Oddsmakers Have Chosen Their Heisman Winner

Oddsmakers Have Chosen Their Heisman Winner

There’s seemingly no more room for debate in the Heisman Trophy race…at least in the eyes of oddsmakers.

Following back-to-back wins over Oklahoma State and TCU, Baker Mayfield has taken control of the race, coming in at -1500 this week at BetOnline. In terms of implied probability, that gives him a 93.75% chance of winning the award.

Mayfield was the favorite last week as well, but at -175 there was still some room to at least make an argument against him. Doesn’t look that way anymore.

PlayerSchoolPositionNov 11
(BetOnline)
Nov 7
(BetOnline)
Nov 1
(BetOnline)
Oct 24
(BetOnline)
Oct 16
(BetOnline)
Oct 9
(BetOnline)
Oct 3
(BetOnline)
Sep 25 9:00 PM EST
(BetOnline)
Sep 25 4:00 PM EST
(BetOnline)
Sep 18
(BetOnline)
Sep 11
(BetOnline)
Sep 6
(BetOnline)
Sep 6
(5Dimes)
Aug 21
(Bovada)
Aug 21
(5Dimes)
July 18
(5Dimes)
June 24
(5Dimes)
Feb 6
(Will Hill)
Jan 24
(Bovada)
Baker MayfieldOklahomaQB-1500-175+1000+700+275+275+225+275+300+350+400+600+800+800+850+850+700+700+600
Bryce LoveStanfordRB+1000+1200+450+200+275+800+1400+3300+3300+5000N/AN/A+6500N/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Saquon BarkleyPenn StateRB+1200+200-160-140+100+100+125+250+500+800+700+1000+1000+700+1500+1500+1500+1500+1000
JT BarrettOhio StateQB+2500+2500+400+800+1600+10000+2500+1400+1400+2000+2500+800+1500+800+1250+1250+1050+1000+700
Jonathan TaylorWisconsinRB+2500N/A+3300+2500N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Khalil TateArizonaQB+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Josh AdamsNotre DameRB+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Mason RudolphOklahoma StateQB+10000+3300+3300+2000+500+600+800+600+600+700+1400+1400+1600+2500+3600+3600+3600+1500+1200
Lamar JacksonLouisvilleQB+10000+5000+5000+10000+3300+2000+1000+700+600+450+350+400+600+800+950+950+925+700+700
Sam DarnoldUSCQB+10000N/A+8000+5000+2500+2500+2000+1000+800+500+450+700+600+400+525+525+500+700+700
James WashingtonOklahoma StateWRN/AN/A+5000+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6000N/A+15000+15000+12500+6000N/A
Nick ChubbGeorgiaRBN/AN/A+8000+3300+2500+2500+3300+3300+3300+4000+5000+3300+3500+2500+4300+4300+4000+3000+2500
Trace McSorleyPenn StateQBN/AN/A+8000+5000+2500+2500+3300+2000+2000+1600+2000+1600+2000+3300+3500+3500+3300+2000+1000
Quinton FlowersSouth FloridaQBN/AN/A+12500+2500+2500+3300+3300+3300+3300+2500+2500+2500+4000N/A+4500+4500+7500+4000N/A
Kenny HillTCUQBN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/A+20000+20000+20000+10000N/A
Malik RosierMiami FLQBN/AN/AN/A+5000+6600+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jalen HurtsAlabamaQBN/AN/AN/A+5000+10000+10000+2500+2500+2500+2000+1200+1400+2500+1600+2200+2200+1500+1500+1200
Jake BrowningWashingtonQBN/AN/AN/A+10000+5000+2500+3300+3300+3300+2000+2500+2000+3000+1800+2200+2200+1700+1200+1000
Luke FalkWashington StateQBN/AN/AN/A+10000+5000+1000+2000N/AN/AN/AN/A+2000+2500+3300+4900+4900+4700+3000+3500
Minkah FitzpatrickAlabamaSN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Josh RosenUCLAQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+2000+2000+1400+1200+1200+2250+2500+3500+3500+3300+2000+1200
Royce FreemanOregonRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+3300+2000+2000+2500+3300+3000+4000N/A+11500+11500+10000+5000N/A
Rashaad PennySan Diego StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Damien HarrisAlabamaRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+10000+6600+4000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Derrius GuiceLSURBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+3300+1400+1400+1600+1200+1500+1500+1500+2000+1500
Nick FitzgeraldMississippi StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+3300+5000+5000+5500+3300+10000+10000+10000+4000+2200
JK DobbinsOhio StRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+5000+6600+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Jarrett StidhamAuburnQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+6600+8000+10000+5000N/A+2000+2000+2000+2500+4000N/A
Calvin RidleyAlabamaWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+8000+10000+6600+10000N/A+20000+20000+20000+10000N/A
Justin HerbertOregonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+10000+5000+15000N/A+12500+12500+15000+10000N/A
Ty JohnsonMarylandRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+2500+3300N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Kamryn PettwayAuburnRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+4000+5000+5000+5000+3300+4700+4700+4500+3000+2500
Ed OliverHoustonDTN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+6600+6500N/A+25000+25000+17500+7500N/A
Brandon WimbushNotre DameQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000+10000+6600+4500N/A+12500+12500+12500+7500N/A
Nyqwan MurrayFlorida StateWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Will GrierWest VirginiaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000N/A+6000+6600+3500N/AN/A
Justin JacksonNorthwesternRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/AN/AN/A
Kyle AllenHoustonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+9000N/A+14000+14000+12500+7500N/A
Antonio CallawayFloridaWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6000N/AN/AN/AN/A
Malik ZaireFloridaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000+12500N/AN/A
Hunter JohnsonClemsonQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000+15000N/AN/A
Mike WeberOhio StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1000N/A+7500+7500+6600+5000N/A
Brett RypienBoise StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+16000+16000+15000+10000N/A
Deon CainClemsonWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Bo ScarbroughAlabamaRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+3300+2000+1400+2200+2200+2000+2000+1500
Wilton SpeightMichiganQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000N/A+17500+17500+15000+7500N/A
Tanner MangumBYUQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+17500+17500+15000N/AN/A
Mike WhiteWestern KentuckyQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+15000N/AN/A
Shea PattersonMississippiQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/A+15000+20000+15000+10000N/A
Christian KirkTexas A&MWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/A+15000+15000+15000+7500N/A
Myles GaskinWashingtonRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8000N/A+10000+10000+8000+7500N/A
Derwin JamesFlorida StateSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+2000+10000+10000+12500+7500N/A
Deondre FrancoisFlorida StateQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1800+2200+2200+2200+1200+1200
Arden KeyLSUDEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/A+25000+25000N/A+10000N/A
Rashan GaryMichiganDLN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Courtland SuttonSMUWRN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Chris JamesWisconsinRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Mark WaltonMiami FLRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+20000N/AN/A
Malik JeffersonTexasLBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Ronald JonesUSCRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
LJ ScottMichigan StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Josh AllenWyomingQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5500N/A+10000+10000+10000N/AN/A
Nick ShimoekTexas TechQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+20000N/AN/A
Dexter LawrenceClemsonDTN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000N/A+20000+20000N/A+10000N/A
Sewo OloniluaTCURBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+17500N/AN/A
Kerryon JohnsonAuburnRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+17500N/AN/A
Eric DungeySyracuseQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000+15000N/AN/A
Jacob EasonGeorgiaQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8500N/A+10000+10000+10000+6000N/A
Shane BuecheleTexasQBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+5500+5500+5500+4000+3500
Cam AkersFlorida StateRBN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+17500+25000+20000N/AN/A

