Brady One Step Closer to Adding MVP #3 After Wild Win in Pittsburgh

Brady One Step Closer to Adding MVP #3 After Wild Win in Pittsburgh

Despite Carson Wentz’s injury last week, Tom Brady was unable to distance himself on the MVP odds list due to a terrible Monday Night performance in Miami.

However, Sunday night’s win in Pittsburgh has all but secured Brady the hardware in the eyes of the oddsmakers. I’m guessing he’d have far shorter odds if the Jesse James touchdown stood and the Patriots lost, but hey, what can you do?

PlayerTeam12/27 (Bovada)12/18 (Bovada)12/13 (Bovada)12/5 (Bovada)11/27 (Bovada)11/21 (Bovada)11/13 (Bovada)11/7 (Bovada)11/1 (Bovada)10/18 (Bovada)10/11 (Bovada)10/4 (Bovada)9/26 (Bovada)9/20 (Bovada)9/13 (Bovada)9/7 (BetOnline)7/24 (BetOnline)6/27 (Bovada)
Tom BradyNE-300-1000-175-175-175-160+110+210+200+400+500+500+400+500+500+350+400+450
Todd GurleyLAR+200+2000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+2500+7500+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Drew BreesNON/A+900+1200+1400+1600+800+2500+1400+2000+2000+2500+1800+6600+15000+5000+2500+2500+2500
Russell WilsonSEAN/A+2000+600+600+1600+2000+2000+1400+900+1200+1200+1000+4000+2000+1600+1000+1000+1200
Carson WentzPHIN/A+2000+750+200+125+170EvenEven+210+175+700+1600+3300+3300+2000+10000+3300+10000
Antonio BrownPITN/AN/A+750+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+5000+3300+6600+3300+5000
Philip RiversLACN/AN/A+1200N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+6600+5000N/AN/A+5000
Ben RoethlisbergerPITN/AN/A+1200N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000+6600+6600+3300+2000+1400+1200+1000
Le'Veon BellPITN/AN/A+5000+2500N/AN/A+5000+2800+3300+2500+7500+3300+10000+3300+2500+2500+2500+3300
Case KeenumMINN/AN/AN/A+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jared GoffLARN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000+900+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Matt RyanATLN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000N/AN/AN/A+2500+1200+1000+400+1000+1600+1600+1400+1600
Cam NewtonCARN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000N/AN/AN/A+2500+1200+1800+6600+5000+2500+2500+2200+2500
Matt StaffordDETN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+1600+3300+3300N/A+2500+1600+500+1000+500+1000N/AN/A+5000
Alex SmithKCN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+2500+1400+800+450+200+600+1600+1400+2000+3300N/AN/A+6600
Dak PrescottDALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+2800+3300+3300+5000+3300+2000+3300+1200+1400+1200+1200
Kirk CousinsWASN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000N/A+1600+5000+3300+2000+10000+10000+6600N/A+5000
Kareem HuntKCN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+3300+3300+3300+1600+1400+2500+3300N/AN/AN/A
DeShaun WatsonHOUN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1000+1000+5000+1600N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jameis WinstonTBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+7500+3300+2000+1000+2000+3300+6600+5000
Ezekiel ElliottDALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+6600+6600+5000+3300+1600+2000+2000
Aaron RodgersGBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150+300+400+500+300+600+650+700
LeSean McCoyBUFN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+15000+10000+10000+6600+6600+10000
Von MillerDENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+10000N/AN/A+10000
J.J. WattHOUN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+10000N/AN/A+6600
Julio JonesATLN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+10000+3300+3300+5000
Rob GronkowskiNEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+7500+10000N/AN/A+6600
Marcus MariotaTENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1600+3300+3300+3300+5000+3300
Derek CarrOAKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1400+900+1000+1600+1600+900
Marshawn LynchOAKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+6600N/AN/A+10000
Joe FlaccoBALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+7500N/AN/A+10000
Eli ManningNYGN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+10000+5000+3300+5000
Khalil MackOAKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/A+6600
Blake BortlesJAXN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/A+10000
Dalvin CookMINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/A
Leonard FournetteJAXN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/A
Odell Beckham Jr.NYGN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/A+6600
Sam BradfordMINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+2500+4000+3300+5000
Trevor SiemianDENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/A
AJ GreenCINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/A
Paxton LynchDENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+10000N/A
Andy DaltonCINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+5000+10000
Carson PalmerARIN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+4000+5000+5000
Andrew LuckINDN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+2500+2500
David JohnsonARIN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+2000+3300+3300
Adrian PetersonNON/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000
Ryan TannehillMIAN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600
T.Y. HiltonINDN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000
DeMarco MurrayPHIN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000

Now at -1000, the rocket scientists at Bovada feel that there is over a 90% chance that Brady wins the MVP. At this time last season, Brady had the second best odds at +250 behind only Ezekiel Elliott in what was a very close race until the finish. Matt Ryan ended up running away with the award though, winning with 25 votes compared to Brady’s 10. Despite the media’s disdain for him and the Patriots, a perfect storm of injuries, standings, and individual performances may force voters to add another trophy to Tom’s display case.

With Nick Foles leading the Eagles’ offense to 34 points and a win against the Giants, Carson Wentz’s odds have taken another substantial hit. Obviously, nobody else is going to have a great chance when Brady is listed at -1000, but Wentz is sticking around at +2000. Will enough voters stand by Wentz despite playing three fewer games than any other candidate? I’m not so sure given Foles’ performance yesterday.

One name I’m surprised is missing is Jared Goff. Although yesterday was certainly the Todd Gurley show, the Rams’ dismantling of the NFC West cream-of-the-crop Seahawks should at least have put Goff back on the board in my eyes. Los Angeles continues to surprise me and Goff has top-10 numbers in most of the major QB stat categories. I don’t think he deserves to win the award, but he certainly deserves to have odds posted, espeically if Russell Wilson does. Wilson has thrown for six more touchdowns but has four more interceptions, a lower passer rating and two fewer wins.

Last week’s MVP article was focused on how Antonio Brown’s hot stretch had forced him into the conversation. Guess I jinxed that one, as Brown only caught two passes before injuring his calf and missing nearly the entire game vs. the Patriots. I’d be surprised if he played in either of the remaining two regular season games and not surprisingly, his case for MVP is out the window.

With the Patriots at home against the Bills this week, there’s a chance we may not even see updated MVP odds next week. Someone else is going to have to have a monster Week 16 and Week 17 to take this award away from the GOAT.

Mark Gallant

I'm the guy who does his job. You must be the other guy.

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