Todd Gurley’s Monster Stretch Giving Him a Shot at MVP

Todd Gurley’s Monster Stretch Giving Him a Shot at MVP

Last week, I was suggesting Jared Goff should have had odds posted for MVP. Maybe he didn’t deserve to win, but I felt he was at least a top-10 candidate, if not top-5. I did not, however, mention his teammate Todd Gurley. Just call him King Todd III.

Talk about an orgasmic two weeks in daily fantasy. In week 15, he casually went for 48 Draftkings points thanks to three touchdowns and 180 total yards. No topping that, right?

This Sunday, he put up 55.6 points on Draftkings! With 118 rushing yards, 158 receiving yards, and two more touchdowns, Gurley is making any doubters curl up into the fetal position. He’s also making Bovada seriously reconsider their MVP odds.

PlayerTeam12/27 (Bovada)12/18 (Bovada)12/13 (Bovada)12/5 (Bovada)11/27 (Bovada)11/21 (Bovada)11/13 (Bovada)11/7 (Bovada)11/1 (Bovada)10/18 (Bovada)10/11 (Bovada)10/4 (Bovada)9/26 (Bovada)9/20 (Bovada)9/13 (Bovada)9/7 (BetOnline)7/24 (BetOnline)6/27 (Bovada)
Tom BradyNE-300-1000-175-175-175-160+110+210+200+400+500+500+400+500+500+350+400+450
Todd GurleyLAR+200+2000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+2500+7500+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Drew BreesNON/A+900+1200+1400+1600+800+2500+1400+2000+2000+2500+1800+6600+15000+5000+2500+2500+2500
Russell WilsonSEAN/A+2000+600+600+1600+2000+2000+1400+900+1200+1200+1000+4000+2000+1600+1000+1000+1200
Carson WentzPHIN/A+2000+750+200+125+170EvenEven+210+175+700+1600+3300+3300+2000+10000+3300+10000
Antonio BrownPITN/AN/A+750+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+5000+3300+6600+3300+5000
Philip RiversLACN/AN/A+1200N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+6600+5000N/AN/A+5000
Ben RoethlisbergerPITN/AN/A+1200N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000+6600+6600+3300+2000+1400+1200+1000
Le'Veon BellPITN/AN/A+5000+2500N/AN/A+5000+2800+3300+2500+7500+3300+10000+3300+2500+2500+2500+3300
Case KeenumMINN/AN/AN/A+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jared GoffLARN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000+900+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Matt RyanATLN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000N/AN/AN/A+2500+1200+1000+400+1000+1600+1600+1400+1600
Cam NewtonCARN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000N/AN/AN/A+2500+1200+1800+6600+5000+2500+2500+2200+2500
Matt StaffordDETN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+1600+3300+3300N/A+2500+1600+500+1000+500+1000N/AN/A+5000
Alex SmithKCN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+2500+1400+800+450+200+600+1600+1400+2000+3300N/AN/A+6600
Dak PrescottDALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+2800+3300+3300+5000+3300+2000+3300+1200+1400+1200+1200
Kirk CousinsWASN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000N/A+1600+5000+3300+2000+10000+10000+6600N/A+5000
Kareem HuntKCN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+3300+3300+3300+1600+1400+2500+3300N/AN/AN/A
DeShaun WatsonHOUN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1000+1000+5000+1600N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jameis WinstonTBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+7500+3300+2000+1000+2000+3300+6600+5000
Ezekiel ElliottDALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+6600+6600+5000+3300+1600+2000+2000
Aaron RodgersGBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150+300+400+500+300+600+650+700
LeSean McCoyBUFN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+15000+10000+10000+6600+6600+10000
Von MillerDENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+10000N/AN/A+10000
J.J. WattHOUN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+10000N/AN/A+6600
Julio JonesATLN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+10000+3300+3300+5000
Rob GronkowskiNEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+7500+10000N/AN/A+6600
Marcus MariotaTENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1600+3300+3300+3300+5000+3300
Derek CarrOAKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1400+900+1000+1600+1600+900
Marshawn LynchOAKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+6600N/AN/A+10000
Joe FlaccoBALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+7500N/AN/A+10000
Eli ManningNYGN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+10000+5000+3300+5000
Khalil MackOAKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/A+6600
Blake BortlesJAXN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/A+10000
Dalvin CookMINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/A
Leonard FournetteJAXN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/A
Odell Beckham Jr.NYGN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/A+6600
Sam BradfordMINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+2500+4000+3300+5000
Trevor SiemianDENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/A
AJ GreenCINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/A
Paxton LynchDENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+10000N/A
Andy DaltonCINN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+5000+10000
Carson PalmerARIN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+4000+5000+5000
Andrew LuckINDN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+2500+2500
David JohnsonARIN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+2000+3300+3300
Adrian PetersonNON/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000
Ryan TannehillMIAN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600
T.Y. HiltonINDN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000
DeMarco MurrayPHIN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000

It’s down to two! At least that’s what Bovada thinks. Gurley’s second consecutive huge game improved his odds from 20/1 to 2/1, nearly a 30% jump in implied probability. He now leads the league in rushing with 1,305 yards, but that’s only the beginning. He also has 788 receiving yards, good for 28th in the league and tops among running backs.

What really makes him stick out from the pack, though, is his 19 touchdowns. With 13 on the ground and six in the air, Gurley has six more scores than the next best guy, DeAndre Hopkins. He’s the main reason why the Rams are averaging a league best 31 points per game and why they’ve surprised everyone with an NFC West title.

Don’t forget about the GOAT, though. At -300, Tom Brady still has the best odds. Despite being a Patriots fan, I would not bet Brady at -300. I know how the media hates the Patriots and given the somewhat expected performance of Brady, many voters may opt for Gurley or other names.

I believe there is value at +200 for Gurley and I honestly wish there were a few more names listed. This should be a very close race, as there could be arguments made for several players including Brady, Gurley, Goff, Carson Wentz, and potentially others.

With Brady and Gurley both potentially playing very little in their week 17 affairs, we may or may not see any changes in the odds. Stay tuned!

Photo credit via Jim Brown – USA Today Sports

Mark Gallant

I'm the guy who does his job. You must be the other guy.

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