2016 NBA Finals MVP Odds

2016 NBA Finals MVP Odds

Before the opening round of the 2016 NBA Playoffs started on April 16th, Irish bookmaker Paddy Power released odds for the NBA Finals MVP. At the time of publication, Paddy Power was the only sportsbook offering odds for the award. They have been updating this prop bet throughout the playoffs, but we wanted to see how these odds had moved across the market.

The table below compares the 2016 NBA Finals MVP odds throughout the playoffs:

Player6/17
(Sprtsbk)
6/14
(PP)
6/12
(Sprtsbk)
6/9
(BOL)
6/6
(BOL)
6/5
(Sprtsbk)
5/31
(BOL)
5/31
(PP)
5/27
(PP)
5/11
(PP)
4/15
(PP)
LeBron James-260+400+1200+400+600+320+225+230+110+250+500
Stephen Curry+300+200-260+165+120-105-125-120+350-110+120
Klay Thompson+500+900+500+1200+900+700+475+700+2500+1700+2000
Draymond Green+1000+150+300+100+120+500+850+900+2200+850+1000
Kyrie Irving+1500+1000+3500+1600+2500+1000+900+900+750+1400+3500
Andre Iguodala+2000+1000+750+1600+1400+1500+3300+2200+17500+4500+5500
Shaun Livingston+5000+10000+2500+10000N/A+2000N/A+15000N/AN/AN/A
Tristan Thompson+50000+50000+20000+10000+25000+20000+10000+10000N/AN/AN/A
Harrison Barnes+100000+27500+5000+8000+10000+12500+5500+10000+37500N/AN/A
Kevin LoveN/A+50000+50000+17500+10000+4000+2000+2500+4000+3500+3500
Andrew BogutN/A+50000N/A+25000+10000+25000+8000+10000+50000+15000+10000
Richard JeffersonN/A+50000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/AN/AN/A
Matthew DellavedovaN/A+50000N/AN/AN/A+50000N/A+15000+37500+27500+10000
Iman ShumpertN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Kyle LowryN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+37500+15000+3500
Steven AdamsN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+9000N/AN/A
Kevin DurantN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+450+1400+3500
Tim DuncanN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+7000
Dwyane WadeN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+9000+15000
Joe JohnsonN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+32500N/A
Goran DragicN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+32500+30000
Hassan WhitesideN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+30000
Patty MillsN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+15000
Damian LillardN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+17500
Zach RandolphN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000
Tony ParkerN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+3500
Channing FryeN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/AN/AN/A
J.R. SmithN/A+50000+50000+10000+25000+15000+5000+10000+17500+8000N/A
LaMarcus AldridgeN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+1400+1400
Isaiah ThomasN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+7500
Avery BradleyN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000
Kemba WalkerN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+22500
DeAndre JordanN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000
Blake GriffinN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6000
Paul MillsapN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000
Nicolas BatumN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000
Andre DrummondN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+37500
Monta EllisN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
Jeff TeagueN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000
Reggie JacksonN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
James HardenN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
Dwight HowardN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
Aron BaynesN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
Dirk NowitzkiN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
J.J. BareaN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000
Chris PaulN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6000
Paul GeorgeN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500
Jonas ValanciunasN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+20000
Kawhi LeonardN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+900+650
DeMarre CarrollN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+20000
DeMar DeRozanN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+37500+15000+6600
Al HorfordN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+22500
C.J. McCollumN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+50000
Russell WestbrookN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+450+1400+2500

Below was written prior to Game 6:

Draymond Green was suspended for Game 5 of the NBA Finals due to an incident at the end of Game 4. However, his absence in the Warriors surprising loss has only magnified Green’s value. Following Game 5, Green’s odds improved from +300 to +150 which makes him the new favorite. Stephen Curry, who has struggled all series, dropped from -260 to +200.

Andre Iguodala, the 2015 NBA Finals MVP, opened at +5500. The last player to win back-to-back Finals MVPs was LeBron James, who did so in 2012 and 2013. Since that time, his odds of repeating ballooned to 175/1 before dropping down to 16/1. Following Game 5, Iguodala was tied for the fifth-best odds at +1000.

Iguodala is not the only member of the Golden State Warriors to open with favorable odds. Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and Klay Thompson have been listed as three of the top options since the start of the playoffs. Although their odds dropped significantly when they were on the verge of elimination against Oklahoma City, all three are once again listed as top options.

When this post was first published, LeBron James (+500) was identified as another player offering value to bettors. We stated that the Cavs had an easy route to the NBA Finals based on the weak level of competition in the Eastern Conference.  Since the start of the playoffs, LeBron’s odds of being named the Finals MVP improved from +500 to +110 before dropping to +1200 following the Cavs Game 4 loss. Monday night’s victory caused his odds to jump from 12/1 to 4/1.

Who do you think will win this award? Will the NBA Finals MVP be a member of the Golden State Warriors? Please leave your comments in the section below.

Andrew Fine

Andrew is a Sports Betting Specialist for Sports Insights. He can be reached at andrew@sportsinsights.com.

2 Comments
  • Brian
    June 18, 2016 at 4:25 pm

    What would the line be for Lebron winning MVP given that the Warriors win? Simply curious.

    • Dan McGuire
      June 19, 2016 at 9:02 am

      Good question, tough to say but probably around +120.

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