Rare ATS Streaks Clash in College Hoops on Sunday

Rare ATS Streaks Clash in College Hoops on Sunday

For those who haven’t fully submerged themselves into college basketball yet this season, Arizona State is a perfect 9-0 and ranked #5 in the nation. Not only are they winning games but they’re covering at an insane rate, going 8-1 ATS including eight straight. The only game they failed to cover was the opener against Idaho State where the Sun Devils closed -20.5 and won 94-74, off by just a half-point or else they’d be a perfect 9-0 ATS this year. Along they way they’ve knocked off quality teams like Xavier, Kansas, Kansas State and St. John’s.

On Sunday, Arizona State faces a struggling Vanderbilt squad who has gone just 3-6 SU this season. To make matters worse, the Commodores have failed to cover in all seven games that had a line available. These teams couldn’t be trending in more opposite directions:

Arizona St 8 straight ATS wins
Vanderbilt 7 straight ATS losses

In our database going back to 2005, we’ve never tracked a matchup where one team was on a 7+ game ATS win streak and the other was on a 7+ game ATS losing streak. For Sunday’s matchup against Vanderbilt, Arizona State opened -12 at BetOnline and -11.5 at Bookmaker. Guess which way the line went?

If you figured it would increase, you’re probably not alone but you’re also incorrect. This line actually went the other way, dropping to -10.5 around the market. With 76% of spread bets on Arizona State, we know that sharp money has been all over Vanderbilt at +12, +11.5 and +11.

Smart money is clearly buying low on Vanderbilt and selling high on Arizona State. For what it’s worth, since 2005 teams on 8+ ATS win streaks have gone just 76-87 ATS. When those teams play against a team on an ATS losing streak, the record is even worse at 32-45 ATS. Will smart money prevail once again with Vandy covering on the road at Arizona State?

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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