2015 NFL Betting: Who Will Lead the League in Tackles?

Although we have yet to see any offshore sportsbooks offer NF Defensive Player of the Year odds, Ladbrokes became the first prominent oddsmaker to post a defense-related prop bet. Earlier this week the British based oddsmaker posted odds to lead the league in tackles for 48 of the league’s best defensive players.

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Carolina Panthers linebacker Luke Kuechly, who has twice led the league in tackles (153 in 2014, 164 in 2012), opened as the favorite to repeat as the league leader (+350). Lavonte David, who ranked third in football last season with 146 tackles, opened with the second best odds at +550.

This information can also be very valuable to fantasy football managers in leagues with independent defensive players (IDP). Linebackers typically dominate the top of the rankings, and tackles definitely drive this value.

The table below displays the current odds at Ladbrokes and will be updated as more information becomes available.

Player Ladbrokes (8/19)
Luke Kuechly 7/2
Lavonte David 11/2
DeAndre Levy 10/1
Navarro Bowman 12/1
Vontaze Burfict 14/1
Bobby Wagner 16/1
Paul Posluszny 16/1
Kiko Alonso 18/1
CJ Mosley 20/1
Derrick Johnson 20/1
Lawrence Timmons 20/1
Jamie Collins 25/1
Jerod Mayo 33/1
Paul Worrilow 33/1
Sean Lee 33/1
Brian Cushing 40/1
Curtis Lofton 40/1
D'Qwell Jackson 40/1
Jon Beason 40/1
Karlos Dansby 40/1
Keenan Robinson 40/1
Ryan Shazier 40/1
Stephen Tulloch 40/1
Alec Ogletree 50/1
Anthony Barr 50/1
Chad Greenway 50/1
Danny Trevathan 50/1
Daryl Smith 50/1
James Lauinaitis 50/1
Jelani Jenkins 50/1
Sean Weatherspoon 50/1
Clay Matthews 66/1
David Harris 66/1
Demario Davis 66/1
Manti Te'o 66/1
Sam Barrington 66/1
Telvin Smith 66/1
Eric Kendricks 80/1
Jerrell Freeman 80/1
Stephone Anthony 80/1
Benardrick McKinney 100/1
DeMeco Ryans 100/1
Denzel Perryman 100/1
Donald Butler 100/1
Jake Ryan 100/1
Koa Misi 100/1
Nigel Bradham 100/1
Thomas Davis 100/1

Two potentially undervalued players are Baltimore’s C.J. Mosley (+2000) and Jacksonville’s Paul Posluszny. In his rookie season, Mosley recorded 133 combined tackles which ranked him seventh in the league. With Haloti Ngata getting shipped off to Detroit, don’t be surprised if more teams attempt to run straight up the middle against the Ravens. This should create extra opportunity for a burgeon superstar.

Posluszny, who missed most of the 2014 season due to injury, tallied 791 combined tackles between 2008 and 2013 including a high of 162 during the 2013 season (despite playing in only 15 games). Teams frequently run straight up the middle when nursing large leads, and it seems safe to say that Jacksonville will be on the losing end on a lot of blowouts this season. That additional opportunity should benefit “Poz” if he’s able to stay on the field.

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David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.

 

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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