2016 College Football: Week 2 Betting Recap

2016 College Football: Week 2 Betting Recap

This week’s recap will be a little shorter than most simply due to the fact that there wasn’t a whole lot going on. Of course there were some upsets and a couple crazy endings, but Week 2 lacked the marquee matchups that we’re going to see in Week 3.

Week 2 trends via BetLabsSports.com

Favorites: 40-28 ATS
Favorites >-21: 21-13 ATS
Home Teams: 36-31 ATS
Less than 30% of bets: 10-14 ATS
Overs: 36-34
Best Conference: SEC 7-3 ATS

Moneyline Upsets

Central Michigan +700 at Oklahoma St
Arkansas +375 at TCU
New Mexico St +375 v New Mexico
Illinois St +350 at Northwestern
NC A&T +350 at Kent

Central Michigan were awarded an untimed down at the end of the game but refs ruled it was an error on their part. Here’s how the +1000 moneyline odds at Oklahoma State cashed:

Betting Nuggets

Both public road faves easily covered Friday night, even on the closing line after moving 3+ pts. QB Lamar Jackson ACC record 610 offensive yards.

Some big underdogs were looking good but couldn’t pull off the miracles: Nicholls St (+53 spread, 1500:1 moneyline) lost by just 2 points at UGA….Troy (+35 spread, 115:1 moneyline) lost by just 6 at Clemson….Howard lead 14-0 early over Rutgers (+43 spread and 325:1 moneyline) but then got blown out….Late Saturday night Grambling (+45 spread, 350:1 moneyline) had a 21-3 lead at Arizona but lost 31-21.

Fading the Preseason Top 5 AP Poll has been successful thus far: Oklahoma, Clemson, Alabama, Ohio St, and LSU combined to go 2-3 ATS Week 1 and 1-3-1 ATS in Week 2.

Teams down at least 42 points at halftime have gone 9-0-2 ATS on the 2nd half spread so far this season. This system also earned nearly +6 units last season.

The highest O/U of the week, TTU/Arizona State 80, easily went over with Arizona State winning 68-55. The Sun Devils’ Kalen Ballage tied an FBS record with 8 touchdowns on just 15 touches.

Kansas had a chanced to go over their opening Season Win Total of 1.5 as they were small favorites vs. Ohio, but got blown out at home. The Jayhawks haven’t won consecutive games since 2011, and will likely be double-digit underdogs in every game the rest of the season.

Heisman moves

Louisville QB Lamar Jackson: 610 yards of offense, 4 rushing TDs. Was 110:1 to win before year, 18:1 before Cuse game, and 10:1 after Cuse game.

Title moves

Oklahoma State was really the only quasi-contending team to suffer a devastating loss that will crush their title hopes….TCU was hardly a contender but lost at home to Arkansas….Clemson nearly lost to Troy at home which certainly would have crushed most of their hopes, but they held on….Same goes for Georgia, who probably would have been eliminated from contention if they lost as a -53 favorite at home to Nicholls St.

Key Injuries

UCF QB Justin Holman: Suffered a hamstring injury in Week 2 and is questionable for next week vs. Maryland

Houston QB Greg Ward Jr: Sat out Saturday’s easy win over Lamar, and is probable for Thursday’s big matchup at Cincy

Utah St RB Devante Mays: Suffered a possible long-term injury, and is doubtful Friday vs. Arkansas St

WKU QB Mike White: A possible concussion could keep him out next week vs. Miami Ohio

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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