Is Baker Mayfield A Lock To Win The Heisman Trophy?

Is Baker Mayfield A Lock To Win The Heisman Trophy?

Last week we highlighted that Baker Mayfield’s Heisman odds dropped slightly due to his sideline antics and brief suspension vs. WVU, but now he’s back as the -1500 favorite to win. Mayfield came in early against the Mountaineers and had plenty of time to go 14-17 for 281 passing yards and 3 TDs in an easy 59-31 win. Although some voters will still remember that he had his captaincy stripped for Oklahoma’s regular season finale, his play on the field the entire season has made him the worthy favorite to win the trophy. Here’s a look at odds throughout the season:

PlayerSchoolPositionNov 30
(5Dimes)
Nov 22
(5Dimes)
Nov 14
(BOL)
Nov 7
(BOL)
Nov 1
(BOL)
Oct 24
(BOL)
Oct 16
(BOL)
Oct 9
(BOL)
Oct 3
(BOL)
Sep 25 9 PM
(BOL)
Sep 25 4 PM
(BOL)
Sep 18
(BOL)
Sep 11
(BOL)
Sep 6
(BOL)
Sep 6
(5Dimes)
Aug 21
(Bovada)
Aug 21
(5Dimes)
July 18
(5Dimes)
June 24
(5Dimes)
Feb 6
(Will Hill)
Jan 24
(Bovada)
Baker MayfieldOklahomaQB-1500-600-1500-175+1000+700+275+275+225+275+300+350+400+600+800+800+850+850+700+700+600
Lamar JacksonLouisvilleQB+900+785+10000+5000+5000+10000+3300+2000+1000+700+600+450+350+400+600+800+950+950+925+700+700
Bryce LoveStanfordRB+1000+1400+1000+1200+450+200+275+800+1400+3300+3300+5000N/AN/A+6500N/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Kerryon JohnsonAuburnRB+2000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+17500N/AN/A
Jonathan TaylorWisconsinRB+6600N/A+2500N/A+3300+2500N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Rashaad PennySan Diego StateRB+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Josh AdamsNotre DameRBN/A+8500+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Will GrierWest VirginiaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000N/A+6000+6600+3500N/AN/A
Sam DarnoldUSCQBN/AN/A+10000N/A+8000+5000+2500+2500+2000+1000+800+500+450+700+600+400+525+525+500+700+700
Khalil TateArizonaQBN/AN/A+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
James WashingtonOklahoma StateWRN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6000N/A+15000+15000+12500+6000N/A
Nick ChubbGeorgiaRBN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000+3300+2500+2500+3300+3300+3300+4000+5000+3300+3500+2500+4300+4300+4000+3000+2500
Trace McSorleyPenn StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000+5000+2500+2500+3300+2000+2000+1600+2000+1600+2000+3300+3500+3500+3300+2000+1000
Quinton FlowersSouth FloridaQBN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+2500+2500+3300+3300+3300+3300+2500+2500+2500+4000N/A+4500+4500+7500+4000N/A
Kenny HillTCUQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/A+20000+20000+20000+10000N/A
Malik RosierMiami FLQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+6600+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jalen HurtsAlabamaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+10000+10000+2500+2500+2500+2000+1200+1400+2500+1600+2200+2200+1500+1500+1200
Jake BrowningWashingtonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+5000+2500+3300+3300+3300+2000+2500+2000+3000+1800+2200+2200+1700+1200+1000
Luke FalkWashington StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+5000+1000+2000N/AN/AN/AN/A+2000+2500+3300+4900+4900+4700+3000+3500
Minkah FitzpatrickAlabamaSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Josh RosenUCLAQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+2000+2000+1400+1200+1200+2250+2500+3500+3500+3300+2000+1200
Royce FreemanOregonRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+3300+2000+2000+2500+3300+3000+4000N/A+11500+11500+10000+5000N/A
Cam AkersFlorida StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+17500+25000+20000N/AN/A
Damien HarrisAlabamaRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+10000+6600+4000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Derrius GuiceLSURBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+3300+1400+1400+1600+1200+1500+1500+1500+2000+1500
Nick FitzgeraldMississippi StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+3300+5000+5000+5500+3300+10000+10000+10000+4000+2200
JK DobbinsOhio StRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+5000+6600+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jarrett StidhamAuburnQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+6600+8000+10000+5000N/A+2000+2000+2000+2500+4000N/A
Calvin RidleyAlabamaWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+8000+10000+6600+10000N/A+20000+20000+20000+10000N/A
Justin HerbertOregonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+10000+5000+15000N/A+12500+12500+15000+10000N/A
