NCAA Football Week 1 – Early Lines Moves of Interest

NCAA Football Week 1 – Early Lines Moves of Interest

1. Oregon Ducks vs. LSU Tigers

In the 2011 Cowboys Classic, early betting is close, with 57% of spread wagers taking LSU and the points. Despite the even betting percentages, the market-setting sportsbooks are offering different lines for this game as Pinnacle and 5Dimes currently show Oregon at -1 while CRIS has the Ducks at -2.

Team # Bets Spread Current
Oregon 379 43% -2 -2.5
LSU 57% 2 2.5

* Game will be played at Cowboys Stadium

2. Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. USC Trojans

USC opened as a 20-pt favorite at CRIS and is currently garnering 78% of spread wagers.

For the record, it is still early and very few bets have come down on this game, however, two Steam Moves (BetUS and CRIS) have already been triggered, indicating sharp money already likes one side of this matchup.

Team # Bets Spread Current Open
Minnesota 70 22% 21 20
USC 78% -21 -20

3. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue opened as a 17.5-point favorite at CRIS and the public is heavily fading the Boilermakers with only 18% of spread wagers giving the points. Despite the lopsided early action, the line has increased to -18, revealing sharp money has come down on Purdue.

This is certainly a game to keep an eye on going forward to see if any Smart Money indicators get triggered due to the reverse line movement.

Team # Bets Spread Current Open
Middle Tennessee St. 60 82% 18 17.5
Purdue 18% -18 -17.5

** Open and Current Lines from CRIS

  • Kevin
    08/12/2011 at 9:14 am

    Great story PJ, what do you think of the percents on the Wisconsin/UNLV Game?

  • PJ
    08/12/2011 at 10:54 am

    You see that a lot where the public really likes a team getting a ton of points, like UNLV, so the betting percentages are pretty close.

    Being from the Raleigh, NC area, we know a lot about Russell Wilson and how good he really is, but I don’t think the average college football fan has seen much of him. If they have, those percentages would be much more lopsided in Wisconsin’s favor.

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