2016 Golden Globe Odds

The 2016 Golden Globes will take place at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California on Sunday, January 10 at 8:00 PM eastern time. This marks the 73rd year of the ceremony, which will be hosted by Ricky Gervais.

Awards will be handed out in 25 categories — 14 for film and 11 for television. “Carol” led all films with five nominations followed by “Steve Jobs”, “The Big Short” and “The Revenant” which landed four nominations apiece. “American Crime”, “Fargo”, “Mr. Robot”, “Outlander”, “Transparent” and “Wolf Hall” led all television shows with three nominations each.

Earlier this week Bovada, one of the most popular offshore sportsbooks, posted odds for eleven of the fourteen film categories — omitting Best Screenplay, Best Original Score and Best Original Song.

These odds can be a useful tool for anybody competing in a Golden Globes pool, especially because there are four categories where oddsmakers are fairly certain about tomorrow night’s winner.

The tables below display the current odds for eleven major film categories, plus one bonus prop bet.

Best Picture Drama

Movie Odds
Spotlight -600
The Revenant +500
Carol +1000
Mad Max: Fury Road +1600
Room +2500

Best Picture Musical or Comedy

Movie Odds
The Big Short -200
The Martian +175
Joy +700
Trainwreck +2500
Spy +5000

Best Actor in a Motion Picture Drama

Actor Movie Odds
Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant -1000
Michael Fassbender Steve Jobs +550
Eddie Redmayne The Danish Girl +1200
Bryan Cranston Trumbo +2500
Will Smith Concussion +2800

Best Actor In A Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

Actor Movie Odds
Matt Damon The Martian -600
Christian Bale The Big Short +500
Steve Carell The Big Short +1200
Al Pacino Danny Collins +1200
Mark Ruffalo Infinitely Polar Bear +2500

Best Actress in a Motion Picture Drama

Actress Movie Odds
Brie Larson Room -275
Saoirse Ronan Brooklyn +350
Cate Blanchett Carol +500
Rooney Mara Carol +1600
Alicia Vikander The Danish Girl +3000

Best Actress In A Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

Actress Movie Odds
Jennifer Lawrence Joy -120
Amy Schumer Trainwreck -120
Lily Tomlin Grandma +1000
Maggie Smith The Lady in the Van +2000
Melissa McCarthy Spy +3000

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Actor Movie Odds
Sylvester Stallone Creed -175
Mark Rylance Bridge of Spies +225
Idris Elba Beasts of No Nation +550
Michael Shannon 99 Homes +1200
Paul Dano Love & Mercy +3300

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Actress Movie Odds
Jennifer Jason Leigh The Hateful Eight +100
Alicia Vikander Ex Machina +100
Helen Mirren Trumbo +1200
Kate Winslet Steve Jobs +1200
Jane Fonda Youth +2000

Best Director

Director Movie Odds
Ridley Scott The Martian +100
Alejandro Inarritu The Revenant +275
George Miller Mad Max: Fury Road +350
Tom McCarthy Spotlight +500
Todd Haynes Carol +2000

Best Animated Feature

Movie Odds
Inside Out -2000
Anomalisa +900
The Good Dinosaur +1000
The Peanuts Movie +2500
Shaun the Sheep Movie +3300

Best Foreign Language Film

Film Country Odds
Son of Saul Hungary -1000
Mustang France +800
The Club Chile +1200
The Brand New Testament Belgium/France/Luxembourg +1400
The Fencer Finland/Germany/Estonia +2500

Special: Who will Ricky Gervais mention first?

Person Odds
Donald Trump +200
Mel Gibson +200
Steve Harvey +400
Shia LaBeouf +500
Charlie Sheen +650
Kardashians +1000

It’s interesting to note that there has been some recent movement with “The Big Short” (-200) surpassing “The Martian” (+175) as the favorite to win Best Picture (Musical/Comedy). That move seems largely due to public money, as many movie-goers have recently seen “The Big Short” and could be suffering from a recency bias.

We have also seen “Spotlight’s” odds of winning Best Picture (Drama) surge dramatically. The film follows The Boston Globe’s investigation into the widespread child sex abuse by the Catholic Church, and opened as a +300 co-favorite to win Best Picture alongside “The Revenant.” A month later, “Spotlight” had jumped from +300 to -150 while “The Revenant” had dropped from +300 to +400. Three weeks later, Spotlight was the clear cut front runner at -600.

In this year’s field finding value can be quite difficult, but there are a few potential categories worth monitoring. My favorite value picks are listed below.

  1. Best Actress In A Motion Picture Musical or Comedy: Amy Schumer for “Trainwreck” (-120)
  2. Best Director: George Miller for “Mad Max: Fury Road” (+350)
  3. Best Animated Feature: “Anomolisa” (+900)
  4. Best Picture Musical or Comedy: “The Martian” (+175)

Who do you think will be the big winners on Sunday night? Which movies were overlooked by the Hollywood Foreign Press this year? Please leave any thoughts or questions in the comment section below.

Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.

David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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