NFL Head Coaching Odds

The Monday after the NFL season is often referred to as “Black Monday” — the darkest day of the football calendar. On this day, heads usually roll as management clears house and coaches for the year most disappointing teams are fired. On Christmas Eve, Bovada actually posted a prop which projected the number of head coaches on the chopping block.

At the time of publication the Atlanta Falcons (Mike Smith), Chicago Bears (Marc Trestman), New York Jets (Rex Ryan) and San Francisco 49ers (Jim Harbaugh) had all parted ways with their head coaches. On the flip side, the New York Giants (Tom Coughlin), Miami Dolphins (Joe Philbin) and Cleveland Browns (Mike Pettine) all announced that their head coaches would live to fight another day.

The head coaching positions in Oakland (Tony Sparano) and Buffalo (Doug Marrone recently left) are still up in the air, but Bovada and now CRIS has posted the odds for four current head coaching vacancies.

Atlanta Falcons

Coach CRIS Odds Jan 2 Bovada Odds Dec 30
Rex Ryan +150 +300
Dan Quinn +200 +500
Josh McDaniels +250 +250
Teryl Austin +250 +275
Todd Bowles +250 +500
Adam Gase +350 +500

Chicago Bears

Coach CRIS Odds Jan 2 Bovada Odds Dec 30
Todd Bowles +150 +500
Rex Ryan +200 +250
Gary Kubiak +250 N/A
Adam Gase +300 N/A
Pep Hamilton +350 N/A
Kyle Shanahan +450 N/A
Mike Shanahan +450 +200
Dan Quinn N/A +500
Mike Holmgren N/A +1500
Mike Singletary N/A +1500
Matt Patricia N/A +1200
Darrell Bevell N/A +600

New York Jets

Coach CRIS Odds Jan 2 Bovada Odds Dec 30
Todd Bowles +200 +350
Pep Hamilton +200 +600
Jim Mora Jr. +250 +1000
Hue Jackson +350 N/A
Adam Gase +350 +700
Dan Quinn +350 +400
Darrell Bevell +350 +700
Gary Kubiak N/A +700
Josh McDaniels N/A +500
Mike Holmgren N/A +2000
Norv Turner N/A +2000

San Francisco 49ers

Coach CRIS Odds Jan 2 Bovada Odds Dec 30
Vic Fangio +150 N/A
Adam Gase +200 +500
Jim Tomsula +250 N/A
Dan Quinn +350 +200
Josh McDaniels +350 +700
Jim Mora Jr. +400 N/A
Todd Bowles +450 N/A
Tom Cable N/A +900
Kyle Shanahan N/A +400
Mike Shanahan N/A +400
Darrell Bevell N/A +500

Many “hot” coordinators made multiple lists while the rest are mostly rehashes of coaches who failed at their previously location.  If the Raiders eventually fire Sparano, their short list is currently headed by Rex Ryan and Jack Del Rio.

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David Solar

David Solar is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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