NFL Opening Line Report – Week 4

Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games:

Team Betting % Current Open Notes
Bills 90% -3 -3 After a comeback win against the Patriots, the public is likely to jump all over the Bills as small road favorites.
Bengals 10% 3 3
Vikings 89% -1.5 -1.5 The Chiefs and Vikings were both able to cover last week, but are winless.  The Vikings are small favorites although the game is a pick at a few books.
Chiefs 11% 1.5 1.5
Giants 80% -1 -3 Some early reverse-line movement as the betting percentages don’t reflect the line move off of the key number of 3.
Cardinals 20% 1 3
Falcons 88% -4.5 -4 The public is all over the Falcons early despite coming off of a loss against Tampa Bay.  It will be interesting to see how much the line moves due to public money.
Seahawks 12% 4.5 4
Jets 21% 3.5 4.5 In a defensive battle, the Ravens are favored just off of the key number of 3.  In early action, bettors have no problem laying the points with the home favorite.
Ravens 79% -3.5 -4.5
Saints 86% -7 -8 The Saints are touchdown favorites on the road, although the line opened at -7.5 or -8 at some books, so some liked the value of taking the points with the Jags and moved the line back down to 7.
Jaguars 14% 7 8
Broncos 29% 12.5 13 The largest spread of the week comes with the undefeated Packers hosting the Broncos.
Packers 71% -12.5 -13
Dolphins 60% 7.5 9 In a rare occurrence, most bettors like the underdog and are taking Miami and the points.  This has already caused 1.5 points of line movement.
Chargers 40% -7.5 -9
Patriots 80% -4.5 -6 Another example of reverse line movement as the Raiders try to upset two AFC East teams in a row.
Raiders 20% 4.5 6
Panthers 34% 6.5 6.5 2 out of 3 bets like the Bears to slow down Cam Newton and beat the Panthers by at least a touchdown.
Bears 66% -6.5 -6.5
Titans 55% 1.5 1.5 Fairly split betting percentages as the Browns are small favorites over Tennessee.
Browns 45% -1.5 -1.5
Steelers 37% 3 3 Houston is favored by a field goal over the Steelers.  Pittsburgh is a favorite bet by the betting public, so it will be interesting to see how these percentages change.
Texans 63% -3 -3
Colts 72% 10 10 After the Colts were able to cover against the Steelers on SNF, the bettors think they can do it again against the Bucs on MNF this week.
Buccaneers 28% -10 -10

There are currently no lines posted for 49ers/Eagles (due to the Vick injury), Lions/Cowboys, and Redskins/Rams.

* Betting Percentages reflect Sports Insights’ Spread Betting Trends Data
** Opening and Current Lines from CRIS

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