2015 College Football: Week 5 Betting Recap

2015 College Football: Week 5 Betting Recap

Biggest moneyline upsets:
Arizona State +421 at UCLA
Cincinnati +250 vs. Miami FL
Florida +227 vs. Ole Miss

-Aside from Arizona State winning at UCLA, there were no real shockers this week despite underdogs performing well. Underdogs went 32-27 ATS while road teams went 33-25 ATS.

-Once again, the highest total of the week (Baylor-Texas Tech 88) went over, while the lowest total of the week (BC-Duke 38) went under.

-The closing total of 88 for Baylor-Texas Tech was tied for the highest ever (Baylor-Okla St in 2012). The last six meetings between Baylor and Texas Tech have now soared over the total.

-NCAAF Overs had gone 17-4 this year when the total closed 70+ points, but just 1-4 this week.

-Unders went an astounding 46-13 this past week. Overs had performed better so far this year as they were 148-137 heading into the week, so this week will definitely skew the season tally.

-The total for Air Force-Navy dropped 6 points from open to close, and with good reason. The Under is now 23-7 when service academies meet each other since 2005 (via our Bet Labs database.)

-In the premiere matchup of the week, Alabama (+1) closed as an underdog for the first time in 72 games (you’ve probably heard that plenty by now) and demolished Georgia 38-10 in Athens. It was the first time since the 2009 SEC title game that they closed as underdogs, and it may be a while until sportsbooks feel safe doing that again.

-Notre Dame/Clemson was the second most-bet game of the week behind Bama/UGA, and it definitely mattered which line you got. The line shifted all week from Clemson -3 to Clemson +3, and Clemson ended up winning by 2 despite a late comeback by the Irish.

-Alabama and Clemson were impressive in victories this weekend and propelled them into the Top-10. Florida and Northwestern also rose significantly after big home wins.

-Friday night began the weekend with a very late cover from BYU:

Heisman Watch:
LSU RB Leonard Fournette: He’s been the man to beat for weeks now and put up 233 yards and 3 TDs against Eastern Michigan. Sportsbooks have begun posting “Fournette vs. the Field” options now with the field a slight favorite.

Major Injuries/Suspensions:
FSU RB Dalvin Cook: He left the game vs. Wake Forest and is questionable this week against the rival Hurricanes.

Mizzou QB Maty Mauk: He was suspended for the South Carolina game but the Tigers didn’t need him. He may play this week but it’s unclear at this time.

There are also a number of other questionable key players for next week so keep up with all the latest statuses at our Free Injuries Page.

Videos of the Week: Courtesy of NCAA.com, some of the highlights and key plays from this weekend’s action.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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