2016 National Championship Opening Line Report: Alabama vs. Clemson

2016 National Championship Opening Line Report: Alabama vs. Clemson

While both College Football Semifinal Playoff games were close at halftime, Alabama and Clemson dominated Michigan State and Oklahoma respectively in the second half en route to the title game. Before we examine the opening odds and betting trends, here’s how each team’s National Championship odds have changed at 5Dimes since the conclusion of last season:

SchoolJan 2, 2016Dec 28Dec 7Nov 19Oct 23Oct 3Sep 3July 19May 24Jan 13, 2015
Alabama-280+106-111+240+600+1800+1000+750+700+1000
Clemson+240+450+515+400+1450+2000+3100+2200+2200+3300

Alabama’s highest odds during the season was on October 3rd when they were +1800. This was just a couple weeks after their home loss to Ole Miss, and from that loss on the Crimson Tide went on to outscore their opponents 372-117.

Clemson’s highest odds were actually at the end of last season when they were listed at +3300. They were also listed at +3100 at the beginning of this season to win it all and went the entire year undefeated, never seeing their odds lower than that going forward.

Alabama opens -7 around the market

Shortly after Alabama sealed its victory over Michigan State, oddsmakers around the market opened the Crimson Tide -7 against the Clemson Tigers. This number may have been a tick higher than expected since 5Dimes listed the potential lookahead line at Alabama -6 since the playoffs were announced. This may help explain why CRIS has since moved their number to Alabama -6.5 while the rest of the market remains on -7.

Alabama getting the majority of early spread bets

In Alabama’s semifinal matchup with Michigan State, bettors were in love with the Spartans on both the spread and moneyline, but both bets hardly had a chance. Now it is Alabama getting the majority of early spread bets, with 7 out of every 10 bets coming in on the Crimson Tide. So far we have triggered 1 steam move on this game from the most profitable book this season, and all members can view this bet signal along with any official pick we may have.

Key injuries

The trio of Clemson players suspended for the semifinal game are also expected to miss the National Championship although their status’ could change. Here are the rest of the injuries to look for:

bama clem

 

With still over a week left until the game, there will surely be more line moves, status changes and more so be sure to keep up at our Free Live Odds page.


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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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