Fallout From Arian Foster’s Latest Injury

We’re still almost a month away from the first game of the NFL season, but yesterday marked the first day of fully padded training camp practice for teams. These are typically low intensity affairs, however, seemingly every year we see a key player suffer a devastating injury before Week 1.

Save 40% off our Pro subscription by purchasing the Early Bird Special ]

In 2014 Cam Newton (Ribs), Wes Welker (Concussion), Sam Bradford (Knee) and Bernard Pierce (Head) were banged up during the preseason and many of these injuries were of the season-ending variety.

This unfortunate tradition continued on Tuesday afternoon when it was announced that Texans RB Arian Foster suffered a serious groin injury at practice:

Foster is an elite back who has struggled to stay healthy over his career. Last season the 28-year old tallied 1,246 rushing yards, 327 receiving yards and 13 total touchdowns despite missing three games due to injury. In his six-year NFL career, Foster has played just 72 of 96 possible games.

It’s interesting to note that Foster (+600) was listed as the co-favorite to lead the league in rushing yards, but we wanted to know what type of impact this injury would have on the Texans. Assuming Foster’s groin injury does require surgery, it seems safe to assume that the star running back will miss a large chunk of the season, including the team’s Week 1 matchup with the Chiefs.

Immediately after news of Foster’s injury was announced, the Texans dropped from -1.5 to -1 while the over/under dropped from 42 to 41. The line movement on the total is particularly noteworthy since 41 is the third most common scoring output in our database.

The aftermath of Foster’s loss was not only felt by Week 1 bettors, but also across the futures market. Using archived futures from BetOnline, you can see the full impact of Foster’s latest injury.

  1. Odds of winning AFC South: Dropped from +375 to +400
  2. Odds of making playoffs: Unchanged at +160
  3. Odds of winning Super Bowl: Unchanged at +5000
  4. Odds of recording the most rushing yards: +600 to +1200

Over at BetLabsSports we have been posting previews for each conference, including the Houston Texans and the AFC South. As part of this analysis, we found that the Texans win total remained unchanged at 8.5, however, the juice on the over dropped from -135 to -120 at 5Dimes.

These numbers are always subject to change, so we recommend that bettors track the latest futures, odds and betting trends by visiting our free NFL odds page.

Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.

David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.

The following two tabs change content below.

David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

Latest posts by David Solar (see all)

No Comments Permalink

Say something

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked with a grey bar.

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>