2016-17 Odds to Win La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1
Last year the preseason chalk won league titles in Italy (Juventus), Spain (Barcelona), Germany (Bayern Munich) and France (PSG). Hopefully this season we’ll see at least one underdog win, and below shows the title odds for each domestic league at a few offshore books.
Odds to win Spain’s La Liga:
| Club | July 30 (5Dimes) | July 17 (Bovada) | July 7 (5Dimes) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | -140 | -140 | -143 |
| Real Madrid | +160 | +150 | +115 |
| Atletico Madrid | +1200 | +1200 | +800 |
| Sevilla | +10000 | +6600 | +8000 |
| Villarreal | +10000 | +6600 | +9000 |
| Valencia | +15000 | +10000 | +10000 |
| Athletic Bilbao | +20000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Celta Vigo | +25000 | +20000 | N/A |
| Malaga | +50000 | +50000 | N/A |
| Real Sociedad | +50000 | +50000 | N/A |
| Espanyol | +75000 | +75000 | N/A |
| Real Betis | +100000 | +75000 | N/A |
| Deportivo La Coruna | +100000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Las Palmas | +150000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Alaves | +200000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Eibar | +200000 | +150000 | N/A |
| Granada | +200000 | +150000 | N/A |
| Leganes | +250000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Osasuna | +250000 | +150000 | N/A |
| Sporting Gijon | +250000 | +150000 | N/A |
At CRIS, Barcelona and Real Madrid are both receiving the most support in terms of tickets with 22% each, followed by Atletico Madrid (18%) and Sevilla (16%). Other than Atletico Madrid, there’s really no chance for anyone besides Barcelona or Real Madrid to win the league title, so it’s surprising to see so many bettors taking Sevilla. As much as the Madrids scare me, I’ll be going with Barcelona -140 to win La Liga once again.
Odds to win Italy’s Serie A:
| Club | July 30 (5Dimes) | July 17 (Bovada) | July 7 (CRIS) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | -250 | -175 | -167 |
| Roma | +600 | +500 | +450 |
| Napoli | +700 | +600 | +485 |
| Inter Milan | +1400 | +1200 | +900 |
| AC Milan | +2500 | +2500 | +2000 |
| Fiorentina | +5000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Lazio | +6600 | +6600 | +5000 |
| Sassuolo | +25000 | +25000 | N/A |
| Genoa | +50000 | +50000 | N/A |
| Torino | +50000 | +50000 | N/A |
| Sampdoria | +50000 | +5000 | N/A |
| Empoli | +75000 | +75000 | N/A |
| Udinese | +75000 | +75000 | N/A |
| Atalanta | +100000 | +75000 | N/A |
| Chievo | +100000 | +50000 | N/A |
| Bologna | +100000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Cagliari | +100000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Palermo | +100000 | +100000 | N/A |
| Pescara | +150000 | +150000 | N/A |
| Crotone | +200000 | +200000 | N/A |
Juventus recently acquired former Napoli forward Gonzalo Higuain, which has propelled them to -250 favorites. I would love to pick an underdog to win Serie A, but I don’t see anyone topping Juventus, as they simply have too much talent and depth for the league.
Odds to win Germany’s Bundesliga:
| Club | July 30 (5Dimes) | July 17 (Bovada) |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -850 | -900 |
| Borussia Dortmund | +700 | +750 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | +3300 | +3300 |
| VFL Wolfsburg | +7000 | +6600 |
| Schalke | +8000 | +8000 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | +10000 | +10000 |
| Mainz | +50000 | +50000 |
| Leipzig | +50000 | +75000 |
| Hertha Berlin | +75000 | +75000 |
| Hoffenheim | +100000 | +75000 |
| Augsburg | +100000 | +100000 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | +100000 | +100000 |
| Werder Bremen | +100000 | +100000 |
| Hamburger | +100000 | +100000 |
| FC Koln | +125000 | +100000 |
| Freiburg | +150000 | +100000 |
| Darmstadt | +150000 | +150000 |
| Ingolstadt | +150000 | +150000 |
Bayern Munich are massive favorites once again, with Borussia Dortmund the only contender in sight. There’s really not a whole lot of value on Bayern at -850 but betting on any other team to win the league is wasted money.
Odds to win France’s Ligue 1:
| Club | July 30 (5Dimes) | July 17 (Bovada) |
|---|---|---|
| PSG | -1200 | -1200 |
| Lyon | +1200 | +1200 |
| AS Monaco | +1600 | +1600 |
| Marseille | +6000 | +6600 |
| St. Etienne | +15000 | +15000 |
| Lille | +15000 | +15000 |
| Nice | +20000 | +15000 |
| Bordeaux | +25000 | +25000 |
| Rennes | +25000 | +25000 |
| Caen | +50000 | +25000 |
| Montpellier | +50000 | +50000 |
| Bastia | +75000 | +50000 |
| Nantes | +75000 | +50000 |
| Lorient | +75000 | +75000 |
| Guingamp | +75000 | +75000 |
| Angers | +100000 | +75000 |
| Dijon | +100000 | +100000 |
| Metz | +100000 | +100000 |
| Nancy | +100000 | +100000 |
| Toulouse | +100000 | +100000 |
Same old story in France’s Ligue 1, with PSG the runaway -1200 favorites to repeat for the 5th consecutive season. Again, there’s not a whole lot of value to take such a big favorite but there’s no other squad worthy of a bet this year.
As always, feel free to leave your own thoughts and leans in the space below, especially if you think there are any underdogs who can win a title this season.
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