2016 NFL Head Coaching Odds

On Wednesday morning Bovada, a popular offshore sportsbook, posted odds for six of the seven head coaching vacancies. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who fired Lovie Smith on Thursday morning, were not listed as an option.

It’s difficult to evaluate which available job is the most attractive to potential suitors, but it’s tough to argue against Tampa Bay and Tennessee — both of whom drafted productive franchise quarterback’s in last year’s draft.

The tables below display how these head coaching odds have moved since opening, and will continue to be updated until the vacancies are filled.

49ers Coach

Coach Bovada (1/7) Bovada (1/6)
Hue Jackson +200 +500
Chip Kelly +250 +300
Mike Shanahan +400 +350
Anthony Lynn +700 +500
Mike Holmgren +900 +700
Adam Gase +900 +700
Todd Haley +1200 +1000
Kyle Shanahan +1200 +1200

Browns Coach

Coach Bovada (1/7) Bovada (1/6)
Hue Jackson +300 +300
Adam Gase +500 +500
Chip Kelly +600 +600
Sean McDermott +600 +600
Paul Guenther +700 +700
Matt Patricia +700 +700
Josh McDaniels +900 +900
Teryl Austin +1000 +1000
Doug Marrone +1000 +1000
Doug Pederson +1200 +1200

Dolphins Coach

Coach Bovada (1/7) Bovada (1/6)
Mike Shanahan +400 +450
Adam Gase +400 +700
Mike Smith +550 +500
Teryl Austin +750 +800
Doug Marrone +750 +800
Josh McDaniels +900 +900
Hue Jackson +900 +1000
Matt Patricia +1200 +900
Anthony Lynn +1200 +900
Todd Haley +1200 +1200
Dan Campbell +1200 +1200
Sean Payton N/A +1200

Eagles Coach

Coach Bovada (1/7) Bovada (1/6)
Adam Gase -200 +400
Pat Shurmur +700 +200
Doug Pederson +700 +600
Sean McDermott +700 +600
Paul Guenther +1500 +700
Hue Jackson +1500 +700
Matt Patricia +1500 +700
Tom Coughlin +1500 +900

Giants Coach

Coach Bovada (1/7) Bovada (1/6)
Ben McAdoo +100 +350
Josh McDaniels +350 +250
Steve Spagnuolo +375 +300
Doug Marrone +900 +700
Hue Jackson +900 +700
Sean McDermott +900 +800
Nick Saban +2000 +2000
John Gruden +2500 +2000

Titans Coach

Coach Bovada (1/7) Bovada (1/6)
Mike Mularkey +150 +150
Chip Kelly +200 +200
Hue Jackson +500 +500
Adam Gase +500 +500
Josh McDaniels +600 +600
Teryl Austin +1000 +1000

Hue Jackson, the current offensive coordinator for the Cincinnati Bengals and former head coach of the Oakland Raiders, is one of the most popular candidates for several jobs. At the time of publication, Jackson was listed as the favorite for the openings in San Francisco and Cleveland. He was also listed as option for Tennessee (+500), Miami (+900), New York (+900) and Philadelphia (+1500).

There were also two interesting revelations yesterday, both of which involved teams from the NFC East. Patriots’ offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels (+250) opened as the favorite to be named the next head coach of the New York Giants. However, in the past 24 hours McDaniels dropped from +250 to +350 while Giants offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo moved from +350 to +100 — making him the new front runner.

In Philadelphia, interim head coach Pat Shurmur opened as a +200 favorite to be named the next full time head coach of the Eagles. Unfortunately, Shurmur has plummeted from +200 to +700 while another candidate saw his odds skyrocket.

Gase, the current offensive coordinator for the Chicago bears and the former offensive coordinator for the Denver Broncos, has the shortest odds of any head coach listed. This major line move is largely based on the news that Philadelphia has already scheduled a second interview with Gase.

Bettors should be wary of several well-known coaches who have been listed as options. Sportsbooks realize that prominent names like Mike Shanahan, Mike Holmgren, Nick Saban and John Gruden will receive bets regardless of their odds. Specifically, Saban and Gruden have repeatedly stated that they have no intentions of leaving their current jobs.

Should any additional coaching candidates that should be listed? Where will Hue Jackson land? Are any coaches offering value? Please leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

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David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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