Everything to Know About Betting Seahawks-Cowboys

Everything to Know About Betting Seahawks-Cowboys

It’s fitting that the Seahawks-Cowboys game falls on Christmas Eve. It’s an elimination game before the real elimination games, the shiny present you unwrap before the really good stuff a day later.

We can’t promise that the betting and DFS angles below will make you as happy as that very large elf, but we can guarantee they’ll give you the ammo to drop some serious knowledge on your know-it-all uncle before kickoff.

And really, is there any better gift than that?

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All info below as of Sunday morning.


 

SEAHAWKS AT COWBOYS (-3.5)  |  O/U: 47

4:25 p.m. ET | FOX

Betting market: The Cowboys opened as 4.5-point favorites and got up to -5 at Pinnacle on Sunday morning. But sharp money steamed the Seahawks at +5, pushing the line down to +3.5, despite Dallas receiving 55% of the total spread tickets. — PJ Walsh

Trends to know: The Seahawks lost by 35 points last week. The following nuggets apply to teams coming off losses of five TDs or more:

  • Overall (since 2003): 52-29-5 ATS (64.2%)
  • When listed as the underdog: 41-21-5 ATS (66.1%)
  • When getting fewer than than 49% of the overall betting tickets: 41-19-5 ATS (68.3%)
  • When listed as an underdog of more than a field goal: 37-14-2 ATS (72.5%) — Evan Abrams and John Ewing

DFS edge: Ezekiel Elliott’s impact on the Cowboys offense is evident, as they’ve averaged 28.3 PPG and 148.1 rushing yards per game in eight games with their RB1 compared to 18.3 PPG and 121.3 yards in six games without. There’s no reason to expect a limited workload in his first game back with the team’s playoff hopes on the line, and that workload will likely be heavy considering only Le’Veon Bell received more touches in Weeks 1-9. His matchup against the Seahawks’ ninth-ranked defense in rush DVOA isn’t ideal, although they’ve allowed an additional 5.1 PPG and 24 rushing yards per game in 14 games without SS Kam Chancellor (neck, IR) since 2015. — Ian Hartitz

What the metrics say: The Cowboys will have a significant advantage inside the 20, ranking fourth in offensive red zone TD percentage (63.3%). Seattle, meanwhile, only scores TDs on 52.4% of red zone drives, 22nd overall. Dallas also figures to have the edge on special teams, with the much better field goal kicker (Dan Bailey vs. Blair Walsh isn’t even a competition) and the better Football Outsiders ranking (fourth vs. 23rd). — Stuckey

Injuries to watch: Elliott is back, and LT Tyron Smith (knee, questionable) will reportedly give it a go. They’ll face off against the Seahawks’ Legion of Boom, although business hasn’t been booming lately with Chancellor and CB Richard Sherman (Achilles, IR) sidelined. The absence of CB Justin Coleman (chest, questionable) wouldn’t help the team’s injury-depleted secondary, and the front seven could certainly use the assistance of starting LBs Bobby Wagner (hamstring, questionable) and K.J. Wright (concussion, questionable). The team reportedly expects both LBs to play. — Ian Hartitz

Did you know? Russell Wilson is 13-5-1 ATS as an underdog in his career, while the Cowboys are 21-33-1 (38.9%) ATS as a favorite vs. conference opponents under Jason Garrett. — Evan Abrams and John Ewing

Pass or play? Pass. My numbers make Seattle a 3-point dog on the road, which means there’s certainly value in the Seahawks. Seattle with have the coaching advantage and the better QB in the fourth quarter. But the injuries are a concern, and I’m ultimately not sure where this team’s head is at, especially after seeing the since-deleted Bobby Wagner tweet calling out Earl Thomas. — Stuckey

2 Comments
  • Matt Stewart
    December 21, 2017 at 11:32 am

    Wind? Dallas plays in a dome.

  • Bo
    December 21, 2017 at 12:04 pm

    How does wind play a factor in an indoor stadium??

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