2016-17 College Football Playoffs: Early Preview

The 2016-17 College Football Playoffs have been set and the semifinal matchups are (1) Alabama vs. (4) Washington, and (2) Clemson vs. (3) Ohio State.

Immediately after seedings were announced, CG Technology released lines for both semifinal games:
Alabama -11 vs. Washington
Ohio State -3.5 vs. Clemson

Then Westgate offered odds:
Alabama -14 vs. Washington
Ohio State -3 vs. Clemson

As for the offshore market, Pinnacle opened Alabama -13.5 and CRIS opened Alabama -14.5. Each of those sharp sportsbooks had increased their spreads 1 point behind 72% of tickets around the market but CRIS has recently moved to Alabama -16.5, so there’s serious line movement on the Crimson Tide.

Ohio State opened -3.5 at CRIS and -3 around the rest of the market, where the line currently sits.  Clemson is getting the slight majority of tickets with 59% of bets and you’ll want to pay attention to which way this line moves off the key number.

Here’s a look at each team’s preseason odds to make the playoffs, as well as their title odds:

Team Preseason
Playoff Odds
Preseason
Title Odds
Highest
Title Odds
Current
Title Odds
Alabama +125 +600 +600 -325
Clemson +155 +800 +1200 +1000
Ohio State +195 +1000 +1000 +550
Washington +500 +4000 +6600 +1000

Washington was 40:1 in the preseason to win the title but were as high as 66:1 in early September. Clemson’s highest odds to win the title were 12:1 in mid-November. Alabama’s best title odds were 6:1 in the preseason and they saw their odds get shorter every single week of their undefeated season. Ohio State’s best odds were also in the preseason at 10:1, but they did reach 6:1 in early November.

On Sunday morning before the playoff was announced, 5Dimes listed Alabama as -205 favorites to win the title with the field listed at +165. Westgate re-opened title odds Sunday afternoon with Alabama -225, Ohio State +350, Clemson +600, Washington +1500. By Sunday night 5Dimes was listing Alabama at -325 to win it all. Here’s a look at the title odds from 5Dimes throughout the season:

