Snippet on NFL Bye Weeks (Eagles)

Some of the following was heard on a local Philly sports radio show — but you know what they say: “Don’t believe everything you hear.”  However, based on what we heard last week — keep your eye on the Philadelphia Eagles this coming weekend (Nov 7th) — because they are coming off of a “bye week.”

The Eagles’ coach, at the start of the Eagles’ “bye-week” — said that he uses the time off to:

  • prepare for the next game,
  • evaluate his own performance, and
  • evaluate his players and team.

The sports radio commentator noted that the Eagles are 11-0 coming off of bye-weeks in recent history.  Note that this is not against the spread, but may be a good source of value this week.

NOTE, however, that a quick back-of-the-envelope analysis we did a few years back showed that teams coming off of bye-weeks were an “expected” .500 ATS — so we believe that all coaches/teams are not “created equal” in terms of this angle.

Also note that the Eagles look to be facing a stiff challenge in the form of the Indianapolis Colts.  Currently, almost 75% of the bets are taking the Colts, so perhaps there will be some contrarian value backing the “bye week” angle.

The following two tabs change content below.


Say something

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with a grey bar.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>