Final 4 Early Betting Notes
Kentucky, Wisconsin, Duke, and Michigan State make up the 2015 NCAA Final 4 in Indianapolis, Indiana. Duke takes on Michigan State in the first matchup on Saturday night, followed by undefeated Kentucky against Wisconsin.
-Wisconsin (59% of spread bets) opened at +6 and moved to +5 behind respected bets across the market on Sunday night. Currently 53% of ML bets are also on the Badgers. The O/U also dropped 2.5 points at Pinnacle early Sunday morning despite 80% of early bets on the Over.
-Duke opened -4.5 against Michigan State and has been bet up to -5 behind nearly 2/3 of bets.
-Kentucky has been a single-digit favorite in just 6 of their 38 games this season. Smallest spread was -5 at Louisville on Dec 27 (won 58-50).
-The table below shows the title odds from early Monday morning:
|Team||LV Superbook||5Dimes||Sportsbook||The Greek|
-What’s on the line in terms of future bets? David Purdum is reporting that William Hill took a pair of $200 bets on Michigan State at 100:1 odds, and $50,000 on Duke to win it all at 8:1 odds.
-Exact finals matchup from Bovada:
-Pre-tourney odds at 5Dimes to make the Finals: Kentucky -130, Duke +380, Wisconsin +495, Mich St +2200
-Pre-tourney odds at 5Dimes to make the Final 4: Kentucky -290 Wisconsin +160 Duke +173 Mich St +1100
-The table below shows the Tourney MOP (Most Outstanding Player) odds at Bovada from before the Sweet 16 to now:
|Player||Current Odds||Before Sweet 16|
|Karl Anthony Towns (UK)||+300||+700|
|Willie Cauley-Stein (UK)||+400||+400|
|Jahlil Okafor (Duke)||+500||+1200|
|Justise Winslow (Duke)||+500||+2000|
|Aaron Harrison (UK)||+700||+1000|
|Frank Kaminsky (Wisc)||+800||+1200|
|Sam Dekker (Wisc)||+800||+2000|
|Travis Trice (MSU)||+1200||+2500|
|Daniel Valentine (MSU)||+1600||No odds|
|Branden Dawson (MSU)||+2000||+2500|
-Finally, here’s some quick stats on how this year’s tournament has unfolded so far:
Underdogs have gone 32-28 ATS
10+ pt dogs have gone 12-4 ATS
Teams getting <40% of bets have gone 21-11 ATS
Unders have gone 33-28