2016-17 College Football Playoffs: Early Preview

2016-17 College Football Playoffs: Early Preview

The 2016-17 College Football Playoffs have been set and the semifinal matchups are (1) Alabama vs. (4) Washington, and (2) Clemson vs. (3) Ohio State.

Immediately after seedings were announced, CG Technology released lines for both semifinal games:
Alabama -11 vs. Washington
Ohio State -3.5 vs. Clemson

Then Westgate offered odds:
Alabama -14 vs. Washington
Ohio State -3 vs. Clemson

As for the offshore market, Pinnacle opened Alabama -13.5 and CRIS opened Alabama -14.5. Each of those sharp sportsbooks had increased their spreads 1 point behind 72% of tickets around the market but CRIS has recently moved to Alabama -16.5, so there’s serious line movement on the Crimson Tide.

Ohio State opened -3.5 at CRIS and -3 around the rest of the market, where the line currently sits.  Clemson is getting the slight majority of tickets with 59% of bets and you’ll want to pay attention to which way this line moves off the key number.

Here’s a look at each team’s preseason odds to make the playoffs, as well as their title odds:

TeamPreseason
Playoff Odds
Preseason
Title Odds
Highest
Title Odds
Current
Title Odds
Alabama+125+600+600-325
Clemson+155+800+1200+1000
Ohio State+195+1000+1000+550
Washington+500+4000+6600+1000

Washington was 40:1 in the preseason to win the title but were as high as 66:1 in early September. Clemson’s highest odds to win the title were 12:1 in mid-November. Alabama’s best title odds were 6:1 in the preseason and they saw their odds get shorter every single week of their undefeated season. Ohio State’s best odds were also in the preseason at 10:1, but they did reach 6:1 in early November.

On Sunday morning before the playoff was announced, 5Dimes listed Alabama as -205 favorites to win the title with the field listed at +165. Westgate re-opened title odds Sunday afternoon with Alabama -225, Ohio State +350, Clemson +600, Washington +1500. By Sunday night 5Dimes was listing Alabama at -325 to win it all. Here’s a look at the title odds from 5Dimes throughout the season:

