NFL Week 3 Opening Line Report

We’re nearly done with two full weeks of the NFL season and here’s an early look at Week 3 odds. The table below shows the lookahead lines from April via CG Technology, and we’ve compared them to the opening and current odds at Pinnacle.

Matchup Current (Sep 21) Opener (Sep 20) Lookahead (April 25)  
WAS at NYG NYG -4 NYG -4 NYG -2
SF at ARZ ARZ -6 ARZ -6.5 ARZ -2.5
CHI at SEA SEA -9 (vs. Cutler)
PIT at STL PIT -1 STL -1 STL -1
TB at HOU HOU -6.5 HOU -7 HOU -6.5
IND at TEN IND -5
BUF at MIA MIA -2.5 MIA -3 MIA -2
JAX at NE NE -13.5 NE -13 NE -11.5
PHI at NYJ PHI -2 Pick 'Em PHI -2.5
CIN at BAL BAL -3 BAL -2.5 BAL -3
OAK at CLE CLE -4.5 CLE -4 CLE -4.5
ATL at DAL Pick 'Em Pick 'Em DAL -5.5 (with Romo)
DEN at DET Pick 'Em (with Stafford)
SD at MIN MIN -2 MIN -3 Pick 'Em
KC at GB GB -5.5 (with Lacy)

Dallas was -5.5 on the lookahead line with Romo, but now a pick ’em with Romo out. Jay Hood of MGM Resorts noted that Romo is worth at least 6 to 6.5 points to the line considering the dropoff to Brandon Weeden so we could see the Cowboys close as dogs. Both the Cowboys and Falcons have been impressive so far and this is the only game between 2-0 teams this week.

Chicago was +9 on the lookahead line even with Cutler, but should now be double-digit dogs with Jimmy Clausen taking the helm. Both teams are 0-2 so far with a loss to the Packers.

San Francisco obviously had a terrible offseason with injuries, discipline and retirements and will likely vary the most from their lookahead lines. Add in the fact that Arizona has excelled so far and we see a difference from -2.5 to -6.5.

Denver has pulled out two victories against good teams despite not playing its best. Even if Stafford is expected to play for Detroit, we’d expect the Broncos to open as a small road favorite.

Pittsburgh is the public darling of the week so far after their blowout home win in Week 2, and are seeing 84% of early spread bets at St. Louis. This game has seen the most bets so far and the lopsided betting has pushed the Steelers from +1 to -1.

Check out our Free Live Odds page to view all the opening odds, current odds, line moves, betting percentages and more.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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