2016 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Each season the NFL awards the Comeback Player of the Year Award to an individual who has overcome adversity to achieve at the highest level. This adversity could include a serious injury, poor performance or personal matters, and has been presented every year since 1963.

Last season, Kansas City Chiefs safety Eric Berry completed one of the most remarkable and inspiring comebacks in recent memory. After being diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma in December 2014, Berry underwent offseason chemotherapy and returned to the field after being declared cancer free.

Simply returning to the field just months after this potentially life-threatening diagnosis would have been an incredible achievement, but Berry quickly re-established himself as one of the premier safeties in football. Following the 2015 season, Berry was named to the Pro Bowl, the All-Pro team, and was named the 2015 Comeback Player of the Year.

It’s worth noting that although this achievement seems completely improbable, many sharp bettors believed that Berry would return to form. During the 2015 NFL offseason, Berry’s odds of winning the Comeback Player of the Year Award jumped from 20/1 to 5/1. He may have entered the summer with the seventh-best odds, but he actually entered Week 1 as the front-runner.

Back in early August, 5Dimes posted odds for the 2016 Comeback Player of the Year with Jamaal Charles, Jordy Nelson and Le’Veon Bell (+600) listed as the co-favorites. Bell’s inclusion at the top of this list was fairly surprising considering that he was suspended for the first three games of the season after violating the league’s drug-testing policy.

Over this past weekend, BetOnline posted updated odds for the Comeback Player of the Year Award with Nelson listed as the odds-on favorite at -600. After missing the entire 2015 season with a torn ACL, Nelson returned to form with 97 receptions, 1,257 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns.

The table below displays the latest odds at 5Dimes and BetOnline. It will be updated as more information becomes available.

Player BetOnline (1/30) 5Dimes (8/1)
Jordy Nelson -600   +600
Cameron Wake +750   +5000
LeVeon Bell +1000   +600
DeMarco Murray +1600   +4000
Field +1800 N/A
Jimmy Graham N/A   +4000
Tyrann Mathieu N/A   +1000
Joe Flacco N/A   +2000
Kelvin Benjamin N/A   +2000
Steve Smith Sr N/A   +2000
Robert Griffin III N/A   +2500
Sam Bradford N/A   +2500
Arian Foster N/A   +3300
Drew Brees N/A   +3300
Eddie Lacy N/A   +3300
Justin Forsett N/A   +3300
Victor Cruz N/A   +3300
Tony Romo N/A   +900
Eli Manning N/A   +4000
Jay Cutler N/A   +4000
Colin Kaepernick N/A   +2000
CJ Spiller N/A   +5000
Andrew Luck N/A   +700
Jadeveon Clowney N/A   +5000
Matthew Stafford N/A   +5000
Terrell Suggs N/A   +5000
Jarred Allen N/A   +6600
Vincent Jackson N/A   +6600
Brandon Browner N/A   +10000
Dennis Pitta N/A   +10000
Geno Smith N/A   +10000
Nick Foles N/A   +10000
Darren McFadden N/A   +12500
Johnny Manziel N/A   +25000
Jamaal Charles N/A   +600

The section below was originally published on August 1st:

One surprising omission from this list is Cowboys wide receiver Dez Bryant. The two-time Pro Bowler played in just nine games last year after suffering a foot injury in the season opener. During the 2014 campaign, Bryant hauled in 88 receptions for 1,320 yards and a franchise record 16 touchdowns. Assuming he’s fully healthy, Bryant is a strong contender for the Comeback Player of the Year.

In terms of value, I really like Andrew Luck at +700. According to oddsmakers, Luck is one of the top five quarterbacks in the league and this may be the perfect opportunity to buy low. Last season the 26-year old signal caller battled a variety of injuries and finished the season with just 1,881 passing yards and a 15:12 touchdown to interception ratio. The Colts (+140) are the favorites to win the AFC South, and I fully expect Luck to play a huge part in the team’s resurgence.

The NFL kicks off with the Hall of Fame Game on Sunday, so make sure to bookmark our free odds page for the latest odds, betting trends, injuries, futures and more.

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David Solar

David Solar is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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