TeamDec 4Nov 28Nov 25Nov 15Nov 7Oct 31Oct 27Oct 20Oct 13Oct 6Sep 22Sep 15Sep 5Aug 29 May 16Jan 12
Alabama-325-140-150-130+120+150+185+225+240+255+385+400+5356/16/16/1
Ohio St+550+200+260+300+600+600+500+350+325+380+425+750+8008/18/110/1
Clemson+1000+600+800+1200+750+550+750+650+500+500+800+825+8007/18/17/1
Washington+1000+800+2000+3000+800+550+700+700+600+1100+2000+2800+660030/140/140/1
Michigan+2000+2000+1600+1600+600+550+650+800+900+1200+1000+1450+12008/18/115/1
Wisconsin+2000+2000+2200+3000+3300+6600+10000+35000+15000+8000+15000+10000+15000200/1100/1100/1
Oklahoma+3000+3000+5000+4500+5000+5000+5000+5000+12500+11000+8000+2100+250012/18/17/1
Penn St+5000+5000+5500+20000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+50000+25000300/1300/1300/1
Colorado+6600+6600+5000N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+50000+500001000/11000/11000/1
Oklahoma St+6600+6600+5500+10000+10000+27500+27500+30000+25000+25000+8000+8000+660080/180/140/1
FloridaN/AN/A+8000+10000+17500+7000+11500+15000+15000+8000+6600+5000+500050/140/150/1
Houston COUGARSN/AN/A+20000N/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5000+900+1600+2500+660080/180/1100/1
Ole Miss REBELSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+11000+10000+5000+400040/130/120/1
Texas A&M AGGIESN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+12500+10000+2000+1800+2500+5000+7500+10000100/1100/1100/1
North Carolina TAR HEELSN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000N/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+10000+15000+15000100/1100/1100/1
Nebraska CORNHUSKERSN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+8500+6000+5000+10000+10500+10000+12500+1500080/1100/1100/1
Boise St BRONCOSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+16000+16000+15000+16000+20000+20000+20000200/1100/1100/1
Tennessee VOLUNTEERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+25000+5000+2500+3000+1650+160012/115/115/1
Minnesota GOLDEN GOPHERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+50000500/1500/1300/1
Utah UTESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500+16000+16000+25000+20000+15000+15000100/1100/160/1
Louisville CARDINALSN/AN/AN/A+800+1500+1400+1100+1600+1800+1200+500+6600+660060/160/160/1
TCU HORNED FROGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000+30000+20000+6600+10000+400030/150/130/1
Miami FL HURRICANESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000+10000+4000+8500+15000+1500080/1100/1100/1
Stanford CARDINALN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+27500+50000+17500+2800+3400+250025/130/120/1
Iowa HAWKEYESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+5500+800060/1100/1100/1
Virginia Tech HOKIESN/AN/AN/AN/A+12500N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+50000+30000300/1300/1300/1
Georgia BULLDOGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+5000+500025/130/130/1
Texas LONGHORNSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+6600+5000+8000100/1100/1100/1
Virginia CAVALIERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500001000/11000/1500/1
LSU TIGERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+4000+3300+6600+15000+20000+1600+1250+16008/115/115/1
Michigan St SPARTANSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+5000+6600+400040/130/120/1
Oregon DUCKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+4000+400050/160/140/1
UCLA BRUINSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+10000+1000060/130/130/1
Auburn TIGERSN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000+4000+25000+20000N/AN/A+15000+800080/130/130/1
Mississippi St BULLDOGSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000+15000+30000500/1300/1300/1
Pittsburgh PANTHERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+30000+27500+30000500/1500/1300/1
Notre Dame FIGHTING IRISHN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+3100+280020/115/115/1
Baylor BEARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+8500+6000+6600+8500+8500+6600+6600+660050/112/112/1
Arizona St SUN DEVILSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150000+35000+30000500/1100/1100/1
South Carolina GAMECOCKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150000+500001000/1300/1300/1
Florida St SEMINOLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+25000+30000+30000+15000+3300+825+15007/112/115/1
Georgia Tech YELLOW JACKETSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+50000500/1500/1300/1
USC TROJANSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+10000+1000030/140/160/1
South Florida BULLSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+50000500/11000/11000/1
Cincinnati BEARCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+60000+500001000/11000/11000/1
BYU COUGARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+65000+30000500/1300/1300/1
Washington St COUGARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+75000+30000200/1300/1300/1
San Diego St AZTECSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+75000+50000500/11000/11000/1
Wake Forest DEMON DEACONSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+1000001000/11000/11000/1
Duke BLUE DEVILSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+750001000/11000/1500/1
Arkansas RAZORBACKSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+15000+15000+10000100/1100/1100/1
Kentucky WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500001000/11000/11000/1
Temple OWLSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500001000/11000/11000/1
Arkansas State RED WOLVESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000N/AN/AN/A
Bowling Green FALCONSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+750000+100000N/AN/AN/A
Utah State AGGIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+600000+1000002000/11000/11000/1
UConn HUSKIESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500000+1000001000/11000/11000/1
Rutgers SCARLET KNIGHTSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500000+1000002000/11000/11000/1
Appalachian St MOUNTAINEERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500000+100000N/AN/AN/A
Northwestern WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+500000+50000500/11000/11000/1
Boston College EAGLESN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+375000+500001000/11000/11000/1
Illinois FIGHTING ILLININ/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+1000001000/11000/11000/1
Missouri TIGERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+50000500/11000/11000/1
Army BLACK KNIGHTSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+100000N/AN/AN/A
Air Force FALCONSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+250000+1000001000/11000/11000/1
Kansas St WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+200000+50000300/11000/11000/1
Navy MIDSHIPMENN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+200000+500001000/11000/11000/1
Texas Tech RED RAIDERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000+50000500/11000/11000/1
NC State WOLFPACKN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+150000+500001000/11000/1500/1
Arizona WILDCATSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+30000500/1300/1300/1
All Others Listed At +100000 or higherN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+100000N/AN/AN/A
Indiana HOOSIERSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+1000001000/11000/11000/1
California GOLDEN BEARSN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+100000+500001000/1500/1300/1
West Virginia MOUNTAINEERSN/AN/AN/A+7500+10000+10000+4500+11000+25000+22500+40000+20000+25000500/1500/1300/1

And late Sunday night William Hill updated their betting trends for each team:

will-hill-playoffs

Back on October 22, 5Dimes listed potential playoff odds:
Bama -6.5 vs. Ohio State
Bama -7.5 vs. Clemson
Bama -12 vs. Washington

And here’s how each playoff team fared ATS this season:
Alabama 9-4
Clemson 5-7
Ohio St 6-6
Washington 7-5

You can track all the latest odds and betting percentages from our Free Live Odds page.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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