Despite Ranking, Buckeyes Still a Major Title Contender

Despite Ranking, Buckeyes Still a Major Title Contender

Last night we got our first glimpse into the minds of the College Football Playoff Selection Committee, and there were certainly some surprises. Neither Notre Dame (+500) nor Clemson (+250) were expected to make the initial top 4 in last week’s Bookmaker odds, and Alabama was a -4000 favorite to be ranked #1.

Now that the rankings are out, BetOnline has released updated odds to win the National Championship. Let’s take a look.

SchoolNov 13
(BetOnline)
Nov 9
(BetOnline)
Nov 1
(BetOnline)
Oct 24
(BetOnline)
Oct 16
(BetOnline)
Oct 9
(BetOnline)
Oct 2
(BetOnline)
Sep 25
(BetOnline)
Sep 18
(BetOnline)
Sep 11
(BetOnline)
Sep 7
(5Dimes)
Aug 21
(5Dimes)
July 18
(5Dimes)
June 24
(5Dimes)
Jan 9
(Westgate)
Alabama CRIMSON TIDE-125-140-135-120+100+125+140+150+175+200+225+245+265+310+300
Oklahoma SOONERS+450+1200+3300+2500+1600+2500+700+700+700+800+1800+1800+1300+1300+800
Clemson TIGERS+600+700+1000+1100+1000+300+350+500+800+1200+2000+3600+3500+3500+2000
Miami FL HURRICANES+700+2000+4000+2500+3300+3300+5000+5000+5000+5000+6000+8000+8500+8500+3000
Auburn TIGERS+800+3300+5000+5000+5000+2000+2500+3300+3300+4000+2800+2000+2300+3200+2500
Wisconsin BADGERS+1400+1600+2000+1600+2000+2500+3300+3300+3300+3300+4150+4000+4000+5500+4000
Ohio St BUCKEYES+2000+6600+350+600+700+1000+1200+1000+1000+1600+650+800+825+875+800
Georgia BULLDOGS+2000+500+800+1000+1000+1000+1200+1400+2000+2800+4150+3500+5000+5000+3000
Notre Dame FIGHTING IRISH+10000+1000+1400+3300+5000+5000+5000+5000+6600+8000+5250+8700+8000+8000+6000
TCU HORNED FROGS+12500+2500+3300+1600+2500+3300+3300+3300+6600+5000+8500+11500+11500+11500+6000
Washington HUSKIESN/A+2800+4000+3300+3300+1400+2000+2000+2800+3300+3700+2350+2800+2800+3000
Oklahoma St COWBOYSN/A+8000+2000+1600+1400+1400+1400+2000+1400+2000+3300+4250+4800+5300+2000
Penn St NITTANY LIONSN/A+10000+2000+700+1000+1200+1200+1200+1200+1400+2400+2200+1800+2000+2500
USC TROJANSN/A+10000+8000+5000+1200+1600+1600+800+700+700+800+775+825+825+800
Virginia Tech HOKIESN/AN/A+6600+10000+10000+10000+15000+8000+10000+5000+8000+9000+8500+8500+4000
UCONN HUSKIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Iowa St CYCLONESN/AN/A+10000+25000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+250000+150000+150000+50000
Central Florida KNIGHTSN/AN/A+12500+12500N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+175000+999999+500000+500000+100000
South Florida BULLSN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+6600+6600+6600+8000+10000+25000+12500+30000+50000+30000
Michigan St SPARTANSN/AN/AN/A+10000+8000+10000+10000+20000+12500+10000+18500+60000+50000+50000+10000
Stanford CARDINALN/AN/AN/A+12500+6600+8000+10000+10000+12500+6600+7500+11000+10000+10000+6000
Michigan WOLVERINESN/AN/AN/A+25000+3300+5000+1600+2000+1400+1200+2000+2700+2500+2500+1200
LSU TIGERSN/AN/AN/A+25000+5000+8000+12500+5000+5000+1600+2400+2000+2200+2200+1200
Washington St COUGARSN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+5000+2500+6600+8000+8000+11000+16000+12500+12500+6000
Memphis TIGERSN/AN/AN/A+25000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+85000+250000+200000+200000+100000
Texas LONGHORNSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+8000+10000+15000+10000+10500+5000+4500+4500+2000
San Diego St AZTECSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+180000+150000+200000+100000
Florida GATORSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+5000+6600+5000+8000+7000+4500+4500+5000+4000
UCLA BRUINSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+12500+20000+10000+6600+8500+10300+12500+12500+6000
Tennessee VOLUNTEERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+12500+12500+12500+8000+8500+10300+10000+10000+4000
Utah UTESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+12500+12500+15000+15000+27500+35000+30000+30000+10000
Navy MIDSHIPMENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000N/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+250000+200000+200000+100000
Oregon DUCKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+4000+5000+3300+5000+8500+11500+12500+12500+6000
Texas A&M AGGIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+5000+5000+17500+22500+20000+20000+10000
Louisville CARDINALSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+6600+6600+3300+5500+5300+5000+5000+1000
Florida St SEMINOLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+12500+3300+3300+3500+975+850+850+800
Kansas St WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+15000+15000+6600+9000+12000+7000+7000+3000
West Virginia MOUNTAINEERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+12500+15000+15000+17500+50000+15000+15000+5000
Minnesota GOLDEN GOPHERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+8000+8000+12500+25000+60000+50000+50000+10000
Nebraska CORNHUSKERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000+50000+25000+22500+22500+20000+20000+10000
Pittsburgh PANTHERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+35000+25000+35000+65000+35000+35000+30000
Colorado BUFFALOESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+12500+10000+20000+35000+25000+25000+6000
Iowa HAWKEYESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+10000+10000+30000+40000+30000+30000+20000
Boise St BRONCOSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+50000+50000+90000+60000+60000+10000
Ole Miss REBELSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+999999N/AN/A+8000
Arkansas RAZORBACKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+50000+40000+40000+20000
North Carolina TAR HEELSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000+65000+50000+50000+10000
South Carolina GAMECOCKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000+95000+60000+60000+30000
Northwestern WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+32500+40000+35000+35000+10000
Mississippi St BULLDOGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+32500+60000+50000+50000+20000
Georgia Tech YELLOW JACKETSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+40000+70000+60000+60000+10000
California GOLDEN BEARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+45000+750000+300000+300000+50000
Houston COUGARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+45000+250000+150000+150000+50000
Missouri TIGERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+45000+120000+100000+100000+100000
Arizona WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+45000+400000+300000+300000+50000
Maryland TERRAPINSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+400000+300000+300000+30000
