2016 Golden Globe Odds

2016 Golden Globe Odds

The 2016 Golden Globes will take place at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California on Sunday, January 10 at 8:00 PM eastern time. This marks the 73rd year of the ceremony, which will be hosted by Ricky Gervais.

Awards will be handed out in 25 categories — 14 for film and 11 for television. “Carol” led all films with five nominations followed by “Steve Jobs”, “The Big Short” and “The Revenant” which landed four nominations apiece. “American Crime”, “Fargo”, “Mr. Robot”, “Outlander”, “Transparent” and “Wolf Hall” led all television shows with three nominations each.

Earlier this week Bovada, one of the most popular offshore sportsbooks, posted odds for eleven of the fourteen film categories — omitting Best Screenplay, Best Original Score and Best Original Song.

These odds can be a useful tool for anybody competing in a Golden Globes pool, especially because there are four categories where oddsmakers are fairly certain about tomorrow night’s winner.

The tables below display the current odds for eleven major film categories, plus one bonus prop bet.

Best Picture Drama

MovieOdds
Spotlight -600
The Revenant +500
Carol +1000
Mad Max: Fury Road+1600
Room +2500

Best Picture Musical or Comedy

MovieOdds
The Big Short -200
The Martian +175
Joy+700
Trainwreck +2500
Spy +5000

Best Actor in a Motion Picture Drama

ActorMovieOdds
Leonardo DiCaprioThe Revenant-1000
Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs+550
Eddie RedmayneThe Danish Girl+1200
Bryan Cranston Trumbo+2500
Will SmithConcussion+2800

Best Actor In A Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

ActorMovieOdds
Matt DamonThe Martian-600
Christian BaleThe Big Short+500
Steve CarellThe Big Short+1200
Al PacinoDanny Collins+1200
Mark RuffaloInfinitely Polar Bear+2500

Best Actress in a Motion Picture Drama

ActressMovieOdds
Brie LarsonRoom-275
Saoirse RonanBrooklyn+350
Cate BlanchettCarol+500
Rooney Mara Carol+1600
Alicia VikanderThe Danish Girl+3000

Best Actress In A Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

ActressMovieOdds
Jennifer Lawrence Joy-120
Amy Schumer Trainwreck-120
Lily TomlinGrandma+1000
Maggie SmithThe Lady in the Van+2000
Melissa McCarthySpy+3000

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

ActorMovieOdds
Sylvester StalloneCreed-175
Mark RylanceBridge of Spies+225
Idris ElbaBeasts of No Nation+550
Michael Shannon99 Homes+1200
Paul DanoLove & Mercy+3300

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

ActressMovieOdds
Jennifer Jason LeighThe Hateful Eight+100
Alicia VikanderEx Machina+100
Helen MirrenTrumbo+1200
Kate WinsletSteve Jobs+1200
Jane FondaYouth+2000

Best Director

DirectorMovieOdds
Ridley ScottThe Martian+100
Alejandro InarrituThe Revenant+275
George MillerMad Max: Fury Road+350
Tom McCarthySpotlight+500
Todd HaynesCarol+2000

Best Animated Feature

MovieOdds
Inside Out -2000
Anomalisa +900
The Good Dinosaur +1000
The Peanuts Movie +2500
Shaun the Sheep Movie +3300

Best Foreign Language Film

FilmCountryOdds
Son of SaulHungary-1000
MustangFrance+800
The ClubChile+1200
The Brand New TestamentBelgium/France/Luxembourg+1400
The FencerFinland/Germany/Estonia+2500

Special: Who will Ricky Gervais mention first?

PersonOdds
Donald Trump+200
Mel Gibson+200
Steve Harvey+400
Shia LaBeouf+500
Charlie Sheen+650
Kardashians+1000

It’s interesting to note that there has been some recent movement with “The Big Short” (-200) surpassing “The Martian” (+175) as the favorite to win Best Picture (Musical/Comedy). That move seems largely due to public money, as many movie-goers have recently seen “The Big Short” and could be suffering from a recency bias.

We have also seen “Spotlight’s” odds of winning Best Picture (Drama) surge dramatically. The film follows The Boston Globe’s investigation into the widespread child sex abuse by the Catholic Church, and opened as a +300 co-favorite to win Best Picture alongside “The Revenant.” A month later, “Spotlight” had jumped from +300 to -150 while “The Revenant” had dropped from +300 to +400. Three weeks later, Spotlight was the clear cut front runner at -600.

In this year’s field finding value can be quite difficult, but there are a few potential categories worth monitoring. My favorite value picks are listed below.

  1. Best Actress In A Motion Picture Musical or Comedy: Amy Schumer for “Trainwreck” (-120)
  2. Best Director: George Miller for “Mad Max: Fury Road” (+350)
  3. Best Animated Feature: “Anomolisa” (+900)
  4. Best Picture Musical or Comedy: “The Martian” (+175)

Who do you think will be the big winners on Sunday night? Which movies were overlooked by the Hollywood Foreign Press this year? Please leave any thoughts or questions in the comment section below.

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David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.


David Solar

David is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems.

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