2016-17 Odds to Win La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1

Last year the preseason chalk won league titles in Italy (Juventus), Spain (Barcelona), Germany (Bayern Munich) and France (PSG). Hopefully this season we’ll see at least one underdog win, and below shows the title odds for each domestic league at a few offshore books.

Odds to win Spain’s La Liga:

Club July 30
(5Dimes)
July 17
(Bovada)
July 7
(5Dimes)
Barcelona -140 -140 -143
Real Madrid +160 +150 +115
Atletico Madrid +1200 +1200 +800
Sevilla +10000 +6600 +8000
Villarreal +10000 +6600 +9000
Valencia +15000 +10000 +10000
Athletic Bilbao +20000 +15000 +15000
Celta Vigo +25000 +20000 N/A
Malaga +50000 +50000 N/A
Real Sociedad +50000 +50000 N/A
Espanyol +75000 +75000 N/A
Real Betis +100000 +75000 N/A
Deportivo La Coruna +100000 +100000 N/A
Las Palmas +150000 +100000 N/A
Alaves +200000 +100000 N/A
Eibar +200000 +150000 N/A
Granada +200000 +150000 N/A
Leganes +250000 +100000 N/A
Osasuna +250000 +150000 N/A
Sporting Gijon +250000 +150000 N/A

At CRIS, Barcelona and Real Madrid are both receiving the most support in terms of tickets with 22% each, followed by Atletico Madrid (18%) and Sevilla (16%). Other than Atletico Madrid, there’s really no chance for anyone besides Barcelona or Real Madrid to win the league title, so it’s surprising to see so many bettors taking Sevilla. As much as the Madrids scare me, I’ll be going with Barcelona -140 to win La Liga once again.

Odds to win Italy’s Serie A:

Club July 30
(5Dimes)
July 17
(Bovada)
July 7
(CRIS)
Juventus -250 -175 -167
Roma +600 +500 +450
Napoli +700 +600 +485
Inter Milan +1400 +1200 +900
AC Milan +2500 +2500 +2000
Fiorentina +5000 +4000 +4000
Lazio +6600 +6600 +5000
Sassuolo +25000 +25000 N/A
Genoa +50000 +50000 N/A
Torino +50000 +50000 N/A
Sampdoria +50000 +5000 N/A
Empoli +75000 +75000 N/A
Udinese +75000 +75000 N/A
Atalanta +100000 +75000 N/A
Chievo +100000 +50000 N/A
Bologna +100000 +100000 N/A
Cagliari +100000 +100000 N/A
Palermo +100000 +100000 N/A
Pescara +150000 +150000 N/A
Crotone +200000 +200000 N/A

Juventus recently acquired former Napoli forward Gonzalo Higuain, which has propelled them to -250 favorites. I would love to pick an underdog to win Serie A, but I don’t see anyone topping Juventus, as they simply have too much talent and depth for the league.

Odds to win Germany’s Bundesliga:

Club July 30
(5Dimes)
July 17
(Bovada)
Bayern Munich -850 -900
Borussia Dortmund +700 +750
Bayer Leverkusen +3300 +3300
VFL Wolfsburg +7000 +6600
Schalke +8000 +8000
Borussia Monchengladbach +10000 +10000
Mainz +50000 +50000
Leipzig +50000 +75000
Hertha Berlin +75000 +75000
Hoffenheim +100000 +75000
Augsburg +100000 +100000
Eintracht Frankfurt +100000 +100000
Werder Bremen +100000 +100000
Hamburger +100000 +100000
FC Koln +125000 +100000
Freiburg +150000 +100000
Darmstadt +150000 +150000
Ingolstadt +150000 +150000

Bayern Munich are massive favorites once again, with Borussia Dortmund the only contender in sight. There’s really not a whole lot of value on Bayern at -850 but betting on any other team to win the league is wasted money.

Odds to win France’s Ligue 1:

Club July 30
(5Dimes)
July 17
(Bovada)
PSG -1200 -1200
Lyon +1200 +1200
AS Monaco +1600 +1600
Marseille +6000 +6600
St. Etienne +15000 +15000
Lille +15000 +15000
Nice +20000 +15000
Bordeaux +25000 +25000
Rennes +25000 +25000
Caen +50000 +25000
Montpellier +50000 +50000
Bastia +75000 +50000
Nantes +75000 +50000
Lorient +75000 +75000
Guingamp +75000 +75000
Angers +100000 +75000
Dijon +100000 +100000
Metz +100000 +100000
Nancy +100000 +100000
Toulouse +100000 +100000

Same old story in France’s Ligue 1, with PSG the runaway -1200 favorites to repeat for the 5th consecutive season. Again, there’s not a whole lot of value to take such a big favorite but there’s no other squad worthy of a bet this year.

As always, feel free to leave your own thoughts and leans in the space below, especially if you think there are any underdogs who can win a title this season.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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