College Football Week 14 Betting Recap

– The current 4-team playoff projection: Alabama, Florida State, Oregon, TCU.

– FSU remains unbeaten on the season but fell to just 3-9 ATS after beating Florida 24-19. Only 1 team (2007 LSU) has won national title with losing record ATS in past 17 seasons.

– Western Kentucky and Marshall went under the radar this weekend but provided plenty of entertainment. The “Over 76.5” cashed with 7:23 left in the 2nd quarter and Western Kentucky ended up winning 67-66 in overtime. Via Covers.com, Marshall and Western Kentucky’s 91 1st half points were just three shy of record in one half (N. Texas & Navy had 94 in ‘07).

– UNLV HC Bobby Hauck will resign on Monday after 5 seasons with the school. Hauck went 15-49 SU and 29-33-2 ATS in his time there.

– Nebraska HC Bo Pelini has been removed. He went 47-44-2 ATS and 66-27 SU in 7 seasons at Nebraska.

– Despite potentially going 6-7 with a loss to Boise in the MWC Title Game, Fresno State will be eligible for a bowl.

– Buffalo went 5-6 this season and had their game vs. Kent State cancelled due to weather, leaving them without a last potential win to get them to a bowl.

Via our Bet Labs software:

– The 11 schools that failed to win more than 3 games ATS last season (30-100 combined ATS) are now 69-59 ATS this season.

– The last 4 meetings between Baylor and Texas Tech have had an average closing OU of 81.375. All 4 games went over the total by 17.63 ppg.

Heisman Trophy Odds (via TopBet):

Marcus Mariota -1000

Melvin Gordon +500

Trevone Boykin +5,000

Amari Cooper +7,500

JT Barrett +10,000

Jameis Winston +20,000

Current National Title Odds | Highest Odds during season:

Alabama +150       |   +800 on October 13

Oregon +250         |  +2,500 on October 6

TCU +450              |   +17,500 on August 23

Baylor +850           |   +3,000 on November 3

Florida St +900      |   +850 on November 10

Ohio St +1,500        |   +3,000 on September 8

Missouri +2,500       | +100,000 on October 27

Wisconsin +3,500    | +100,000 on October 20

Arizona +4,000         | +30,000 on November 24

GA Tech +4,500       | +100,000 on October 13

Kansas St +4,500     | +30,000 on November 17

Miss St +10,000        |  +12,000 on September 15

Conference Title Odds Current | Preseason:

Florida St -160 | -250

Georgia Tech +145 | +3300

Alabama -560 | +120

Missouri +435 | +3300

Wisconsin -190 | +240

Ohio St +165 | +225

What to look for in Week 15:

Oregon opened -13.5 at Pinnacle vs. Arizona in the Pac-12 Title Game and despite receiving 60% of early bets, have not moved off that number.

BetOnline opened Alabama at -1.5 (!!!!!!) for some reason but quickly moved to -10. The Line History for that game is shown below:

bama mizzou line history

Ohio State (+4) will take on Wisconsin in the Big Ten title game without starting QB JT Barrett due to a fractured ankle. Ohio State had already lost Heisman hopeful Braxton Miller before the season, and will start Cardale Jones on Saturday.

The team everyone loves to hate, Florida State, opened -4 for the ACC Title Game vs. Georgia Tech but have moved to -3. Their poor ATS record and hype surrounding the team has deterred sharp bettors on taking the Seminoles, but they continue to win games.

Did your favorite team overperform or underperform this season? You can check out the Preseason Win Totals for each team here.

You can get picks for all sports with our Pro trial which includes all of our College Football Best Bets (63-48 ATS for +9.2 units won this season) and our Contrarian plays (40-26 for +10.6 units) as well as Live Odds, Betting Trends, Breaking News, Line Predictions, Alerts, and more.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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