Vanderbilt COMMODORESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+150000+150000+150000+50000
BYU COUGARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+22500+20000+35000+30000
Syracuse ORANGEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+250000+200000+200000+30000
Arizona St SUN DEVILSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+60000+50000+50000+20000
Wake Forest DEMON DEACONSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+250000+200000+200000+30000
Texas Tech RED RAIDERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+55000+150000+100000+100000+30000
Duke BLUE DEVILSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+60000+150000+75000+75000+50000
Boston College EAGLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+60000+300000+150000+150000+50000
Kentucky WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+60000+150000+100000+100000+30000
Wyoming COWBOYSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+125000+999999+999999+999999+100000
Virginia CAVALIERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+60000+750000+600000+600000+50000
Baylor BEARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+65000+60000+35000+35000+30000
Cincinnati BEARCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+999999+750000+750000+100000
Purdue BOILERMAKERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+800000+600000+600000+100000
Southern Miss GOLDEN EAGLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+120000+999999+999999+999999N/A
NC State WOLFPACKN/AN/A+5000+5000+5000+5000+10000+8000N/AN/AN/A+22500+20000+20000+10000
Troy TROJANSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+125000+999999+999999+999999N/A
UNLV REBELSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+125000+999999+999999+999999+100000
Rutgers SCARLET KNIGHTSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+125000+999999+999999+999999+100000
UTEP MINERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150000+999999+999999+999999N/A
Kansas JAYHAWKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150000+999999+999999+999999+100000
Illinois FIGHTING ILLININ/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+175000+800000+600000+600000+100000
Western Kentucky HILLTOPPERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+175000+500000+300000+300000+100000
Tulsa GOLDEN HURRICANEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+175000+800000+500000+500000+100000
San Jose State SPARTANSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+175000+999999+999999+999999N/A
Western Michigan BRONCOSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+175000+750000+500000+500000N/A
Ohio BOBCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+185000+999999+999999+999999N/A
Marshall THUNDERING HERDN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+200000+999999+750000+750000N/A
Utah State AGGIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+200000+999999+999999+999999+100000
Rice OWLSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+200000+999999+999999+999999N/A
TOLEDON/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+200000+800000N/AN/AN/A
SMU MUSTANGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+225000+999999+999999+999999+50000
Army BLACK KNIGHTSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+225000+999999+750000+750000+100000
Indiana HOOSIERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+150000+100000+100000+30000
Louisiana Tech BULLDOGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+750000+500000+500000+100000
South Alabama JAGUARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+300000+999999+999999+999999N/A
Eastern Michigan EAGLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+300000+999999+999999+999999N/A
Tulane GREEN WAVEN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+300000+999999+999999+999999+100000
UL Lafayette RAGIN' CAJUNSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+335000+999999+999999+999999N/A
Idaho VANDALSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
East Carolina PIRATESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999+100000
'FIELD'N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000
Air Force FALCONSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999+100000
Appalachian St MOUNTAINEERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+750000+750000N/A
Nevada WOLF PACKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999+100000
New Mexico LOBOSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999+100000
Texas State BOBCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
New Mexico St AGGIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Arkansas St RED WOLVESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+750000+750000N/A
Middle Tennessee St BLUE RAIDERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Florida Atlantic OWLSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
UAB BLAZERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
North Texas MEAN GREENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Hawaii RAINBOWSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Akron ZIPSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
UL Monroe WARHAWKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
UMASS MINUTEMENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Miami Ohio REDHAWKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+750000+750000N/A
Northern Illinois HUSKIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Buffalo BULLSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Kent State GOLDEN FLASHESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Temple OWLSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+750000+500000+500000+100000
UTSA ROADRUNNERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Central Michigan CHIPPEWASN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Florida International GOLDEN PANTHERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Charlotte 49ERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Fresno State BULLDOGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Old Dominion MONARCHSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Bowling Green FALCONSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Georgia Southern EAGLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Georgia State PANTHERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Colorado St RAMSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+300000+250000+250000+100000
Ball St CARDINALSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+999999+999999+999999N/A
Oregon St BEAVERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+60000+250000+150000+150000+50000