Team Dec 4 Nov 28 Nov 25 Nov 15 Nov 7 Oct 31 Oct 27 Oct 20 Oct 13 Oct 6 Sep 22 Sep 15 Sep 5 Aug 29 May 16 Jan 12
Alabama -325 -140 -150 -130 +120 +150 +185 +225 +240 +255 +385 +400 +535 6/1 6/1 6/1
Ohio St +550 +200 +260 +300 +600 +600 +500 +350 +325 +380 +425 +750 +800 8/1 8/1 10/1
Clemson +1000 +600 +800 +1200 +750 +550 +750 +650 +500 +500 +800 +825 +800 7/1 8/1 7/1
Washington +1000 +800 +2000 +3000 +800 +550 +700 +700 +600 +1100 +2000 +2800 +6600 30/1 40/1 40/1
Michigan +2000 +2000 +1600 +1600 +600 +550 +650 +800 +900 +1200 +1000 +1450 +1200 8/1 8/1 15/1
Wisconsin +2000 +2000 +2200 +3000 +3300 +6600 +10000 +35000 +15000 +8000 +15000 +10000 +15000 200/1 100/1 100/1
Oklahoma +3000 +3000 +5000 +4500 +5000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +12500 +11000 +8000 +2100 +2500 12/1 8/1 7/1
Penn St +5000 +5000 +5500 +20000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +25000 +50000 +25000 300/1 300/1 300/1
Colorado +6600 +6600 +5000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +50000 +50000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Oklahoma St +6600 +6600 +5500 +10000 +10000 +27500 +27500 +30000 +25000 +25000 +8000 +8000 +6600 80/1 80/1 40/1
Florida N/A N/A +8000 +10000 +17500 +7000 +11500 +15000 +15000 +8000 +6600 +5000 +5000 50/1 40/1 50/1
Houston COUGARS N/A N/A +20000 N/A N/A N/A N/A +5000 +5000 +900 +1600 +2500 +6600 80/1 80/1 100/1
Ole Miss REBELS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +25000 +11000 +10000 +5000 +4000 40/1 30/1 20/1
Texas A&M AGGIES N/A N/A N/A N/A +25000 +12500 +10000 +2000 +1800 +2500 +5000 +7500 +10000 100/1 100/1 100/1
North Carolina TAR HEELS N/A N/A N/A N/A +25000 N/A N/A N/A N/A +10000 +10000 +15000 +15000 100/1 100/1 100/1
Nebraska CORNHUSKERS N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 +8500 +6000 +5000 +10000 +10500 +10000 +12500 +15000 80/1 100/1 100/1
Boise St BRONCOS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +16000 +16000 +15000 +16000 +20000 +20000 +20000 200/1 100/1 100/1
Tennessee VOLUNTEERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +20000 +25000 +5000 +2500 +3000 +1650 +1600 12/1 15/1 15/1
Minnesota GOLDEN GOPHERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +50000 500/1 500/1 300/1
Utah UTES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +12500 +16000 +16000 +25000 +20000 +15000 +15000 100/1 100/1 60/1
Louisville CARDINALS N/A N/A N/A +800 +1500 +1400 +1100 +1600 +1800 +1200 +500 +6600 +6600 60/1 60/1 60/1
TCU HORNED FROGS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +30000 +30000 +20000 +6600 +10000 +4000 30/1 50/1 30/1
Miami FL HURRICANES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +30000 +10000 +4000 +8500 +15000 +15000 80/1 100/1 100/1
Stanford CARDINAL N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +27500 +50000 +17500 +2800 +3400 +2500 25/1 30/1 20/1
Iowa HAWKEYES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +5000 +5500 +8000 60/1 100/1 100/1
Virginia Tech HOKIES N/A N/A N/A N/A +12500 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +20000 +50000 +30000 300/1 300/1 300/1
Georgia BULLDOGS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +6600 +5000 +5000 25/1 30/1 30/1
Texas LONGHORNS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +6600 +5000 +8000 100/1 100/1 100/1
Virginia CAVALIERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 1000/1 1000/1 500/1
LSU TIGERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +4000 +3300 +6600 +15000 +20000 +1600 +1250 +1600 8/1 15/1 15/1
Michigan St SPARTANS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +5000 +6600 +4000 40/1 30/1 20/1
Oregon DUCKS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +10000 +4000 +4000 50/1 60/1 40/1
UCLA BRUINS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +20000 +10000 +10000 60/1 30/1 30/1
Auburn TIGERS N/A N/A N/A N/A +3300 +5000 +4000 +25000 +20000 N/A N/A +15000 +8000 80/1 30/1 30/1
Mississippi St BULLDOGS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +30000 +15000 +30000 500/1 300/1 300/1
Pittsburgh PANTHERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +30000 +27500 +30000 500/1 500/1 300/1
Notre Dame FIGHTING IRISH N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +10000 +3100 +2800 20/1 15/1 15/1
Baylor BEARS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +8500 +6000 +6600 +8500 +8500 +6600 +6600 +6600 50/1 12/1 12/1
Arizona St SUN DEVILS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +150000 +35000 +30000 500/1 100/1 100/1
South Carolina GAMECOCKS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +150000 +50000 1000/1 300/1 300/1
Florida St SEMINOLES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +20000 +25000 +30000 +30000 +15000 +3300 +825 +1500 7/1 12/1 15/1
Georgia Tech YELLOW JACKETS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 +50000 500/1 500/1 300/1
USC TROJANS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +10000 +10000 30/1 40/1 60/1
South Florida BULLS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 +50000 500/1 1000/1 1000/1
Cincinnati BEARCATS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +60000 +50000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
BYU COUGARS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +65000 +30000 500/1 300/1 300/1
Washington St COUGARS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +75000 +30000 200/1 300/1 300/1
San Diego St AZTECS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +75000 +50000 500/1 1000/1 1000/1
Wake Forest DEMON DEACONS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +100000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Duke BLUE DEVILS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +75000 1000/1 1000/1 500/1
Arkansas RAZORBACKS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +25000 +15000 +15000 +10000 100/1 100/1 100/1
Kentucky WILDCATS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Temple OWLS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Arkansas State RED WOLVES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 N/A N/A N/A
Bowling Green FALCONS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +750000 +100000 N/A N/A N/A
Utah State AGGIES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +600000 +100000 2000/1 1000/1 1000/1
UConn HUSKIES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +500000 +100000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Rutgers SCARLET KNIGHTS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +500000 +100000 2000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Appalachian St MOUNTAINEERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +500000 +100000 N/A N/A N/A
Northwestern WILDCATS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +500000 +50000 500/1 1000/1 1000/1
Boston College EAGLES N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +375000 +50000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Illinois FIGHTING ILLINI N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +250000 +100000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Missouri TIGERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +250000 +50000 500/1 1000/1 1000/1
Army BLACK KNIGHTS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +250000 +100000 N/A N/A N/A
Air Force FALCONS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +250000 +100000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Kansas St WILDCATS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +200000 +50000 300/1 1000/1 1000/1
Navy MIDSHIPMEN N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +200000 +50000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
Texas Tech RED RAIDERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +50000 +50000 500/1 1000/1 1000/1
NC State WOLFPACK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +150000 +50000 1000/1 1000/1 500/1
Arizona WILDCATS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +30000 500/1 300/1 300/1
All Others Listed At +100000 or higher N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +100000 N/A N/A N/A
Indiana HOOSIERS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +100000 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1
California GOLDEN BEARS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +100000 +50000 1000/1 500/1 300/1
West Virginia MOUNTAINEERS N/A N/A N/A +7500 +10000 +10000 +4500 +11000 +25000 +22500 +40000 +20000 +25000 500/1 500/1 300/1

And late Sunday night William Hill updated their betting trends for each team:

will-hill-playoffs

Back on October 22, 5Dimes listed potential playoff odds:
Bama -6.5 vs. Ohio State
Bama -7.5 vs. Clemson
Bama -12 vs. Washington

And here’s how each playoff team fared ATS this season:
Alabama 9-4
Clemson 5-7
Ohio St 6-6
Washington 7-5

You can track all the latest odds and betting percentages from our Free Live Odds page.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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