NBA 2017-18: Assists and Rebounds Per Game Leader Odds
Paddy Power is going all out for NBA prop season. So far this week, we have gotten points per game leader, blocks per game leader, and Defensive Player of the Year.
Almost enough props to make a guy go mad! I’m teetering on the brink of insanity from all these props, let me tell ya…
Assists
| Player | (10/16) Paddy Power | (9/28) Paddy Power |
|---|---|---|
| John Wall | +140 | +140 |
| Russell Westbrook | +250 | +250 |
| Chris Paul | +500 | +500 |
| James Harden | +800 | +800 |
| LeBron James | +1200 | +1200 |
| Lonzo Ball | +1400 | +1400 |
| Ricky Rubio | +1600 | +1600 |
| Rajon Rondo | +1600 | +1600 |
| Jeff Teague | +3000 | +3000 |
| Milos Teodosic | +3000 | N/A |
| Stephen Curry | +3300 | +3300 |
| Jrue Holiday | +4000 | +4000 |
| Kyrie Irving | +5000 | +5000 |
| Dennis Schroder | +5000 | +5000 |
| Elfrid Payton | +5000 | +5000 |
| Ben Simmons | +5000 | +5000 |
| Draymond Green | +6600 | +6600 |
| Kyle Lowry | +6600 | +6600 |
| Eric Bledsoe | +6600 | +6600 |
| Markelle Fultz | +6600 | +6600 |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | +6600 | +6600 |
| Mike Conley | +8000 | +8000 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | +8000 | +8000 |
| Damian Lillard | +9000 | +9000 |
| Blake Griffin | +9000 | +9000 |
Last season, it was Jimmy Harden who led the league with 11.2 assists per game. Before the season, he was 20/1 to lead the league in dimes…not a bad payout if I do say so myself. Rajon Rondo was the favorite at +250…great job on that one oddsmakers!
With Chris Paul joining Harden in Houston this season, he’s understandably not the preseason favorite. Instead, John Wall, who finished second last season with 10.7 assists, gets the nod.
At +250, Russell Westbrook is not too far behind. He finished third last season with 10.4 assists, but it’s tough to tell whether adding Paul George and Carmelo Anthony to his team will help or hurt his assist numbers. On one hand, he’ll likely be shooting less and passing more, which in theory would increase his assists. On the other hand, his usage rate could go down and we could see the ball running through George or even Anthony at times.
Lonzo Ball…14/1…not bad. He should be in the running for this crown on an annual basis in the future, but I’m surprised he’s this high up in his rookie year.
Rebounds
| Player | 10/16 (PaddyPower) | 9/28 (PaddyPower) |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond | +250 | +250 |
| Hassan Whiteside | +250 | +250 |
| DeAndre Jordan | +300 | +300 |
| Rudy Gobert | +600 | +600 |
| Dwight Howard | +1100 | +1100 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | +1200 | +1200 |
| Anthony Davis | +1600 | +1600 |
| Nikola Jokic | +2000 | +2000 |
| Kevin Love | +2500 | +2500 |
| Joel Embiid | +3000 | +3000 |
| DeMarcus Cousins | +3000 | +3000 |
| Russell Westbrook | +5000 | +5000 |
| Nikola Vucevic | +5000 | +5000 |
| Julius Randle | +5000 | +5000 |
| Clint Capela | +6600 | +6600 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | +8000 | +8000 |
| LeBron James | +8000 | +8000 |
| Marcin Gortat | +8000 | +8000 |
| Blake Griffin | +8000 | +8000 |
| Tristan Thompson | +8000 | +8000 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | +10000 | +10000 |
| Stephen Adams | +10000 | +10000 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | +10000 | +10000 |
Last season, there were six players who averaged more than 12 boards per game—most in a season this century. It makes sense, though, as the 170.8 shots per game last season were the most since 1992-93. Hassan Whiteside’s 14.1 rebounds per game edged out Andre Drummond and DeAndre Jordan’s 13.8 a piece. Whiteside actually closed at +700 before last season, but the field is on a much more even plane heading into this season.
The oddsmakers aren’t getting creative, as the top six names on the board basically mirror last year’s league leaders. Drummond, Whiteside, and Jordan all have the ability to push for 15 rebounds a game, while I’m not sure any of the others do.
Karl-Anthony Towns is a young budding star who should continue to improve, though. He averaged 10.5 rebounds in his rookie season and 12.3 last year. I like his value the most of anyone on this list.
What will PaddyPower bring to the table next? Steals per game? Free-throw percentage? Player efficiency rating or “PER” for the stat geek? We shall see…
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