Ty JohnsonMarylandRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+2500+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Kamryn PettwayAuburnRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+4000+5000+5000+5000+3300+4700+4700+4500+3000+2500
Ed OliverHoustonDTN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+6600+6500N/A+25000+25000+17500+7500N/A
Brandon WimbushNotre DameQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000+10000+6600+4500N/A+12500+12500+12500+7500N/A
Nyqwan MurrayFlorida StateWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
JT BarrettOhio StateQBN/A+3785+2500+2500+400+800+1600+10000+2500+1400+1400+2000+2500+800+1500+800+1250+1250+1050+1000+700
Justin JacksonNorthwesternRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/AN/AN/A
Mason RudolphOklahoma StateQBN/A+15000+10000+3300+3300+2000+500+600+800+600+600+700+1400+1400+1600+2500+3600+3600+3600+1500+1200
Antonio CallawayFloridaWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6000N/AN/AN/AN/A
Malik ZaireFloridaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000+12500N/AN/A
Hunter JohnsonClemsonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000+15000N/AN/A
Mike WeberOhio StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1000N/A+7500+7500+6600+5000N/A
Brett RypienBoise StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+16000+16000+15000+10000N/A
Deon CainClemsonWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Bo ScarbroughAlabamaRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+3300+2000+1400+2200+2200+2000+2000+1500
Wilton SpeightMichiganQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000N/A+17500+17500+15000+7500N/A
Tanner MangumBYUQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Mike WhiteWestern KentuckyQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+15000N/AN/A
Shea PattersonMississippiQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/A+15000+20000+15000+10000N/A
Christian KirkTexas A&MWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/A+15000+15000+15000+7500N/A
Myles GaskinWashingtonRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000N/A+10000+10000+8000+7500N/A
Derwin JamesFlorida StateSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+2000+10000+10000+12500+7500N/A
Deondre FrancoisFlorida StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1800+2200+2200+2200+1200+1200
Arden KeyLSUDEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/A+25000+25000N/A+10000N/A
Rashan GaryMichiganDLN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Courtland SuttonSMUWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Chris JamesWisconsinRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Mark WaltonMiami FLRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+20000N/AN/A
Malik JeffersonTexasLBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Ronald JonesUSCRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
LJ ScottMichigan StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Josh AllenWyomingQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5500N/A+10000+10000+10000N/AN/A
Nick ShimoekTexas TechQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Dexter LawrenceClemsonDTN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/A+20000+20000N/A+10000N/A
Sewo OloniluaTCURBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+17500N/AN/A
Saquon BarkleyPenn StateRBN/A+2650+1200+200-160-140+100+100+125+250+500+800+700+1000+1000+700+1500+1500+1500+1500+1000
Eric DungeySyracuseQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+15000N/AN/A
Jacob EasonGeorgiaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8500N/A+10000+10000+10000+6000N/A
Shane BuecheleTexasQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+5500+5500+5500+4000+3500
Kyle AllenHoustonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+9000N/A+14000+14000+12500+7500N/A

Unfortunately for Lamar Jackson, Louisville finished just 8-4 this season and have no Conference Championship to play in over the weekend. Meanwhile, Mayfield and Oklahoma play TCU for the Big-12 Championship on Saturday as 7-point favorites. Other nearby longshots Bryce Love (+1000) and Kerryon Johnson (+2000) also play Conference Championship games over the weekend, but it’s hard seeing either of those guys putting up games that would sway the odds at all.

Is there any value in betting Mayfield at -1500 to win the Heisman, or do one of the other longshots have a legitimate chance to overtake him?

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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