Saquon Barkley’s chances took a steep hit this week, as his odds fell from +200 to +1200. Despite scoring two touchdowns, he only mustered 55 combined rushing and receiving yards against a pretty weak Rutgers team, marking the third straight game that he’s failed to eclipse 100.

Of course the main factor to Barkley’s drop was Mayfield, who threw for 333 yards and 3 touchdowns against TCU, adding another 50 yards on the ground. His performances these past two weeks have (likely) thrust the Sooners into the playoff, and have given Oklahoma the second best chance to win the national title.

It’s exactly for that reason that I see some value on J.T. Barrett this week at +2500. With Georgia losing this past weekend, a door cracked open for Ohio State to sneak into the playoffs. Assuming the Buckeyes take care of business against Illinois this week, Barrett will get to face back-to-back difficult conference opponents in Michigan and Wisconsin (the likely Big Ten Championship matchup) with a chance to send his team to the playoff. It’s a situation almost identical to where Mayfield found himself two weeks ago. If Barrett can do what Mayfield just did, why shouldn’t he re-enter the conversation?

Add in the possibility that Mayfield loses a game down the stretch, whether it be West Virginia or the Big 12 Championship, and I’ll take my chances on that +2500.

 

Join us live Saturday mornings at 11am ET

We’re now holding our members-only live Sports Betting Hangouts Saturday mornings to prepare you for a full day of College Football. Members, simply log into your account Saturday morning to access the hangout.

Not a member? Start a trial today to join our Sports Betting Hangouts held six days a week, plus all the other Sportsbook Insider Pro benefits.

Get Started Now


No Comments
Post a Comment

Send this to friend