoff Odds

For a few weeks, a couple of offshore sportsbooks have been teasing us with NBA playoff odds for a limited number of teams. 5Dimes, for example, only offered odds for the Timberwolves, 76ers, Pelicans, and Lakers.

We now have odds for every team in the league from BetOnline. You can also see how each team’s odds compare to their win totals.

TeamWestgate (10/16)BetOnline (10/16)Westgate (8/29)BetOnline (8/29)BetOnline (7/13)
AtlantaYes: +1400
No: -4000
Yes: +700
No: -1000
Yes: +1400
No: -4000
Yes: +240
No: -300
Yes: +190
No: -240
BostonYes: -5000
No: +1500
Yes: -1500
No: +1000
Yes: -5000
No: +1500
Yes: -1500
No: +800
Yes: -800
No: +500
BrooklynYes: +1000
No: -2000
Yes: +500
No: -650
Yes: +1000
No: -2000
Yes: +1200
No: -2500
Yes: +2000
No: -8000
CharlotteYes: -300
No: +240
Yes: -240
No: +200
Yes: -360
No: +280
Yes: -175
No: +145
Yes: -175
No: +145
Chicago Yes: +1600
No: -6000
Yes: +1000
No: -1500
Yes: +1500
No: -5000
Yes: +800
No: -1500
Yes: +1000
No: -2000
ClevelandYes: -5000
No: +1500
Yes: -2500
No: +1400
Yes: -5000
No: +1500
Yes: -2500
No: +1200
Yes: -800
No: +500
DallasYes: +500
No: -700
Yes: +400
No: -500
Yes: +425
No: -600
Yes: +400
No: -600
Yes: +400
No: -600
DenverYes: -310
No: +250
Yes: -210
No: +175
Yes: -360
No: +280
Yes: -220
No: +175
Yes: -230
No: +180
DetroitYes: +110
No: -130
Yes: -105
No: -115
Yes: +130
No: -150
Yes: -160
No: +130
Yes: -160
No: +130
Golden StateYes: -100000
No: +10000
Yes: -15000
No: +4000
Yes: -100000
No: +10000
Yes: -10000
No: +2500
Yes: -10000
No: +2500
HoustonYes: -2000
No: +1000
Yes: -1000
No: +700
Yes: -2000
No: +1000
Yes: -1250
No: +700
Yes: -1250
No: +700
IndianaYes: +400
No: -550
Yes: +325
No: -400
Yes: +375
No: -500
Yes: +300
No: -400
Yes: +300
No: -400
LA ClippersYes: -200
No: +170
Yes: -170
No: +150
Yes: -150
No: +130
Yes: -160
No: +130
Yes: -160
No: +130
LA LakersYes: +500
No: -700
Yes: +600
No: -800
Yes: +550
No: -800
Yes: +600
No: -1000
Yes: +1000
No: -2000
MemphisYes: +250
No: -310
Yes: +190
No: -230
Yes: +240
No: -300
Yes: +100
No: -130
Yes: +100
No: -130
MiamiYes: -400
No: +300
Yes: -260
No: +200
Yes: -400
No: +300
Yes: -210
No: +170
Yes: -200
No: +160
MilwaukeeYes: -700
No: +500
Yes: -390
No: +320
Yes: -800
No: +550
Yes: -325
No: +250
Yes: -300
No: +240
MinnesotaYes: -700
No: +500
Yes: -600
No: +450
Yes: -700
No: +500
Yes: -700
No: +450
Yes: -500
No: +350
New OrleansYes: +150
No: -180
Yes: +120
No: -140
Yes: +150
No: -180
Yes: +155
No: -185
Yes: +135
No: -165
New YorkYes: +450
No: -650
Yes: +425
No: -550
Yes: +425
No: -600
Yes: +250
No: -325
Yes: +250
No: -325
Oklahoma CityYes: -1600
No: +900
Yes: -800
No: +600
Yes: -1400
No: +800
Yes: -600
No: +400
Yes: -550
No: +375
OrlandoYes: +300
No: -400
Yes: +240
No: -280
Yes: +280
No: -360
Yes: +190
No: -240
Yes: +190
No: -240
PhiladelphiaYes: -200
No: +170
Yes: -220
No: +180
Yes: -360
No: +280
Yes: -280
No: +220
Yes: -175
No: +145
PhoenixYes: +1200
No: -3000
Yes: +1200
No: -2000
Yes: +1200
No: -3000
Yes: +1400
No: -4000
Yes: +2000
No: -8000
PortlandYes: -145
No: +125
Yes: -125
No: +105
Yes: -120
No: +100
Yes: +110
No: -140
Yes: +100
No: -130
SacramentoYes: +1200
No: -3000
Yes: +1400
No: -2500
Yes: +1200
No: -3000
Yes: +1400
No: -4000
Yes: +1400
No: -4000
San AntonioYes: -2000
No: +1000
Yes: +1400
No: -2500
Yes: -2000
No: +1000
Yes: -1000
No: +600
Yes: -1000
No: +600
TorontoYes: -800
No: +550
Yes: -475
No: +380
Yes: -900
No: +600
Yes: -550
No: +375
Yes: -550
No: +375
UtahYes: +110
No: -130
Yes: +150
No: -170
Yes: +140
No: -160
Yes: +160
No: -195
Yes: +180
No: -240
WashingtonYes: -1100
No: +700
Yes: -550
No: +425
Yes: -800
No: +550
Yes: -400
No: +300
Yes: -400
No: +300

I’m surprised that the Cavaliers and Celtics aren’t closer to the Warriors, but I’m guessing the limits for these will keep your winnings to a minimum even if you want to max bet them.

There are a handful of teams that could be right around the #8 seed in their conference, with the playoff race in the western conference expected to be especially close. The first five teams are essentially locks, but there are six teams that follow whose implied probabilities range from 69.7% (Denver) to 35.7% (Utah). These teams with odds closer to an even payout on both sides are the ones that bettors can make some money on without taking a huge risk.

Depending on how you feel Anthony Davis and Demarcus Cousins will play together for a full year, there could be some value on New Orleans (Yes: +135). Personally, I don’t love the pair, but some believe that the abundance of talent will eventually outweigh any chemistry or off-court issues.

The Eastern Conference doesn’t have as large of a group of teams near the bubble, but the obvious story will be the 76ers. At -175 to make the playoffs, oddsmakers are clearly “trusting the process”. Philly is bursting at the seems with potential, but the question is whether they will be good now or in a few years. They finished with 28 wins last season, but were a much better team with Joel Embiid on the floor. If he can stay healthy, the additions of Ben Simmons, Markelle Fultz, and JJ Redick should make them a dangerous foe even if there is a learning curve. I wouldn’t be surprised if this number went into the -200 or higher range.

Check back over the offseason to see how the odds updates and analysis. Feel free to comment with any thoughts or questions below, on live chat, or via email at help@sportsinsights.com.

Mark Gallant

I'm the guy who does his job. You must be the other guy.

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