In Saturday’s Hawaii Bowl, Southern Mississippi opened as a 6-point favorite at Cris and is currently receiving 65% of spread bets, according to Sports Insights’ College Football Betting Trends.
This slanted betting has pushed the line to 7-points at a majority of the market-setting sportsbooks including Cris and Pinnacle.
The health of multiple key players for both teams will be a significant factor to monitor. Southern Mississippi’s running back Kendrick Hardy, who has not played since October 1st due to a shoulder injury, is listed as doubtful even after receiving extended recovery time. For Nevada, Quarterback Tyler Lantrip (Concussion) and WR Rishard Matthews (Knee) are both listed as probable. Any change to the status of these players could cause immediate line movement, so for up to the moment news on these players make sure to visit our NCAAF Injuries page.
Worth noting is the wide range of line movement that we have noticed in this game. After opening as a 6-point favorite at Cris, Southern Mississippi dropped to -5.5 just two hours later, followed by a sharp move past the key number of 7 all the way to -9 yesterday (12/23) at 3PM. Since then the line has dropped 2 full points to -7.
Although most books are offering this game at -7, Bodog’s line is -8, WagerWeb is currently showing -9 and the spread at SIA is -10. This anomaly shows the importance of keeping multiple books and once again exemplifies the importance of shopping the best line.
The following table shows the breakdown of spread betting percentages from our six contributing sportsbooks: