2015 College Football: Week 7 Betting Recap
Seven weeks are now in the books and below we’ll highlight the biggest upsets, trends, and betting nuggets.
-Largest moneyline upsets:
Georgia St +481 at Ball St
Memphis +309 vs. Ole Miss
Idaho +298 at Troy
Michigan St +262 at Michigan
Utah St +246 vs. Boise St
Kent +238 at UMass
-The lines moved against each team playing with a new coach this week but two were able to cover:
North Texas +29.5 to +34 (covered by 7)
USC +4 to +4.5 (did not cover)
South Carolina -5.5 to -2.5 (covered by 6.5)
Highest Total: Tulsa/ECU 79.5 (went under)
Lowest Total: BC/Clemson 37 (went over)
Highest Spread: Texas Tech -32 at Kansas (KU came back to cover but lost by 10)
-This was the third straight week a BC game closed below 40 points. First 2 games went under by avg of 28.75 ppg but Saturday in Clemson went over the total easily, ending 34-17.
-This was also the third week this season that Michigan was a favorite but received <40% of bets. They easily covered the previous two games and moved from -6.5 to -7.5 vs. Michigan State but lost on the final play on a botched punt snap. The video is shown at the end of this post and definitely worth watching if you missed it. This game was also the highest bet NCAAF game of the year so far, receiving over 75,000 bets at our contributing sportsbooks.
-Oregon (+3) was an underdog for the second time this season after going 3+ years of being favored in every game. They’ve now covered both after winning straight up at Washington 26-20.
-Central Michigan (7-0) and Toledo (5-0) are the lone schools who have covered every game this season.
-There were still six NCAAF teams who hadn’t covered a game ATS this year entering the week (Michigan St, Central Florida, Old Dominion, North Texas, Fresno State, and Auburn). Auburn and North Texas both covered Thursday night, Fresno State covered Friday night, and Michigan State and UCF covered Saturday night. The lone team still without an ATS win is Old Dominion.
-There were eight teams that had a chance to go over their Season Win Total this past week: Ohio, South Alabama, Charlotte, Southern Miss, UConn, Wake Forest, EMU and UNLV. The only team who won was Southern Miss, as they are now 4-3, going over their opening win total of 3.5.
-Road teams were more successful this week going 33-24 ATS. It was basically a split for dogs/faves as dogs went 29-28 ATS.
-Michigan had the 4th-best title odds heading into the week at +900 but were stunned at the end by Michigan State. Texas A&M (+1600) and Ole Miss (+4000) also entered the week with decent title odds but will fall heavily after their losses.
-With Ohio State’s win over Penn State, head coach Urban Meyer now has four different win streaks of 20 games (twice with Florida, once with Utah, once with Ohio State).
Heisman Watch: LSU RB Leonard Fournette was the clear -180 favorite heading into the week and that won’t change heading into next week. Fournette put up another 180 yards and 2 TDs against a solid Florida team with his physicality and speed. He’s led LSU to a perfect 6-0 record thus far and even an upcoming loss wouldn’t hinder his chances too much. However, Baylor QB Seth Russell and TCU QB Trevone Boykin are piling up wins and stats to at least stay in the conversation, especially if those teams stay undefeated as well.
Major Injuries: Believe it or not, Notre Dame suffered their NINTH season-ending injury of the year with guard Alex Bars breaking his ankle over the weekend. There are a number of key weapons around college football that are questionable for their next game so be sure to check out all the latest breaking news.
Vines/Videos: Texas Tech brought out the bag of tricks against the worst team in Division 1:
This two-point conversion gives Texas Tech (closed -33) an 11-0 lead, and we can’t stop watching it. https://t.co/6aPNfCZW1i
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) October 17, 2015
On Thursday night Stanford crushed UCLA and made one of the plays of the year in the process:
Last night Stanford pulled off one of the most amazing plays we’ve ever seen: http://t.co/WJkHC3elnc pic.twitter.com/14wZioE286 — Deadspin (@Deadspin) October 16, 2015
Syracuse QB Eric Dungey going all out against Virginia:
Cuse QB going full yolo https://t.co/xxzbiob8oC
— Adam Himmelsbach (@AdamHimmelsbach) October 17, 2015
And finally, one of the more incredible endings to a marquee matchup you’ll ever see between Michigan State and Michigan:
This play turned almost certain defeat (0.2% win probability) to a stunning win for Michigan St. ICYMI: http://t.co/zIpSfniXiA #MSUvsMICH — ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) October 18, 2015
You can also view more highlights and clips from the NCAA website.
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