2017-18 College Football Week 3 Betting Recap

2017-18 College Football Week 3 Betting Recap

In Week 3 there were three more cancelled games due to the hurricanes in southeast US: Central Florida/Georgia Tech, FSU/Miami, and FIU/Indiana. For one of the games that was played in Florida (Gainesville), the Gators pulled off this shocker at the end:

Florida was available below -6 for most of the week so the 40% of Gators tickets cashed. Florida did move to -6.5 right before the game and closed at that number, so very late Vols bettors were happy.

There was also another big upset on the young season: Idaho State was a 35-point underdog and available at 110/1 on the moneyline to win at Nevada, and did so 30-28. They even led 30-7 at one point and were able to hang on for the victory.

Week 3 Betting Trends:
Road 37-26 ATS
Dogs 35-28 ATS
Teams getting <40% of bets went 19-24 ATS
Teams getting <25% of bets went 2-7 ATS
Unders went 34-30

The ACC went 6-3 ATS in non-conference games, best of the week.

The MAC went just 3-9 ATS and the SEC went 1-5 ATS.

Biggest Moneyline Upsets:
Idaho State (+7500) at Nevada
Northern Illinois (+336) at Nebraska
San Diego St (+278) vs. Stanford

Teams closing +500 or higher on the moneyline went 1-25 straight up. Idaho State was the lone winner, and they were actually available at 115/1 before closing at 75/1.

Biggest spread dogs:
Delaware St +61.5 (covered and lost 59-16 at WVU)
Arkansas Pine Bluff +51 (covered and lost 48-3 at Ark St)
Mercer +40 (covered and lost 24-10 at Auburn)

Teams closing +40 or higher this season are now 15-5 ATS.
Teams closing +45 or higher have gone 8-2 ATS this year and 71-46 ATS since 2007.

More Betting Nuggets:
UCLA (-3) was a very trendy pick including Phil Steele on ESPN and closed with more than 70% of market tickets. It was one of the best games to watch, too, and Memphis came away with a 48-45 victory.

Oklahoma St (>75% of bets) opened -10, moved to -14, fell to -11 at Pitt. The Cowboys led 49-14 at halftime and easily won 59-21, starting off a solid day for public bettors.

Texas A&M (-23/-24) was down 21-14 at halftime to UL Lafayette but came back to cover and win 45-21.

Nebraska was upset by NIU at home 21-17. The line moved from NIU +15.5 to +10.5 from open to close.

Clemson (-3) demolished Louisville on their own turf 47-21. It was the most bet game of the day by far, attracting more than 48,000 tickets.

Teams down 42+ points at halftime continue to cover the 2nd half line. Southern was down 48-0 at halftime at UTSA but only lost 51-17. They were +10.5 on the 2nd half line but outscored UTSA 17-3 in the 2nd half.

Heisman Watch:
Louisville QB Lamar Jackson- 21 for 42, 317 pass yards, 64 rush yards, 3 pass TD, 1 INT
UCLA QB Josh Rosen- 34 of 56, 463 pass yards, 32 rush yards, 4 pass TDs, 1 rush TD, 2 INT
USC QB Sam Darnold- 28 of 49, 397 pass yards, 3 pass TDs, 2 INT
Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield- 17 of 27, 331 pass yards, 4 pass TDs
Okla St QB Mason Rudolph- 23 of 32, 497 pass yards, 5 pass TDs, 1 INT
Penn St RB Saquon Barkley- 10 rushes for 47 yards, 4 catches for 142 yards, 1 REC TD, 37 kick return yards

Major injuries for Week 4:
New Mexico QB Lamar Jordan (head), questionable
Nebraska RB Tre Bryant (knee), questionable
MTSU QB Richie James (ankle), questionable
MTSU RB Brent Stockstill (shoulder), questionable
Kent QB Nick Holley (undisclosed), questionable
Boise QB Brett Rypien (head), questionable
Texas A&M QB Jake Hubenak (shoulder), questionable
Tulane QB Jonathan Banks (ribs), questionable
Miami FL WR Ahmmon Richards (hamstring), probable

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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