2016-17 Early NBA Futures from the Westgate Superbook

Before the 2016 Conference Finals had even concluded, the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook released its odds on next season’s NBA Championship. The Warriors were listed as the early favorite to take home the 2017 Larry O’Brien Trophy, but they dropped from +150 to +250 after being defeated by the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2016 NBA Finals.

Those odds shifted dramatically when Kevin Durant announced that he would be leaving Oklahoma City to sign with the Warriors. With a starting lineup that features four All-NBA performers, Golden State’s odds of winning the title jumped from +250 to -150 while the Thunder dropped from +800 to +3000.

The table below examines the early line movement for the 2017 NBA championship futures at the Westgate Superbook.

Team Westgate (7/5) Westgate (6/28) Westgate (5/30)
Golden State WARRIORS -150 +250 +150
Cleveland CAVALIERS +250 +300 +250
San Antonio SPURS +800 +600 +600
Los Angeles CLIPPERS +2000 +900 +1600
Boston CELTICS +2000 +1700 +2000
Oklahoma City THUNDER +3000 +700 +800
Toronto RAPTORS +4000 +2000 +2500
New Orleans PELICANS +6000 +6000 +6000
Minnesota TIMBERWOLVES +6000 +5000 +6000
Utah JAZZ +8000 +5000 +8000
Atlanta HAWKS +8000 +2500 +4000
Miami HEAT +8000 +1400 +2500
Portland TRAIL BLAZERS +8000 +7500 +6000
Detroit PISTONS +10000 +10000 +10000
New York KNICKS +10000 +5500 +10000
Chicago BULLS +10000 +2500 +4000
Memphis GRIZZLIES +10000 +4000 +8000
Orlando MAGIC +10000 +25000 +10000
Indiana PACERS +10000 +9000 +10000
Houston ROCKETS +10000 +4000 +6000
Washington WIZARDS +10000 +10000 +10000
Milwaukee BUCKS +10000 +15000 +10000
Charlotte HORNETS +30000 +10000 +8000
Los Angeles LAKERS +30000 +10000 +10000
Denver NUGGETS +30000 +25000 +10000
Dallas MAVERICKS +30000 +9000 +8000
Sacramento KINGS +30000 +25000 +10000
Philadelphia 76ERS +30000 +50000 +10000
Phoenix SUNS +100000 +50000 +30000
Brooklyn NETS +100000 +50000 +50000

Kevin Durant isn’t the only major free agent signing, with several prominent players signing massive deals with a new team. Al Horford signed a four-year, $113 million contract with the Boston Celtics, Dwight Howard signed a three-year, $70 million contract with the Atlanta Hawks and Chandler Parsons signed a four-year, $94 million contract with the Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavericks are also expected to sign Harrison Barnes to a four-year $94 million contract.

Despite these major signings, the future market remains has not improved for these teams. The Celtics were expected to be a major player in free agency, and their odds of winning the title actually dipped from 17/1 to 20/1. The Hawks may have added Dwight Howard, but their odds of winning the championship plummeted from 25/1 to 80/1.

Oddsmakers seem to believe it’s a foregone conclusion that the Warriors and Cavs will meet in the NBA Finals for a third straight season and, as a result, the odds for most other teams have dropped substantially. However, readers may be interested to know that the Cavs (-400) actually have better odds of reaching the Finals than the Thunder (-350). This speaks to the talent imbalance between conferences.

The tables below display the odds for all 30 NBA teams to win their conference and reach the NBA Finals.

Odds to win Eastern Conference

Team Westgate (7/4) Westgate (5/29)
Cleveland CAVALIERS -400 -200
Boston CELTICS +800 +800
Toronto RAPTORS +1200 +800
Miami HEAT +2500 +800
Atlanta HAWKS +2500 +1700
Chicago BULLS +4000 +1700
Washington WIZARDS +4000 +3500
Indiana PACERS +4000 +3500
Milwaukee BUCKS +4000 +3500
Detroit PISTONS +4000 +3500
New York KNICKS +4000 +3500
Orlando MAGIC +4000 +3500
Philadelphia 76ERS +10000 +3500
Charlotte HORNETS +10000 +2500
Brooklyn NETS +50000 +20000

Odds to win Western Conference

Team Westgate (7/4) Westgate (5/29)
Golden State WARRIORS -350 -110
San Antonio SPURS +400 +300
Los Angeles CLIPPERS +1200 +800
Oklahoma City THUNDER +1800 +400
Minnesota TIMBERWOLVES +3500 +3000
New Orleans PELICANS +3500 +3000
Portland TRAIL BLAZERS +3500 +3000
Utah JAZZ +5000 +4000
Houston ROCKETS +6000 +3000
Memphis GRIZZLIES +6000 +4000
Dallas MAVERICKS +20000 +5000
Los Angeles LAKERS +20000 +5000
Sacramento KINGS +20000 +5000
Denver NUGGETS +20000 +5000
Phoenix SUNS +60000 +15000

There have already been rumors circulating that the Oklahoma City Thunder may entertain trade offers for Russell Westbrook, and that would have significant ramifications on the futures market. It’s also worth noting that several free agents remain unsigned including Dwyane Wade, Festus Ezeli and Allen Crabbe.

The Warriors are coming off an NBA-record 73 wins during the regular season and have added one of the best players in the league. They’re currently -150 to win the championship, with the field listed at +130. When you combine this monumental power shift with the high level of talent in next year’s draft, it seems highly probable that there will be at least one blockbuster trade before the start of the season.

The 2016-17 regular season doesn’t start until October, but the NBA Summer League is underway. Bettors can track the latest odds, public betting trends, injuries and even futures by visiting our free NBA odds page.

Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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