Following their thrilling win over Penn State, Ohio State has jumped from +600 to +350, making them the second most likely team (22.2% implied probability) to win the title. The rankings, however, suggest that the Buckeyes don’t control their own destiny, though it’s hard to imagine that the committee wouldn’t include them in the playoff if they were to win out, as that would likely include a win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship.

Ranked one spot ahead of Ohio State in the initial CFP rankings is Oklahoma, who got the best of the Buckeyes back in early September. Despite being ranked 5th in the nation, the Sooners are tied as the ninth most likely team to win the title according to their BetOnline odds (+3300). Looking ahead at Oklahoma’s next two opponents, it’s easy to understand why. They’ll play at Oklahoma State this week, followed by a home meeting with TCU.

Notre Dame made the biggest leap of the week, catapulted by an impressive 35-14 win over NC State, as well as their #3 ranking from the selection committee last night. The Irish are now +1400 to win the title, but still have to go on the road to Miami and Stanford before season’s end.

We’ve never seen two teams from the same conference in the College Football Playoff, but if both Georgia and Alabama are undefeated heading into an SEC title game, it’ll be hard for the committee to leave one of them out, regardless of the winner. It should be noted that both teams have a trip to Auburn remaining on their schedule, so it’s no given that they’d meet as undefeated teams. And although it’s a tall task, Auburn could re-enter the title conversation if they can somehow pull out victories in those games. They’re currently +5000 with the #14 ranking, making them the highest ranked two-loss team in the country.

Danny Donahue

If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am gonna be a very rich dude. @dannyjdonahue on Twitter

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