NBA Betting Trends: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks

In the most exciting game on tonight’s NBA schedule, the Oklahoma City Thunder (16-4) will travel to Dallas to take on the Mavericks (14-8).

The Mavericks opened as 1.5-point favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook, according to Sports Insights’ NBA Betting Trends, however they are currently receiving just 29% of spread wagers. Despite this lop-sided betting percentage, the line remains at 1.5.

Both teams will be playing without a member of their starting backcourt as Thabo Sefolosha will be sidelined with a foot injury while Jason Kidd is expected to miss another week with a right calf strain. For all injury updates, make sure to visit our NBA injuries page.

A handful of system plays have been triggered on Dallas, including our best smart money play from Heritage (37-30 +4.97 units).  In addition, teams receiving less than 30% of spread wagers have a winning percentage of 50.9% since 2003. While this alone is not a winning system, it does exemplify the value of betting against the public. For these reasons, we recommend keeping an eye out on this game as a potential Best Bet.

A majority of the market has this game available at -1.5, but a variety of books including 5dimes and Heritage are currently offering a line of -1. This once again illuminates the importance of shopping for the best line.

The following table shows the breakdown of spread betting percentages from our six contributing sportsbooks:


# Bets






Thunder 5159 77% 75% 74% 68% 67% 70%
Mavericks 23% 25% 26% 32% 33% 30%

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