2017 NFL Week 7 Betting Recap

2017 NFL Week 7 Betting Recap

Week 7 closed last night with a 34-24 Eagles home win over the Redskins (PHI closed -5), capping off what was by far the best week of the season for both home teams and favorites. In other words, square bettors had themselves quite a weekend.

  • Following an underdog-dominated Week 6, favorites went 10-3-2 against the spread in Week 7.
  • Home teams went 8-4-2 ATS, and home favorites were an undefeated 5-0-2 ATS.
  • Accordingly, the public had a profitable week, with teams getting more than 50% of bets going 8-5-2 ATS.
  • Despite that, the most contrarian options still cashed out, with teams getting less than 35% going 2-0-1 ATS (now 25-12-2 on the season). Teams getting less than 30% improved to 16-6 ATS with the Bears’ win over Carolina (CHI closed +2.5/+3).
  • In general, taking the least popular team each week has been a lucrative strategy at 7-2 ATS this season (in cases were two teams tied for least popular, both were included in the record).
  • Favorites were 13-2 straight up this week, accumulating 5.3 units for moneyline bettors.
  • With underdogs struggling so heavily, the biggest moneyline payout was a measly +140 provided by the Raiders’ Thursday night victory over Kansas City.
  • Unders had a slight edge this week at 8-7, which evened the season record O-U record at 53-53.
  • In games with totals of 45.5 and lower, the under went 7-3.
  • We now have three teams tied for the best ATS record; Kansas City, Philadelphia, and Chicago are all 5-2.
  • Arizona owns the worst ATS record in the league at 1-6.
  • Carson Wentz threw for four touchdowns last night, giving him the league lead with 17. He was not listed prior to the season to be the league leader at BetOnline (field was +1600).
  • Jordy Nelson, Michael Crabtree, and DeAndre Hopkins are all tied for the league lead with six receiving touchdowns. Their preseason odds to lead the NFL were +500, +2500. and +3300, respectively.

Ready for Week 8? Check out our Week 8 Opening Line Report.

Danny Donahue

If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am gonna be a very rich dude. @dannyjdonahue on Twitter

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