The first round of the 2014 NFL Draft will get underway on Thursday, May 8th at the Radio City Music Hall and all eyes will be on former Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel. The winner of the 2012 Heisman Trophy Award, “Johnny Football” electrified the nation with both his arm and legs over the past two seasons. But will his unique skill set translate on the next level?
Due to his small stature (listed at 6’0″, 210 lbs), many scouts are torn on Manziel. Some feel that he is an electrifying playmaker who will continue the recent success of short quarterbacks such as New Orleans’ Drew Brees and Seattle’s Russell Wilson. Others believe he is a significant injury risk who will struggle to overcome inconsistent mechanics. Because of these wildly differing opinions, there doesn’t appear to be any consensus regarding where Manziel will be drafted.
It is worth noting that Manziel’s draft stock seems to be trending downwards. Nearly two months ago, we tweeted the odds of Manziel being selected with the first overall pick (+200). Although the prop was available at a different sportsbook, Manziel has dropped to +400 to be selected first overall, with South Carolina’s Jadeveon Clowney looking like clear front runner.
Will Johnny Manziel be the 1st overall pick in the 2014 #NFLDraft? “No” is the favorite at -260 | “Yes” is listed at +200 (via BetOnline)
— SportsInsights.com (@SportsInsights) March 2, 2014
In his most recent mock draft, ESPN’s Mel Kiper has Manziel being selected 4th overall by the Cleveland Browns, which actually falls in line with oddsmakers predictions. However, CBS analyst Pete Prisco has the Buccaneers drafting Manziel with the 7th overall pick while his co-worker Pat Kirwin has Manziel going 3rd overall to the Jaguars.
The table below displays the current prop betting odds from Sportsbook.com:
|1st Overall||Houston Texans||+400|
|2nd Overall||St. Louis Rams||+750|
|3rd Overall||Jacksonville Jaguars||+450|
|4th Overall||Cleveland Browns||+350|
|5th Overall||Oakland Raiders||+650|
|6th Overall||Atlanta Falcons||+1200|
|7th Overall||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1000|
|8th Overall||Minnesota Vikings||+1000|
|9th Overall||Buffalo Bills||+2000|
|10th Overall||Detroit Lions||+2500|
|11th Overall||Tennessee Titans||+3000|
|12th Overall||New York Giants||+3500|
|13th Overall||St. Louis Rams||+4000|
|14th Overall||Chicago Bears||+5000|
|15th Overall||Pittsburgh Steelers||+5000|
|16th Overall||Dallas Cowboys||+6000|
|17th Overall||Baltimore Ravens||+6000|
|18th Overall||New York Jets||+7500|
|19h Overall||Miami Dolphins||+7500|
|20th or Later||N/A||+700|
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